Prediction 1704
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 258.0 | 547.0 | 787.0 | 1040.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 291.0 | 613.0 | 881.0 | 1161.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 287.0 | 605.0 | 869.0 | 1145.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 301.0 | 597.0 | 836.0 | 1084.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 32.0 | 329.0 | 643.0 | 896.0 | 1158.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 140.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 38.0 | 366.0 | 705.0 | 978.0 | 1259.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 152.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 391.0 | 747.0 | 1033.0 | 1327.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 170.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 418.0 | 782.0 | 1071.0 | 1367.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 184.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 58.0 | 438.0 | 802.0 | 1089.0 | 1382.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 173.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 55.0 | 408.0 | 745.0 | 1011.0 | 1281.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 165.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 49.0 | 404.0 | 755.0 | 1033.0 | 1318.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 139.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 36.0 | 371.0 | 725.0 | 1010.0 | 1305.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 284.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 | 101.0 | 626.0 | 1102.0 | 1470.0 | 1843.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 292.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 105.0 | 640.0 | 1121.0 | 1492.0 | 1868.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 331.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 46.0 | 133.0 | 678.0 | 1141.0 | 1493.0 | 1846.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 307.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 47.0 | 128.0 | 613.0 | 1017.0 | 1322.0 | 1627.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 308.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 119.0 | 644.0 | 1097.0 | 1444.0 | 1793.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 301.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 39.0 | 117.0 | 628.0 | 1069.0 | 1405.0 | 1744.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 299.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 117.0 | 620.0 | 1051.0 | 1380.0 | 1711.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 255.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | 96.0 | 542.0 | 932.0 | 1231.0 | 1533.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 248.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 95.0 | 521.0 | 891.0 | 1175.0 | 1460.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 212.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 84.0 | 436.0 | 737.0 | 967.0 | 1197.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 192.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 77.0 | 391.0 | 657.0 | 860.0 | 1063.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 167.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 74.0 | 318.0 | 513.0 | 659.0 | 803.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 137.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 59.0 | 267.0 | 436.0 | 562.0 | 689.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 129.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 58.0 | 242.0 | 388.0 | 496.0 | 604.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 110.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 53.0 | 201.0 | 314.0 | 398.0 | 481.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 96.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 49.0 | 166.0 | 252.0 | 315.0 | 377.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 79.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 148.0 | 237.0 | 303.0 | 368.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 81.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 139.0 | 211.0 | 263.0 | 314.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 74.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 126.0 | 190.0 | 236.0 | 281.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 64.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 105.0 | 155.0 | 190.0 | 224.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 57.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 94.0 | 138.0 | 170.0 | 200.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 53.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 84.0 | 120.0 | 146.0 | 171.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 45.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 81.0 | 127.0 | 161.0 | 195.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 42.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 69.0 | 101.0 | 125.0 | 147.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 34.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 61.0 | 95.0 | 121.0 | 146.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 63.0 | 97.0 | 122.0 | 147.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 62.0 | 94.0 | 117.0 | 140.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 34.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 59.0 | 89.0 | 111.0 | 132.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 60.0 | 96.0 | 123.0 | 150.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 59.0 | 100.0 | 131.0 | 163.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 64.0 | 106.0 | 137.0 | 168.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 59.0 | 105.0 | 140.0 | 176.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 64.0 | 112.0 | 150.0 | 187.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 82.0 | 160.0 | 223.0 | 287.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 125.0 | 267.0 | 386.0 | 511.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 157.0 | 357.0 | 528.0 | 710.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 212.0 | 486.0 | 722.0 | 971.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 216.0 | 501.0 | 746.0 | 1008.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 214.0 | 503.0 | 754.0 | 1021.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 252.0 | 580.0 | 861.0 | 1161.0 |
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