Prediction 1711
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 218.0 | 436.0 | 614.0 | 797.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 233.0 | 451.0 | 626.0 | 806.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 232.0 | 450.0 | 625.0 | 806.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 242.0 | 460.0 | 633.0 | 811.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 111.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 34.0 | 268.0 | 497.0 | 678.0 | 863.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 110.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 33.0 | 267.0 | 495.0 | 675.0 | 860.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 127.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 38.0 | 311.0 | 580.0 | 793.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 156.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 47.0 | 379.0 | 704.0 | 960.0 | 1223.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 176.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 49.0 | 450.0 | 860.0 | 1188.0 | 1525.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 190.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 54.0 | 482.0 | 914.0 | 1259.0 | 1613.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 193.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 59.0 | 463.0 | 855.0 | 1164.0 | 1479.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 228.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 70.0 | 548.0 | 1012.0 | 1378.0 | 1752.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 227.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 51.0 | 662.0 | 1352.0 | 1920.0 | 2511.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 285.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 73.0 | 762.0 | 1490.0 | 2079.0 | 2686.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 278.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 70.0 | 749.0 | 1473.0 | 2059.0 | 2665.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 278.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 71.0 | 750.0 | 1475.0 | 2061.0 | 2666.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 278.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 70.0 | 750.0 | 1474.0 | 2060.0 | 2666.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 289.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 75.0 | 768.0 | 1499.0 | 2088.0 | 2697.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 316.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 87.0 | 814.0 | 1561.0 | 2159.0 | 2775.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 327.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 92.0 | 833.0 | 1586.0 | 2188.0 | 2807.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 367.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 110.0 | 898.0 | 1673.0 | 2287.0 | 2915.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 396.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 31.0 | 124.0 | 944.0 | 1734.0 | 2356.0 | 2991.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 421.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 136.0 | 982.0 | 1784.0 | 2413.0 | 3053.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 413.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 132.0 | 970.0 | 1768.0 | 2395.0 | 3033.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 449.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 151.0 | 1026.0 | 1841.0 | 2478.0 | 3124.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 438.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 145.0 | 1009.0 | 1819.0 | 2453.0 | 3097.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 434.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 38.0 | 143.0 | 1004.0 | 1812.0 | 2445.0 | 3088.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 426.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 36.0 | 139.0 | 990.0 | 1795.0 | 2425.0 | 3067.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 418.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 135.0 | 978.0 | 1778.0 | 2407.0 | 3046.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 413.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 132.0 | 970.0 | 1768.0 | 2395.0 | 3034.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 408.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 130.0 | 963.0 | 1759.0 | 2384.0 | 3022.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 366.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 110.0 | 896.0 | 1670.0 | 2284.0 | 2911.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 326.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 91.0 | 830.0 | 1583.0 | 2184.0 | 2802.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 319.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 88.0 | 819.0 | 1568.0 | 2167.0 | 2784.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 296.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 78.0 | 781.0 | 1516.0 | 2108.0 | 2718.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 291.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 76.0 | 772.0 | 1504.0 | 2095.0 | 2704.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 244.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 57.0 | 691.0 | 1394.0 | 1968.0 | 2563.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 187.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 36.0 | 588.0 | 1249.0 | 1800.0 | 2378.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 167.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 549.0 | 1194.0 | 1737.0 | 2308.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 146.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 458.0 | 976.0 | 1407.0 | 1860.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 400.0 | 834.0 | 1194.0 | 1571.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 366.0 | 753.0 | 1073.0 | 1406.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 350.0 | 717.0 | 1018.0 | 1332.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 311.0 | 631.0 | 894.0 | 1166.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 275.0 | 542.0 | 758.0 | 982.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 249.0 | 495.0 | 695.0 | 903.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 223.0 | 436.0 | 608.0 | 785.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 209.0 | 415.0 | 582.0 | 755.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 250.0 | 499.0 | 701.0 | 910.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 221.0 | 436.0 | 610.0 | 789.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 208.0 | 412.0 | 577.0 | 749.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 226.0 | 459.0 | 649.0 | 847.0 |
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