Prediction 1700
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 84.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 53.0 | 83.0 | 115.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 85.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 56.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 63.0 | 78.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 93.0 | 117.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 101.0 | 143.0 | 186.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 82.0 | 167.0 | 236.0 | 308.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 106.0 | 225.0 | 324.0 | 428.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 137.0 | 302.0 | 442.0 | 589.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 246.0 | 628.0 | 970.0 | 1340.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 372.0 | 930.0 | 1427.0 | 1961.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 283.0 | 788.0 | 1256.0 | 1769.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 339.0 | 878.0 | 1364.0 | 1891.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 383.0 | 948.0 | 1448.0 | 1985.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 415.0 | 996.0 | 1504.0 | 2048.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 444.0 | 1039.0 | 1556.0 | 2106.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 462.0 | 1067.0 | 1588.0 | 2142.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 134.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 483.0 | 1098.0 | 1624.0 | 2183.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 434.0 | 1025.0 | 1539.0 | 2087.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 354.0 | 903.0 | 1394.0 | 1924.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 317.0 | 843.0 | 1322.0 | 1844.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 325.0 | 856.0 | 1337.0 | 1861.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 267.0 | 761.0 | 1223.0 | 1731.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 174.0 | 592.0 | 1011.0 | 1485.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 139.0 | 415.0 | 677.0 | 967.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 122.0 | 349.0 | 561.0 | 795.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 113.0 | 178.0 | 249.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 63.0 | 97.0 | 133.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 89.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 |
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