Prediction 1708
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 173.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 68.0 | 109.0 | 259.0 | 356.0 | 423.0 | 488.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 179.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 75.0 | 117.0 | 260.0 | 351.0 | 413.0 | 473.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 177.0 | 44.0 | 58.0 | 76.0 | 117.0 | 254.0 | 340.0 | 400.0 | 456.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 172.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 68.0 | 109.0 | 257.0 | 352.0 | 419.0 | 483.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 188.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 68.0 | 115.0 | 288.0 | 404.0 | 485.0 | 562.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 199.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 75.0 | 124.0 | 301.0 | 417.0 | 498.0 | 576.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 222.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 132.0 | 347.0 | 493.0 | 596.0 | 695.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 243.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 133.0 | 403.0 | 594.0 | 731.0 | 865.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 262.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 73.0 | 142.0 | 437.0 | 648.0 | 800.0 | 948.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 251.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 138.0 | 413.0 | 606.0 | 746.0 | 881.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 222.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 65.0 | 123.0 | 366.0 | 537.0 | 660.0 | 780.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 218.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 51.0 | 109.0 | 385.0 | 592.0 | 744.0 | 894.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 416.0 | 77.0 | 107.0 | 151.0 | 254.0 | 637.0 | 890.0 | 1069.0 | 1240.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 490.0 | 71.0 | 105.0 | 156.0 | 281.0 | 784.0 | 1130.0 | 1376.0 | 1615.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 573.0 | 112.0 | 154.0 | 215.0 | 354.0 | 867.0 | 1204.0 | 1440.0 | 1666.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 666.0 | 108.0 | 154.0 | 225.0 | 393.0 | 1045.0 | 1487.0 | 1800.0 | 2102.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 806.0 | 113.0 | 168.0 | 252.0 | 459.0 | 1298.0 | 1879.0 | 2294.0 | 2696.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 904.0 | 94.0 | 149.0 | 241.0 | 479.0 | 1533.0 | 2298.0 | 2852.0 | 3394.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 1069.0 | 84.0 | 143.0 | 245.0 | 530.0 | 1899.0 | 2931.0 | 3689.0 | 4434.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1178.0 | 106.0 | 174.0 | 290.0 | 603.0 | 2047.0 | 3117.0 | 3898.0 | 4664.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1283.0 | 131.0 | 208.0 | 337.0 | 676.0 | 2185.0 | 3284.0 | 4081.0 | 4861.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1396.0 | 160.0 | 247.0 | 390.0 | 756.0 | 2332.0 | 3460.0 | 4274.0 | 5068.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1498.0 | 188.0 | 285.0 | 440.0 | 829.0 | 2463.0 | 3616.0 | 4445.0 | 5252.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1500.0 | 193.0 | 291.0 | 447.0 | 836.0 | 2455.0 | 3594.0 | 4411.0 | 5205.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1451.0 | 233.0 | 334.0 | 488.0 | 854.0 | 2283.0 | 3254.0 | 3943.0 | 4608.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1569.0 | 306.0 | 420.0 | 588.0 | 970.0 | 2379.0 | 3305.0 | 3956.0 | 4580.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1574.0 | 314.0 | 429.0 | 597.0 | 979.0 | 2375.0 | 3290.0 | 3931.0 | 4546.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1524.0 | 264.0 | 372.0 | 535.0 | 914.0 | 2362.0 | 3334.0 | 4020.0 | 4681.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1511.0 | 270.0 | 378.0 | 539.0 | 913.0 | 2330.0 | 3276.0 | 3943.0 | 4585.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1520.0 | 249.0 | 356.0 | 517.0 | 899.0 | 2381.0 | 3383.0 | 4094.0 | 4780.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1491.0 | 226.0 | 328.0 | 486.0 | 865.0 | 2370.0 | 3402.0 | 4137.0 | 4847.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1354.0 | 166.0 | 253.0 | 393.0 | 746.0 | 2234.0 | 3288.0 | 4046.0 | 4784.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1178.0 | 128.0 | 201.0 | 320.0 | 630.0 | 1985.0 | 2962.0 | 3668.0 | 4358.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1087.0 | 112.0 | 178.0 | 288.0 | 575.0 | 1847.0 | 2771.0 | 3441.0 | 4096.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 951.0 | 93.0 | 150.0 | 245.0 | 496.0 | 1631.0 | 2461.0 | 3065.0 | 3656.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 779.0 | 71.0 | 116.0 | 193.0 | 400.0 | 1351.0 | 2053.0 | 2565.0 | 3068.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 607.0 | 49.0 | 82.0 | 141.0 | 303.0 | 1075.0 | 1655.0 | 2081.0 | 2499.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 533.0 | 51.0 | 83.0 | 136.0 | 277.0 | 916.0 | 1385.0 | 1726.0 | 2060.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 525.0 | 44.0 | 73.0 | 124.0 | 264.0 | 923.0 | 1416.0 | 1776.0 | 2131.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 481.0 | 38.0 | 65.0 | 111.0 | 239.0 | 852.0 | 1314.0 | 1652.0 | 1985.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 411.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 94.0 | 203.0 | 731.0 | 1130.0 | 1423.0 | 1711.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 361.0 | 35.0 | 56.0 | 92.0 | 188.0 | 621.0 | 938.0 | 1169.0 | 1395.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 334.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 182.0 | 555.0 | 822.0 | 1014.0 | 1201.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 299.0 | 41.0 | 61.0 | 92.0 | 170.0 | 484.0 | 703.0 | 860.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 262.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 151.0 | 418.0 | 601.0 | 732.0 | 858.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 238.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 82.0 | 142.0 | 371.0 | 525.0 | 633.0 | 738.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 221.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 126.0 | 354.0 | 511.0 | 624.0 | 732.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 207.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 114.0 | 341.0 | 502.0 | 617.0 | 729.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 201.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 117.0 | 320.0 | 458.0 | 557.0 | 652.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 189.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 66.0 | 113.0 | 293.0 | 414.0 | 499.0 | 581.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 188.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 | 74.0 | 119.0 | 280.0 | 383.0 | 455.0 | 524.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 180.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 113.0 | 269.0 | 369.0 | 439.0 | 506.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
