Prediction 1712
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 447.0 | 198.0 | 229.0 | 269.0 | 346.0 | 567.0 | 691.0 | 773.0 | 849.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 489.0 | 223.0 | 256.0 | 299.0 | 381.0 | 615.0 | 746.0 | 832.0 | 911.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 479.0 | 238.0 | 269.0 | 309.0 | 383.0 | 589.0 | 702.0 | 775.0 | 843.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 479.0 | 204.0 | 238.0 | 281.0 | 366.0 | 612.0 | 751.0 | 844.0 | 929.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 564.0 | 252.0 | 291.0 | 341.0 | 437.0 | 713.0 | 867.0 | 969.0 | 1063.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 621.0 | 242.0 | 287.0 | 346.0 | 462.0 | 811.0 | 1013.0 | 1147.0 | 1273.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 707.0 | 248.0 | 301.0 | 371.0 | 512.0 | 948.0 | 1205.0 | 1378.0 | 1540.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 765.0 | 222.0 | 280.0 | 360.0 | 526.0 | 1069.0 | 1402.0 | 1629.0 | 1844.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 886.0 | 243.0 | 310.0 | 402.0 | 599.0 | 1253.0 | 1658.0 | 1936.0 | 2199.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 885.0 | 261.0 | 328.0 | 419.0 | 610.0 | 1233.0 | 1613.0 | 1872.0 | 2118.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 714.0 | 206.0 | 260.0 | 334.0 | 490.0 | 999.0 | 1312.0 | 1525.0 | 1727.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 683.0 | 145.0 | 195.0 | 268.0 | 432.0 | 1018.0 | 1399.0 | 1664.0 | 1919.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1678.0 | 263.0 | 379.0 | 557.0 | 981.0 | 2651.0 | 3789.0 | 4598.0 | 5379.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1953.0 | 333.0 | 471.0 | 679.0 | 1167.0 | 3037.0 | 4295.0 | 5185.0 | 6042.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 2232.0 | 437.0 | 599.0 | 838.0 | 1381.0 | 3382.0 | 4699.0 | 5623.0 | 6509.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 2447.0 | 522.0 | 703.0 | 964.0 | 1548.0 | 3645.0 | 5004.0 | 5952.0 | 6859.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2810.0 | 678.0 | 888.0 | 1186.0 | 1835.0 | 4084.0 | 5511.0 | 6499.0 | 7440.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2859.0 | 700.0 | 914.0 | 1217.0 | 1875.0 | 4144.0 | 5579.0 | 6572.0 | 7517.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 2895.0 | 716.0 | 933.0 | 1239.0 | 1903.0 | 4187.0 | 5628.0 | 6625.0 | 7574.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 2924.0 | 729.0 | 948.0 | 1257.0 | 1926.0 | 4221.0 | 5668.0 | 6667.0 | 7618.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 3120.0 | 819.0 | 1054.0 | 1382.0 | 2084.0 | 4455.0 | 5936.0 | 6955.0 | 7924.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 3217.0 | 865.0 | 1108.0 | 1445.0 | 2163.0 | 4571.0 | 6069.0 | 7098.0 | 8074.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 3373.0 | 941.0 | 1195.0 | 1547.0 | 2290.0 | 4757.0 | 6280.0 | 7324.0 | 8314.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 3390.0 | 949.0 | 1204.0 | 1557.0 | 2304.0 | 4776.0 | 6302.0 | 7348.0 | 8339.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 3272.0 | 891.0 | 1138.0 | 1480.0 | 2208.0 | 4636.0 | 6142.0 | 7177.0 | 8158.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 3424.0 | 965.0 | 1223.0 | 1580.0 | 2332.0 | 4816.0 | 6348.0 | 7397.0 | 8391.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 3344.0 | 926.0 | 1178.0 | 1527.0 | 2266.0 | 4721.0 | 6240.0 | 7281.0 | 8268.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3243.0 | 877.0 | 1122.0 | 1461.0 | 2184.0 | 4601.0 | 6103.0 | 7135.0 | 8113.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3241.0 | 877.0 | 1121.0 | 1460.0 | 2182.0 | 4599.0 | 6101.0 | 7132.0 | 8110.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 3263.0 | 887.0 | 1133.0 | 1474.0 | 2200.0 | 4625.0 | 6130.0 | 7164.0 | 8144.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2991.0 | 759.0 | 984.0 | 1300.0 | 1980.0 | 4301.0 | 5759.0 | 6766.0 | 7723.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2631.0 | 599.0 | 795.0 | 1075.0 | 1693.0 | 3868.0 | 5262.0 | 6230.0 | 7155.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2177.0 | 416.0 | 573.0 | 806.0 | 1338.0 | 3315.0 | 4620.0 | 5537.0 | 6418.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1859.0 | 335.0 | 468.0 | 667.0 | 1126.0 | 2860.0 | 4017.0 | 4831.0 | 5616.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1635.0 | 308.0 | 426.0 | 601.0 | 1002.0 | 2496.0 | 3485.0 | 4180.0 | 4848.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1380.0 | 284.0 | 385.0 | 533.0 | 865.0 | 2069.0 | 2855.0 | 3404.0 | 3930.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1138.0 | 269.0 | 354.0 | 475.0 | 740.0 | 1660.0 | 2245.0 | 2651.0 | 3038.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 887.0 | 185.0 | 250.0 | 345.0 | 558.0 | 1326.0 | 1826.0 | 2175.0 | 2510.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 736.0 | 195.0 | 250.0 | 328.0 | 493.0 | 1049.0 | 1395.0 | 1633.0 | 1859.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 620.0 | 172.0 | 219.0 | 284.0 | 421.0 | 874.0 | 1153.0 | 1345.0 | 1526.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 541.0 | 153.0 | 193.0 | 250.0 | 369.0 | 760.0 | 1001.0 | 1166.0 | 1322.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 458.0 | 149.0 | 183.0 | 230.0 | 324.0 | 625.0 | 804.0 | 926.0 | 1041.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 452.0 | 168.0 | 201.0 | 245.0 | 332.0 | 597.0 | 752.0 | 855.0 | 952.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 417.0 | 161.0 | 192.0 | 232.0 | 310.0 | 547.0 | 683.0 | 774.0 | 859.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 422.0 | 169.0 | 199.0 | 239.0 | 317.0 | 548.0 | 680.0 | 768.0 | 850.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 383.0 | 159.0 | 187.0 | 222.0 | 291.0 | 492.0 | 607.0 | 683.0 | 753.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 356.0 | 126.0 | 153.0 | 188.0 | 259.0 | 476.0 | 604.0 | 690.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 355.0 | 122.0 | 148.0 | 183.0 | 255.0 | 477.0 | 609.0 | 697.0 | 781.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 386.0 | 155.0 | 183.0 | 219.0 | 290.0 | 500.0 | 621.0 | 701.0 | 776.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 399.0 | 157.0 | 186.0 | 223.0 | 298.0 | 521.0 | 649.0 | 734.0 | 814.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 413.0 | 165.0 | 195.0 | 234.0 | 310.0 | 536.0 | 666.0 | 752.0 | 832.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 449.0 | 192.0 | 223.0 | 264.0 | 344.0 | 575.0 | 705.0 | 792.0 | 872.0 |
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