Prediction 1716
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 84.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 123.0 | 167.0 | 197.0 | 226.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 98.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 141.0 | 188.0 | 220.0 | 251.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 99.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 63.0 | 147.0 | 202.0 | 240.0 | 277.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 114.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 169.0 | 231.0 | 274.0 | 316.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 145.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 217.0 | 300.0 | 357.0 | 412.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 166.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 99.0 | 260.0 | 369.0 | 446.0 | 520.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 208.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 117.0 | 339.0 | 494.0 | 605.0 | 712.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 250.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 64.0 | 131.0 | 428.0 | 646.0 | 804.0 | 959.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 287.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 76.0 | 152.0 | 487.0 | 731.0 | 907.0 | 1080.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 278.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 151.0 | 462.0 | 684.0 | 844.0 | 1000.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 225.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 128.0 | 362.0 | 525.0 | 641.0 | 753.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 215.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 51.0 | 108.0 | 378.0 | 580.0 | 728.0 | 872.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 550.0 | 27.0 | 51.0 | 98.0 | 245.0 | 1048.0 | 1692.0 | 2174.0 | 2652.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 617.0 | 33.0 | 62.0 | 116.0 | 281.0 | 1161.0 | 1858.0 | 2378.0 | 2893.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 655.0 | 41.0 | 74.0 | 133.0 | 309.0 | 1205.0 | 1902.0 | 2417.0 | 2927.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 698.0 | 50.0 | 86.0 | 152.0 | 338.0 | 1259.0 | 1963.0 | 2481.0 | 2992.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 741.0 | 61.0 | 102.0 | 174.0 | 371.0 | 1307.0 | 2008.0 | 2522.0 | 3027.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 734.0 | 71.0 | 114.0 | 187.0 | 382.0 | 1260.0 | 1904.0 | 2372.0 | 2830.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 745.0 | 86.0 | 133.0 | 210.0 | 405.0 | 1241.0 | 1839.0 | 2270.0 | 2690.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 691.0 | 89.0 | 134.0 | 206.0 | 386.0 | 1130.0 | 1653.0 | 2028.0 | 2392.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 721.0 | 89.0 | 136.0 | 211.0 | 398.0 | 1188.0 | 1747.0 | 2148.0 | 2539.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 694.0 | 98.0 | 145.0 | 218.0 | 396.0 | 1115.0 | 1613.0 | 1968.0 | 2313.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 701.0 | 111.0 | 160.0 | 234.0 | 411.0 | 1105.0 | 1578.0 | 1913.0 | 2237.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 681.0 | 116.0 | 164.0 | 237.0 | 407.0 | 1059.0 | 1498.0 | 1809.0 | 2108.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 623.0 | 106.0 | 150.0 | 217.0 | 372.0 | 969.0 | 1370.0 | 1654.0 | 1927.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 620.0 | 108.0 | 153.0 | 219.0 | 373.0 | 960.0 | 1353.0 | 1630.0 | 1897.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 631.0 | 96.0 | 139.0 | 206.0 | 367.0 | 1001.0 | 1435.0 | 1743.0 | 2042.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 581.0 | 53.0 | 87.0 | 144.0 | 299.0 | 1007.0 | 1530.0 | 1911.0 | 2284.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 537.0 | 53.0 | 85.0 | 139.0 | 281.0 | 920.0 | 1386.0 | 1725.0 | 2057.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 512.0 | 47.0 | 77.0 | 128.0 | 264.0 | 886.0 | 1346.0 | 1680.0 | 2009.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 469.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 116.0 | 241.0 | 814.0 | 1238.0 | 1546.0 | 1849.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 420.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 94.0 | 206.0 | 750.0 | 1162.0 | 1465.0 | 1764.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 367.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 84.0 | 182.0 | 653.0 | 1009.0 | 1270.0 | 1528.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 317.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 79.0 | 163.0 | 549.0 | 834.0 | 1042.0 | 1246.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 277.0 | 31.0 | 49.0 | 77.0 | 150.0 | 463.0 | 687.0 | 849.0 | 1007.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 244.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 131.0 | 410.0 | 610.0 | 754.0 | 895.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 221.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 116.0 | 377.0 | 568.0 | 706.0 | 841.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 180.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 49.0 | 97.0 | 302.0 | 450.0 | 557.0 | 661.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 161.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 85.0 | 276.0 | 414.0 | 515.0 | 614.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 134.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 76.0 | 214.0 | 309.0 | 377.0 | 442.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 117.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 67.0 | 188.0 | 271.0 | 331.0 | 388.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 105.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 61.0 | 167.0 | 238.0 | 289.0 | 338.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 103.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 63.0 | 157.0 | 219.0 | 262.0 | 304.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 96.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 57.0 | 150.0 | 213.0 | 257.0 | 300.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 98.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 63.0 | 144.0 | 196.0 | 232.0 | 266.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 83.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 119.0 | 158.0 | 186.0 | 211.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 72.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 101.0 | 132.0 | 153.0 | 173.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 76.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 101.0 | 128.0 | 147.0 | 164.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 82.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 61.0 | 108.0 | 135.0 | 153.0 | 170.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 79.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 108.0 | 139.0 | 160.0 | 179.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 75.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 105.0 | 137.0 | 159.0 | 180.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 78.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 111.0 | 148.0 | 173.0 | 196.0 |
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