Prediction 1701
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 31.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 61.0 | 101.0 | 131.0 | 160.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 63.0 | 109.0 | 144.0 | 180.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 57.0 | 96.0 | 125.0 | 154.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 69.0 | 121.0 | 162.0 | 202.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 90.0 | 171.0 | 234.0 | 300.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 82.0 | 152.0 | 207.0 | 263.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 98.0 | 191.0 | 266.0 | 343.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 83.0 | 161.0 | 224.0 | 289.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 70.0 | 132.0 | 180.0 | 230.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 58.0 | 101.0 | 135.0 | 168.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 29.0 | 53.0 | 72.0 | 92.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 36.0 | 67.0 | 92.0 | 117.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 38.0 | 63.0 | 82.0 | 101.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 102.0 | 131.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 44.0 | 79.0 | 106.0 | 133.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 53.0 | 108.0 | 154.0 | 201.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 69.0 | 142.0 | 202.0 | 264.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 77.0 | 160.0 | 229.0 | 300.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 61.0 | 120.0 | 168.0 | 218.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 70.0 | 131.0 | 179.0 | 228.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 67.0 | 129.0 | 179.0 | 230.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 78.0 | 144.0 | 196.0 | 249.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 81.0 | 145.0 | 195.0 | 245.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 80.0 | 141.0 | 188.0 | 236.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 97.0 | 173.0 | 233.0 | 294.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 98.0 | 168.0 | 221.0 | 275.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 46.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 94.0 | 159.0 | 208.0 | 257.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 83.0 | 135.0 | 174.0 | 214.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 52.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 102.0 | 168.0 | 217.0 | 267.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 59.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 107.0 | 167.0 | 211.0 | 255.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 63.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 115.0 | 180.0 | 228.0 | 275.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 60.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 113.0 | 181.0 | 231.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 53.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 103.0 | 167.0 | 214.0 | 262.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 57.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 111.0 | 180.0 | 232.0 | 283.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 104.0 | 175.0 | 229.0 | 283.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 103.0 | 173.0 | 226.0 | 279.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 91.0 | 163.0 | 220.0 | 278.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 102.0 | 177.0 | 235.0 | 294.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 101.0 | 170.0 | 223.0 | 277.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 90.0 | 152.0 | 199.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 104.0 | 196.0 | 269.0 | 344.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 92.0 | 163.0 | 219.0 | 275.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 94.0 | 159.0 | 210.0 | 260.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 90.0 | 150.0 | 195.0 | 240.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 83.0 | 144.0 | 191.0 | 238.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 70.0 | 120.0 | 159.0 | 198.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 41.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 87.0 | 150.0 | 198.0 | 246.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 90.0 | 162.0 | 219.0 | 277.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 91.0 | 167.0 | 227.0 | 287.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 69.0 | 123.0 | 165.0 | 208.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 68.0 | 117.0 | 154.0 | 191.0 |
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