Prediction 1703
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation 1 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 77.0 | 91.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 53.0 | 78.0 | 96.0 | 113.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 38.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 63.0 | 93.0 | 114.0 | 135.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 46.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 77.0 | 114.0 | 140.0 | 166.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 52.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 93.0 | 144.0 | 182.0 | 219.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 70.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 129.0 | 205.0 | 261.0 | 316.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 89.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 38.0 | 174.0 | 286.0 | 370.0 | 454.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 117.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 44.0 | 247.0 | 425.0 | 561.0 | 698.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 122.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 40.0 | 285.0 | 518.0 | 700.0 | 886.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 138.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 48.0 | 309.0 | 547.0 | 731.0 | 918.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 102.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 41.0 | 209.0 | 352.0 | 461.0 | 570.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 90.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 159.0 | 243.0 | 304.0 | 365.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 175.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 71.0 | 356.0 | 597.0 | 780.0 | 964.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 190.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 75.0 | 392.0 | 662.0 | 867.0 | 1074.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 209.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 91.0 | 404.0 | 658.0 | 849.0 | 1039.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 235.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 109.0 | 437.0 | 693.0 | 883.0 | 1071.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 253.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 48.0 | 116.0 | 474.0 | 756.0 | 966.0 | 1173.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 265.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 55.0 | 126.0 | 486.0 | 765.0 | 972.0 | 1176.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 272.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 67.0 | 140.0 | 472.0 | 717.0 | 896.0 | 1071.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 256.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | 67.0 | 135.0 | 435.0 | 654.0 | 813.0 | 968.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 258.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 73.0 | 141.0 | 429.0 | 635.0 | 783.0 | 928.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 260.0 | 46.0 | 65.0 | 93.0 | 157.0 | 399.0 | 561.0 | 674.0 | 783.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 266.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 85.0 | 153.0 | 424.0 | 611.0 | 744.0 | 872.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 266.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 81.0 | 150.0 | 432.0 | 628.0 | 768.0 | 904.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 249.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 75.0 | 139.0 | 405.0 | 590.0 | 723.0 | 851.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 261.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 81.0 | 148.0 | 421.0 | 610.0 | 744.0 | 875.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 257.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 84.0 | 149.0 | 408.0 | 584.0 | 710.0 | 831.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 246.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 141.0 | 393.0 | 567.0 | 690.0 | 810.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 243.0 | 41.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 145.0 | 379.0 | 537.0 | 648.0 | 756.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 245.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 147.0 | 378.0 | 533.0 | 642.0 | 748.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 226.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 80.0 | 136.0 | 349.0 | 490.0 | 590.0 | 686.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 212.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 78.0 | 130.0 | 323.0 | 450.0 | 540.0 | 626.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 180.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 104.0 | 287.0 | 412.0 | 501.0 | 588.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 155.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 92.0 | 243.0 | 346.0 | 418.0 | 488.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 133.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 81.0 | 205.0 | 288.0 | 346.0 | 402.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 116.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 68.0 | 185.0 | 265.0 | 322.0 | 377.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 90.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 140.0 | 199.0 | 240.0 | 279.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 66.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 97.0 | 132.0 | 156.0 | 179.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 54.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 82.0 | 113.0 | 135.0 | 156.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 47.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 73.0 | 103.0 | 124.0 | 144.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 40.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 64.0 | 92.0 | 111.0 | 130.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 35.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 54.0 | 77.0 | 93.0 | 108.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 37.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 56.0 | 78.0 | 94.0 | 109.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 83.0 | 96.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 106.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 44.0 | 61.0 | 73.0 | 84.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 67.0 | 79.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 69.0 | 82.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 55.0 | 67.0 | 79.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 77.0 | 92.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 | 61.0 |
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