Prediction 1713
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 64.0 | 78.0 | 92.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 89.0 | 107.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 36.0 | 51.0 | 62.0 | 73.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 44.0 | 62.0 | 74.0 | 86.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 70.0 | 81.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 99.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 97.0 | 116.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 67.0 | 101.0 | 125.0 | 150.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 55.0 | 87.0 | 109.0 | 132.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 82.0 | 107.0 | 131.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 54.0 | 84.0 | 107.0 | 130.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 59.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 102.0 | 153.0 | 191.0 | 228.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 92.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 47.0 | 160.0 | 245.0 | 306.0 | 366.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 108.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 52.0 | 196.0 | 306.0 | 387.0 | 467.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 111.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 48.0 | 217.0 | 356.0 | 460.0 | 564.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 127.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 57.0 | 241.0 | 387.0 | 497.0 | 605.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 156.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 64.0 | 314.0 | 523.0 | 681.0 | 839.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 192.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 83.0 | 374.0 | 610.0 | 788.0 | 965.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 193.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 86.0 | 366.0 | 590.0 | 757.0 | 923.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 224.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 93.0 | 449.0 | 745.0 | 970.0 | 1195.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 223.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 95.0 | 439.0 | 722.0 | 935.0 | 1147.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 212.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 99.0 | 393.0 | 622.0 | 792.0 | 960.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 195.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 89.0 | 367.0 | 587.0 | 750.0 | 912.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 186.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 79.0 | 368.0 | 606.0 | 785.0 | 964.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 191.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 89.0 | 354.0 | 561.0 | 714.0 | 866.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 187.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 89.0 | 342.0 | 537.0 | 682.0 | 825.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 211.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 97.0 | 394.0 | 628.0 | 802.0 | 974.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 196.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 46.0 | 98.0 | 345.0 | 529.0 | 663.0 | 796.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 173.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 95.0 | 287.0 | 422.0 | 520.0 | 615.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 153.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 91.0 | 238.0 | 337.0 | 406.0 | 474.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 150.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 47.0 | 86.0 | 241.0 | 347.0 | 423.0 | 496.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 126.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 72.0 | 202.0 | 291.0 | 355.0 | 417.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 112.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 182.0 | 265.0 | 324.0 | 381.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 101.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 164.0 | 238.0 | 292.0 | 343.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 93.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 149.0 | 213.0 | 259.0 | 304.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 79.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 44.0 | 129.0 | 188.0 | 231.0 | 272.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 68.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 113.0 | 168.0 | 207.0 | 246.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 65.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 110.0 | 165.0 | 205.0 | 243.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 60.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 106.0 | 162.0 | 203.0 | 243.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 59.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 101.0 | 152.0 | 189.0 | 226.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 51.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 93.0 | 146.0 | 185.0 | 224.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 58.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 111.0 | 179.0 | 229.0 | 280.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 62.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 121.0 | 197.0 | 254.0 | 311.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 62.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 118.0 | 190.0 | 244.0 | 297.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 54.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 108.0 | 178.0 | 231.0 | 284.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 44.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 82.0 | 132.0 | 169.0 | 205.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 46.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 81.0 | 125.0 | 158.0 | 189.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 42.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 70.0 | 104.0 | 128.0 | 152.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 38.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 62.0 | 92.0 | 113.0 | 134.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 92.0 | 111.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 50.0 | 77.0 | 97.0 | 117.0 |
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