Prediction 1715
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 53.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 88.0 | 129.0 | 159.0 | 187.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 63.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 104.0 | 154.0 | 189.0 | 224.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 67.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 123.0 | 193.0 | 244.0 | 296.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 81.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 39.0 | 145.0 | 226.0 | 286.0 | 344.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 109.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 53.0 | 197.0 | 306.0 | 387.0 | 467.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 125.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 57.0 | 235.0 | 375.0 | 479.0 | 583.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 164.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 70.0 | 319.0 | 522.0 | 674.0 | 826.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 177.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 69.0 | 369.0 | 627.0 | 824.0 | 1023.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 199.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 77.0 | 418.0 | 714.0 | 940.0 | 1168.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 212.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 78.0 | 457.0 | 793.0 | 1052.0 | 1314.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 173.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 56.0 | 401.0 | 726.0 | 980.0 | 1239.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 181.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 45.0 | 495.0 | 980.0 | 1374.0 | 1781.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 403.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 128.0 | 955.0 | 1749.0 | 2373.0 | 3010.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 495.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 175.0 | 1096.0 | 1932.0 | 2580.0 | 3236.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 589.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 75.0 | 227.0 | 1236.0 | 2112.0 | 2783.0 | 3457.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 672.0 | 23.0 | 47.0 | 98.0 | 275.0 | 1356.0 | 2264.0 | 2952.0 | 3641.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 740.0 | 30.0 | 60.0 | 120.0 | 316.0 | 1453.0 | 2387.0 | 3089.0 | 3790.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 763.0 | 33.0 | 65.0 | 128.0 | 330.0 | 1485.0 | 2427.0 | 3134.0 | 3839.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 808.0 | 39.0 | 74.0 | 143.0 | 358.0 | 1547.0 | 2504.0 | 3220.0 | 3932.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 807.0 | 39.0 | 74.0 | 143.0 | 358.0 | 1547.0 | 2503.0 | 3219.0 | 3931.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 833.0 | 43.0 | 80.0 | 152.0 | 374.0 | 1583.0 | 2548.0 | 3269.0 | 3985.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 843.0 | 44.0 | 82.0 | 155.0 | 380.0 | 1596.0 | 2565.0 | 3287.0 | 4005.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 908.0 | 54.0 | 98.0 | 179.0 | 422.0 | 1686.0 | 2675.0 | 3410.0 | 4138.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 933.0 | 58.0 | 104.0 | 189.0 | 438.0 | 1719.0 | 2717.0 | 3456.0 | 4187.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 897.0 | 52.0 | 95.0 | 175.0 | 415.0 | 1670.0 | 2656.0 | 3389.0 | 4115.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 885.0 | 50.0 | 92.0 | 170.0 | 407.0 | 1654.0 | 2636.0 | 3366.0 | 4090.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 844.0 | 44.0 | 82.0 | 156.0 | 381.0 | 1597.0 | 2566.0 | 3289.0 | 4007.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 803.0 | 38.0 | 73.0 | 141.0 | 355.0 | 1541.0 | 2496.0 | 3211.0 | 3922.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 708.0 | 27.0 | 54.0 | 110.0 | 296.0 | 1407.0 | 2329.0 | 3025.0 | 3720.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 644.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 90.0 | 258.0 | 1316.0 | 2213.0 | 2896.0 | 3580.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 543.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 64.0 | 202.0 | 1164.0 | 2013.0 | 2666.0 | 3325.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 413.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 49.0 | 154.0 | 884.0 | 1528.0 | 2023.0 | 2522.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 308.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 120.0 | 642.0 | 1093.0 | 1437.0 | 1783.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 248.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 92.0 | 532.0 | 919.0 | 1217.0 | 1517.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 198.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 74.0 | 424.0 | 734.0 | 972.0 | 1213.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 157.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 55.0 | 349.0 | 616.0 | 824.0 | 1034.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 144.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 56.0 | 298.0 | 506.0 | 664.0 | 823.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 111.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 233.0 | 397.0 | 522.0 | 648.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 92.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 38.0 | 183.0 | 303.0 | 393.0 | 484.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 73.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 148.0 | 249.0 | 325.0 | 401.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 126.0 | 214.0 | 282.0 | 349.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 110.0 | 182.0 | 236.0 | 290.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 107.0 | 173.0 | 222.0 | 271.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 47.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 155.0 | 185.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 46.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 84.0 | 131.0 | 166.0 | 200.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 43.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 74.0 | 113.0 | 140.0 | 168.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 44.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 78.0 | 120.0 | 151.0 | 181.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 40.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 67.0 | 99.0 | 122.0 | 144.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 47.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 120.0 | 148.0 | 176.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 47.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 79.0 | 118.0 | 146.0 | 173.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 53.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 87.0 | 127.0 | 155.0 | 182.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 52.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 88.0 | 133.0 | 165.0 | 196.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
