Prediction 1702
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 225.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 90.0 | 144.0 | 333.0 | 454.0 | 539.0 | 619.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 239.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 105.0 | 159.0 | 342.0 | 456.0 | 535.0 | 610.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 245.0 | 61.0 | 79.0 | 105.0 | 162.0 | 354.0 | 475.0 | 559.0 | 638.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 276.0 | 59.0 | 80.0 | 109.0 | 175.0 | 411.0 | 563.0 | 669.0 | 771.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 314.0 | 53.0 | 76.0 | 109.0 | 188.0 | 487.0 | 689.0 | 831.0 | 968.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 347.0 | 58.0 | 83.0 | 120.0 | 207.0 | 541.0 | 765.0 | 924.0 | 1077.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 406.0 | 56.0 | 83.0 | 126.0 | 230.0 | 656.0 | 952.0 | 1164.0 | 1369.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 479.0 | 60.0 | 91.0 | 141.0 | 265.0 | 786.0 | 1153.0 | 1416.0 | 1673.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 570.0 | 55.0 | 88.0 | 145.0 | 296.0 | 981.0 | 1482.0 | 1847.0 | 2205.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 639.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 148.0 | 319.0 | 1130.0 | 1740.0 | 2186.0 | 2626.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 667.0 | 52.0 | 89.0 | 152.0 | 331.0 | 1186.0 | 1832.0 | 2306.0 | 2773.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 700.0 | 39.0 | 71.0 | 133.0 | 320.0 | 1313.0 | 2097.0 | 2681.0 | 3260.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1195.0 | 110.0 | 179.0 | 297.0 | 615.0 | 2070.0 | 3145.0 | 3929.0 | 4697.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1552.0 | 203.0 | 305.0 | 467.0 | 869.0 | 2532.0 | 3699.0 | 4536.0 | 5349.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 1929.0 | 325.0 | 461.0 | 666.0 | 1149.0 | 3007.0 | 4260.0 | 5147.0 | 6002.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 2334.0 | 477.0 | 648.0 | 897.0 | 1460.0 | 3507.0 | 4844.0 | 5779.0 | 6676.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 3023.0 | 774.0 | 1001.0 | 1320.0 | 2006.0 | 4340.0 | 5804.0 | 6813.0 | 7773.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 3551.0 | 1028.0 | 1296.0 | 1664.0 | 2435.0 | 4966.0 | 6518.0 | 7580.0 | 8583.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 4221.0 | 1376.0 | 1692.0 | 2118.0 | 2991.0 | 5752.0 | 7406.0 | 8528.0 | 9584.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 4691.0 | 1634.0 | 1982.0 | 2446.0 | 3385.0 | 6298.0 | 8019.0 | 9181.0 | 10270.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 5341.0 | 2007.0 | 2397.0 | 2912.0 | 3937.0 | 7046.0 | 8856.0 | 10069.0 | 11202.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 5830.0 | 2297.0 | 2718.0 | 3269.0 | 4356.0 | 7605.0 | 9477.0 | 10727.0 | 11892.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 6582.0 | 2759.0 | 3225.0 | 3829.0 | 5007.0 | 8460.0 | 10423.0 | 11727.0 | 12938.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 6748.0 | 2863.0 | 3338.0 | 3953.0 | 5151.0 | 8647.0 | 10629.0 | 11945.0 | 13166.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 6997.0 | 3020.0 | 3510.0 | 4142.0 | 5368.0 | 8928.0 | 10939.0 | 12272.0 | 13508.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 7624.0 | 3424.0 | 3948.0 | 4621.0 | 5916.0 | 9633.0 | 11715.0 | 13089.0 | 14361.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 7534.0 | 3366.0 | 3885.0 | 4552.0 | 5838.0 | 9533.0 | 11605.0 | 12973.0 | 14240.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 7619.0 | 3420.0 | 3945.0 | 4617.0 | 5912.0 | 9628.0 | 11709.0 | 13082.0 | 14354.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 6867.0 | 2938.0 | 3420.0 | 4043.0 | 5254.0 | 8781.0 | 10777.0 | 12101.0 | 13330.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 6090.0 | 2455.0 | 2892.0 | 3461.0 | 4581.0 | 7901.0 | 9806.0 | 11075.0 | 12256.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 4934.0 | 1771.0 | 2136.0 | 2619.0 | 3591.0 | 6578.0 | 8333.0 | 9514.0 | 10621.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 3985.0 | 1251.0 | 1550.0 | 1956.0 | 2794.0 | 5477.0 | 7096.0 | 8198.0 | 9235.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 2844.0 | 693.0 | 906.0 | 1207.0 | 1863.0 | 4125.0 | 5558.0 | 6549.0 | 7493.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 2180.0 | 417.0 | 574.0 | 807.0 | 1341.0 | 3318.0 | 4625.0 | 5542.0 | 6423.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1630.0 | 227.0 | 336.0 | 507.0 | 926.0 | 2632.0 | 3818.0 | 4665.0 | 5487.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1319.0 | 140.0 | 220.0 | 353.0 | 701.0 | 2232.0 | 3340.0 | 4143.0 | 4927.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1047.0 | 79.0 | 135.0 | 234.0 | 514.0 | 1874.0 | 2906.0 | 3666.0 | 4413.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 767.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 129.0 | 333.0 | 1491.0 | 2434.0 | 3142.0 | 3848.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 531.0 | 21.0 | 42.0 | 84.0 | 225.0 | 1048.0 | 1726.0 | 2237.0 | 2748.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 454.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 92.0 | 213.0 | 837.0 | 1323.0 | 1682.0 | 2038.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 368.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 78.0 | 177.0 | 667.0 | 1044.0 | 1323.0 | 1597.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 311.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 152.0 | 555.0 | 861.0 | 1085.0 | 1306.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 275.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 75.0 | 147.0 | 464.0 | 692.0 | 857.0 | 1019.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 245.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 140.0 | 393.0 | 569.0 | 694.0 | 815.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 210.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 120.0 | 337.0 | 487.0 | 594.0 | 698.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 193.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 118.0 | 294.0 | 411.0 | 493.0 | 571.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 178.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 71.0 | 114.0 | 264.0 | 361.0 | 428.0 | 492.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 177.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 67.0 | 110.0 | 267.0 | 369.0 | 441.0 | 510.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 199.0 | 42.0 | 57.0 | 78.0 | 126.0 | 296.0 | 406.0 | 483.0 | 557.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 211.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 87.0 | 136.0 | 308.0 | 417.0 | 493.0 | 565.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 202.0 | 44.0 | 59.0 | 80.0 | 128.0 | 299.0 | 409.0 | 485.0 | 558.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 207.0 | 46.0 | 61.0 | 83.0 | 132.0 | 305.0 | 416.0 | 494.0 | 567.0 |
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