Prediction 1714
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 171.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 122.0 | 231.0 | 296.0 | 340.0 | 381.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 206.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 | 117.0 | 155.0 | 266.0 | 330.0 | 372.0 | 412.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 210.0 | 80.0 | 95.0 | 115.0 | 155.0 | 276.0 | 346.0 | 392.0 | 436.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 222.0 | 96.0 | 112.0 | 132.0 | 171.0 | 282.0 | 345.0 | 386.0 | 425.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 256.0 | 98.0 | 117.0 | 141.0 | 190.0 | 337.0 | 421.0 | 478.0 | 531.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 272.0 | 77.0 | 98.0 | 126.0 | 186.0 | 383.0 | 503.0 | 586.0 | 664.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 359.0 | 100.0 | 127.0 | 165.0 | 244.0 | 506.0 | 668.0 | 779.0 | 884.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 396.0 | 78.0 | 107.0 | 149.0 | 245.0 | 598.0 | 830.0 | 992.0 | 1148.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 493.0 | 76.0 | 110.0 | 162.0 | 288.0 | 780.0 | 1117.0 | 1356.0 | 1587.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 551.0 | 62.0 | 97.0 | 153.0 | 298.0 | 921.0 | 1367.0 | 1689.0 | 2003.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 568.0 | 38.0 | 66.0 | 119.0 | 271.0 | 1035.0 | 1625.0 | 2060.0 | 2491.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 596.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 77.0 | 230.0 | 1246.0 | 2125.0 | 2797.0 | 3472.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1226.0 | 117.0 | 189.0 | 311.0 | 636.0 | 2111.0 | 3194.0 | 3983.0 | 4755.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1587.0 | 214.0 | 319.0 | 485.0 | 894.0 | 2577.0 | 3752.0 | 4594.0 | 5411.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1866.0 | 303.0 | 433.0 | 631.0 | 1101.0 | 2928.0 | 4168.0 | 5046.0 | 5894.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 2107.0 | 389.0 | 540.0 | 766.0 | 1284.0 | 3228.0 | 4519.0 | 5428.0 | 6301.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2432.0 | 516.0 | 695.0 | 955.0 | 1536.0 | 3626.0 | 4982.0 | 5929.0 | 6835.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2659.0 | 612.0 | 810.0 | 1093.0 | 1716.0 | 3903.0 | 5302.0 | 6273.0 | 7201.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3032.0 | 778.0 | 1006.0 | 1326.0 | 2013.0 | 4350.0 | 5816.0 | 6827.0 | 7787.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 3329.0 | 919.0 | 1170.0 | 1517.0 | 2254.0 | 4703.0 | 6219.0 | 7259.0 | 8245.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 3836.0 | 1173.0 | 1462.0 | 1855.0 | 2671.0 | 5303.0 | 6899.0 | 7987.0 | 9013.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 4361.0 | 1452.0 | 1778.0 | 2215.0 | 3108.0 | 5915.0 | 7590.0 | 8724.0 | 9790.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 4918.0 | 1762.0 | 2126.0 | 2608.0 | 3578.0 | 6560.0 | 8313.0 | 9493.0 | 10598.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 5144.0 | 1892.0 | 2270.0 | 2770.0 | 3769.0 | 6820.0 | 8603.0 | 9801.0 | 10922.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 5290.0 | 1977.0 | 2364.0 | 2875.0 | 3894.0 | 6988.0 | 8791.0 | 10000.0 | 11130.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 5945.0 | 2367.0 | 2795.0 | 3354.0 | 4455.0 | 7736.0 | 9622.0 | 10881.0 | 12053.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 6106.0 | 2464.0 | 2902.0 | 3473.0 | 4594.0 | 7919.0 | 9825.0 | 11095.0 | 12278.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 5923.0 | 2353.0 | 2780.0 | 3337.0 | 4436.0 | 7711.0 | 9594.0 | 10851.0 | 12022.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 5583.0 | 2149.0 | 2555.0 | 3088.0 | 4145.0 | 7323.0 | 9164.0 | 10396.0 | 11545.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 5086.0 | 1859.0 | 2233.0 | 2728.0 | 3720.0 | 6754.0 | 8529.0 | 9723.0 | 10839.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 4366.0 | 1455.0 | 1781.0 | 2218.0 | 3112.0 | 5921.0 | 7596.0 | 8731.0 | 9797.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 3542.0 | 1024.0 | 1291.0 | 1658.0 | 2428.0 | 4956.0 | 6506.0 | 7567.0 | 8570.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2652.0 | 608.0 | 806.0 | 1088.0 | 1710.0 | 3893.0 | 5291.0 | 6262.0 | 7189.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2092.0 | 384.0 | 534.0 | 757.0 | 1273.0 | 3210.0 | 4498.0 | 5405.0 | 6277.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1667.0 | 238.0 | 350.0 | 526.0 | 953.0 | 2678.0 | 3872.0 | 4725.0 | 5551.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1302.0 | 136.0 | 214.0 | 346.0 | 689.0 | 2210.0 | 3314.0 | 4114.0 | 4896.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 980.0 | 66.0 | 116.0 | 207.0 | 469.0 | 1784.0 | 2796.0 | 3544.0 | 4282.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 668.0 | 45.0 | 79.0 | 141.0 | 320.0 | 1217.0 | 1907.0 | 2417.0 | 2921.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 509.0 | 40.0 | 68.0 | 117.0 | 253.0 | 903.0 | 1392.0 | 1750.0 | 2103.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 388.0 | 55.0 | 81.0 | 122.0 | 222.0 | 625.0 | 903.0 | 1102.0 | 1295.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 298.0 | 54.0 | 75.0 | 107.0 | 181.0 | 458.0 | 642.0 | 772.0 | 897.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 245.0 | 51.0 | 69.0 | 96.0 | 155.0 | 366.0 | 503.0 | 599.0 | 690.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 211.0 | 53.0 | 69.0 | 91.0 | 140.0 | 304.0 | 407.0 | 478.0 | 545.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 186.0 | 57.0 | 71.0 | 90.0 | 130.0 | 257.0 | 335.0 | 387.0 | 437.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 177.0 | 59.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 126.0 | 239.0 | 306.0 | 351.0 | 393.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 166.0 | 64.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 123.0 | 218.0 | 272.0 | 309.0 | 342.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 147.0 | 56.0 | 67.0 | 81.0 | 109.0 | 193.0 | 242.0 | 275.0 | 305.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 158.0 | 61.0 | 73.0 | 88.0 | 118.0 | 207.0 | 258.0 | 293.0 | 325.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 178.0 | 66.0 | 79.0 | 96.0 | 131.0 | 235.0 | 295.0 | 336.0 | 373.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 172.0 | 69.0 | 82.0 | 98.0 | 130.0 | 223.0 | 276.0 | 311.0 | 344.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 173.0 | 82.0 | 94.0 | 108.0 | 137.0 | 215.0 | 259.0 | 287.0 | 313.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 172.0 | 67.0 | 80.0 | 96.0 | 128.0 | 224.0 | 279.0 | 315.0 | 350.0 |
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