Prediction 1705
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 126.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 217.0 | 329.0 | 410.0 | 489.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 132.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 63.0 | 241.0 | 378.0 | 480.0 | 580.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 118.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 218.0 | 345.0 | 439.0 | 533.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 110.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 48.0 | 213.0 | 348.0 | 449.0 | 550.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 121.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 45.0 | 258.0 | 445.0 | 589.0 | 734.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 118.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 41.0 | 261.0 | 459.0 | 614.0 | 770.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 99.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 41.0 | 197.0 | 326.0 | 424.0 | 521.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 91.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 35.0 | 191.0 | 324.0 | 427.0 | 529.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 94.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 192.0 | 322.0 | 421.0 | 520.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 87.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 34.0 | 182.0 | 308.0 | 405.0 | 502.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 68.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 27.0 | 138.0 | 231.0 | 302.0 | 373.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 133.0 | 240.0 | 323.0 | 408.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 81.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 158.0 | 260.0 | 336.0 | 412.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 100.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 48.0 | 182.0 | 286.0 | 362.0 | 437.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 107.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 51.0 | 195.0 | 306.0 | 388.0 | 468.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 107.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 209.0 | 342.0 | 442.0 | 541.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 118.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 231.0 | 380.0 | 492.0 | 604.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 134.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 255.0 | 411.0 | 528.0 | 644.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 141.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 59.0 | 279.0 | 460.0 | 597.0 | 733.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 146.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 58.0 | 298.0 | 503.0 | 658.0 | 814.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 178.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 68.0 | 373.0 | 638.0 | 840.0 | 1044.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 203.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 73.0 | 447.0 | 784.0 | 1044.0 | 1308.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 212.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 73.0 | 475.0 | 844.0 | 1131.0 | 1422.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 235.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 73.0 | 564.0 | 1038.0 | 1412.0 | 1794.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 237.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 69.0 | 590.0 | 1111.0 | 1524.0 | 1948.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 286.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 105.0 | 618.0 | 1075.0 | 1427.0 | 1782.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 306.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 112.0 | 661.0 | 1149.0 | 1524.0 | 1904.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 336.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 130.0 | 703.0 | 1200.0 | 1580.0 | 1962.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 346.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 46.0 | 135.0 | 719.0 | 1221.0 | 1604.0 | 1989.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 401.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 51.0 | 154.0 | 840.0 | 1434.0 | 1888.0 | 2345.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 438.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 61.0 | 175.0 | 896.0 | 1509.0 | 1975.0 | 2442.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 460.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 69.0 | 190.0 | 922.0 | 1535.0 | 1999.0 | 2462.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 428.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 58.0 | 169.0 | 883.0 | 1493.0 | 1958.0 | 2425.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 437.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 179.0 | 881.0 | 1471.0 | 1918.0 | 2366.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 439.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 73.0 | 189.0 | 855.0 | 1399.0 | 1807.0 | 2215.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 440.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 84.0 | 202.0 | 823.0 | 1312.0 | 1676.0 | 2037.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 384.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 63.0 | 165.0 | 751.0 | 1230.0 | 1591.0 | 1950.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 380.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 68.0 | 169.0 | 725.0 | 1171.0 | 1505.0 | 1836.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 365.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 63.0 | 161.0 | 702.0 | 1138.0 | 1465.0 | 1791.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 360.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 162.0 | 684.0 | 1100.0 | 1411.0 | 1720.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 330.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 64.0 | 152.0 | 614.0 | 977.0 | 1246.0 | 1513.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 296.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 62.0 | 141.0 | 538.0 | 843.0 | 1069.0 | 1291.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 280.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 58.0 | 133.0 | 513.0 | 808.0 | 1026.0 | 1241.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 256.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 58.0 | 127.0 | 455.0 | 702.0 | 883.0 | 1062.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 245.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 56.0 | 121.0 | 437.0 | 675.0 | 849.0 | 1021.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 210.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 108.0 | 363.0 | 552.0 | 689.0 | 824.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 197.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 95.0 | 356.0 | 555.0 | 702.0 | 847.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 188.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 95.0 | 329.0 | 503.0 | 630.0 | 754.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 165.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 43.0 | 87.0 | 282.0 | 424.0 | 527.0 | 628.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 168.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 89.0 | 286.0 | 428.0 | 531.0 | 632.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 154.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 83.0 | 260.0 | 387.0 | 479.0 | 569.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 125.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 216.0 | 327.0 | 408.0 | 487.0 |
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