Prediction 1706
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 57.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 91.0 | 131.0 | 160.0 | 187.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 61.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 92.0 | 128.0 | 154.0 | 178.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 57.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 35.0 | 87.0 | 121.0 | 145.0 | 168.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 66.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 96.0 | 131.0 | 154.0 | 177.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 72.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 108.0 | 148.0 | 176.0 | 203.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 83.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 136.0 | 200.0 | 245.0 | 290.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 94.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 51.0 | 157.0 | 231.0 | 285.0 | 338.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 100.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 54.0 | 168.0 | 250.0 | 309.0 | 366.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 112.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 60.0 | 189.0 | 281.0 | 348.0 | 414.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 112.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 58.0 | 193.0 | 291.0 | 363.0 | 433.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 102.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | 174.0 | 263.0 | 327.0 | 390.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 89.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 37.0 | 178.0 | 296.0 | 385.0 | 474.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 171.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 72.0 | 338.0 | 559.0 | 725.0 | 892.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 207.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 84.0 | 421.0 | 705.0 | 920.0 | 1136.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 227.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 87.0 | 480.0 | 822.0 | 1085.0 | 1349.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 249.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 79.0 | 586.0 | 1070.0 | 1450.0 | 1837.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 290.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 101.0 | 649.0 | 1150.0 | 1539.0 | 1933.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 305.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 90.0 | 751.0 | 1407.0 | 1927.0 | 2459.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 323.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 91.0 | 822.0 | 1565.0 | 2158.0 | 2768.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 298.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 79.0 | 784.0 | 1521.0 | 2114.0 | 2725.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 320.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 89.0 | 821.0 | 1570.0 | 2170.0 | 2787.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 301.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 80.0 | 789.0 | 1526.0 | 2119.0 | 2731.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 281.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 82.0 | 697.0 | 1311.0 | 1799.0 | 2299.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 253.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 85.0 | 580.0 | 1041.0 | 1401.0 | 1767.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 216.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 77.0 | 476.0 | 837.0 | 1116.0 | 1398.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 204.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 76.0 | 439.0 | 760.0 | 1006.0 | 1255.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 189.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 80.0 | 371.0 | 611.0 | 791.0 | 971.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 171.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 84.0 | 306.0 | 475.0 | 599.0 | 721.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 142.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 70.0 | 251.0 | 387.0 | 486.0 | 584.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 137.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 73.0 | 231.0 | 344.0 | 426.0 | 505.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 125.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 216.0 | 326.0 | 406.0 | 484.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 118.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 62.0 | 199.0 | 298.0 | 370.0 | 440.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 103.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 165.0 | 238.0 | 289.0 | 340.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 99.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 155.0 | 219.0 | 264.0 | 307.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 100.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 58.0 | 159.0 | 227.0 | 276.0 | 323.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 90.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 53.0 | 140.0 | 199.0 | 240.0 | 280.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 83.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 129.0 | 182.0 | 219.0 | 255.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 70.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 111.0 | 158.0 | 192.0 | 224.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 73.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 114.0 | 161.0 | 194.0 | 226.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 76.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 114.0 | 158.0 | 189.0 | 218.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 67.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 101.0 | 141.0 | 169.0 | 195.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 64.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 92.0 | 122.0 | 142.0 | 162.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 58.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 89.0 | 123.0 | 148.0 | 171.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 56.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 87.0 | 122.0 | 148.0 | 172.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 51.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 72.0 | 96.0 | 113.0 | 128.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 48.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 | 96.0 | 107.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 48.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 | 95.0 | 107.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 48.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 | 95.0 | 106.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 56.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 77.0 | 100.0 | 116.0 | 131.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 53.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 | 109.0 | 123.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 61.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 93.0 | 129.0 | 154.0 | 179.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 65.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 95.0 | 129.0 | 153.0 | 176.0 |
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