Prediction 1707
Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
---|---|
Author | Bento Lab |
ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 36.0 | 64.0 | 85.0 | 106.0 |
2023-10-15 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 56.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 |
2023-10-22 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 91.0 | 119.0 |
2023-10-29 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 33.0 | 63.0 | 88.0 | 113.0 |
2023-11-05 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 58.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 |
2023-11-12 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 94.0 |
2023-11-19 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
2023-11-26 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 |
2023-12-03 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 |
2023-12-10 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 |
2023-12-17 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 |
2023-12-24 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 |
2023-12-31 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 39.0 | 67.0 | 88.0 | 109.0 |
2024-01-07 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 46.0 | 81.0 | 109.0 | 137.0 |
2024-01-14 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 46.0 | 81.0 | 107.0 | 135.0 |
2024-01-21 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 49.0 | 93.0 | 128.0 | 164.0 |
2024-01-28 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 68.0 | 118.0 | 157.0 | 196.0 |
2024-02-04 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 63.0 | 122.0 | 170.0 | 220.0 |
2024-02-11 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 66.0 | 123.0 | 169.0 | 216.0 |
2024-02-18 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 59.0 | 106.0 | 142.0 | 179.0 |
2024-02-25 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 75.0 | 139.0 | 189.0 | 241.0 |
2024-03-03 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 74.0 | 135.0 | 183.0 | 231.0 |
2024-03-10 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 68.0 | 116.0 | 153.0 | 191.0 |
2024-03-17 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 49.0 | 84.0 | 111.0 | 138.0 |
2024-03-24 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 57.0 | 103.0 | 139.0 | 175.0 |
2024-03-31 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 113.0 | 148.0 | 183.0 |
2024-04-07 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 51.0 | 82.0 | 106.0 | 129.0 |
2024-04-14 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 48.0 | 77.0 | 99.0 | 121.0 |
2024-04-21 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 44.0 | 71.0 | 91.0 | 111.0 |
2024-04-28 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 90.0 | 110.0 |
2024-05-05 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 54.0 | 97.0 | 131.0 | 165.0 |
2024-05-12 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 41.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 106.0 |
2024-05-19 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 35.0 | 61.0 | 80.0 | 99.0 |
2024-05-26 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 |
2024-06-02 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 65.0 | 80.0 |
2024-06-09 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 63.0 |
2024-06-16 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 54.0 |
2024-06-23 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 |
2024-06-30 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 51.0 | 64.0 |
2024-07-07 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 |
2024-07-14 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 54.0 |
2024-07-21 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 66.0 |
2024-07-28 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 31.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 101.0 |
2024-08-04 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 80.0 | 100.0 |
2024-08-11 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 33.0 | 58.0 | 78.0 | 98.0 |
2024-08-18 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 82.0 | 104.0 |
2024-08-25 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 29.0 | 52.0 | 70.0 | 88.0 |
2024-09-01 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 55.0 | 75.0 | 96.0 |
2024-09-08 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 29.0 | 51.0 | 68.0 | 85.0 |
2024-09-15 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 35.0 | 62.0 | 83.0 | 105.0 |
2024-09-22 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 33.0 | 58.0 | 78.0 | 98.0 |
2024-09-29 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 72.0 | 100.0 | 129.0 |