Prediction 1699
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 64.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 33.0 | 58.0 | 77.0 | 96.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 41.0 | 72.0 | 97.0 | 122.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 82.0 | 157.0 | 217.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 162.0 | 349.0 | 506.0 | 671.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 290.0 | 678.0 | 1015.0 | 1374.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 400.0 | 974.0 | 1478.0 | 2019.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 447.0 | 1044.0 | 1561.0 | 2112.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 454.0 | 1055.0 | 1574.0 | 2127.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 134.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 482.0 | 1097.0 | 1623.0 | 2181.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 129.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 472.0 | 1081.0 | 1605.0 | 2161.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 139.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 493.0 | 1112.0 | 1641.0 | 2201.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 113.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 438.0 | 1031.0 | 1546.0 | 2095.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 452.0 | 1052.0 | 1571.0 | 2123.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 420.0 | 1003.0 | 1513.0 | 2058.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 353.0 | 901.0 | 1391.0 | 1921.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 261.0 | 752.0 | 1212.0 | 1718.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 162.0 | 423.0 | 658.0 | 914.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 119.0 | 311.0 | 484.0 | 671.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 56.0 | 144.0 | 223.0 | 308.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 40.0 | 90.0 | 132.0 | 177.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 69.0 | 114.0 | 164.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 |
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