Prediction 1717
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 68.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 35.0 | 118.0 | 181.0 | 226.0 | 270.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 59.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 98.0 | 143.0 | 176.0 | 207.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 55.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 91.0 | 134.0 | 165.0 | 195.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 70.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 36.0 | 121.0 | 183.0 | 228.0 | 272.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 82.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 45.0 | 135.0 | 198.0 | 244.0 | 288.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 96.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 47.0 | 172.0 | 267.0 | 337.0 | 405.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 109.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 52.0 | 199.0 | 312.0 | 396.0 | 478.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 116.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 52.0 | 221.0 | 356.0 | 457.0 | 557.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 123.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 56.0 | 230.0 | 367.0 | 468.0 | 569.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 109.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 206.0 | 331.0 | 424.0 | 517.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 77.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 149.0 | 243.0 | 312.0 | 382.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 76.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 150.0 | 246.0 | 319.0 | 391.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 156.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 83.0 | 266.0 | 398.0 | 494.0 | 588.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 196.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 56.0 | 107.0 | 324.0 | 478.0 | 589.0 | 697.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 235.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 135.0 | 377.0 | 544.0 | 663.0 | 778.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 271.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 69.0 | 141.0 | 465.0 | 702.0 | 875.0 | 1044.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 314.0 | 30.0 | 49.0 | 80.0 | 163.0 | 540.0 | 815.0 | 1015.0 | 1211.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 289.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 83.0 | 158.0 | 477.0 | 703.0 | 866.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 316.0 | 49.0 | 71.0 | 104.0 | 184.0 | 499.0 | 713.0 | 865.0 | 1013.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 286.0 | 46.0 | 66.0 | 97.0 | 169.0 | 449.0 | 639.0 | 773.0 | 903.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 310.0 | 59.0 | 81.0 | 115.0 | 190.0 | 471.0 | 656.0 | 786.0 | 911.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 323.0 | 84.0 | 108.0 | 142.0 | 216.0 | 462.0 | 617.0 | 723.0 | 824.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 335.0 | 87.0 | 112.0 | 147.0 | 223.0 | 478.0 | 638.0 | 748.0 | 852.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 285.0 | 63.0 | 84.0 | 114.0 | 182.0 | 421.0 | 575.0 | 682.0 | 785.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 241.0 | 55.0 | 73.0 | 99.0 | 156.0 | 354.0 | 481.0 | 568.0 | 652.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 248.0 | 62.0 | 81.0 | 107.0 | 164.0 | 356.0 | 477.0 | 560.0 | 639.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 229.0 | 63.0 | 80.0 | 104.0 | 155.0 | 323.0 | 427.0 | 498.0 | 565.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 196.0 | 59.0 | 74.0 | 94.0 | 136.0 | 271.0 | 354.0 | 410.0 | 462.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 172.0 | 56.0 | 69.0 | 87.0 | 122.0 | 233.0 | 299.0 | 344.0 | 386.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 188.0 | 77.0 | 91.0 | 108.0 | 142.0 | 242.0 | 298.0 | 336.0 | 371.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 175.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 | 100.0 | 132.0 | 227.0 | 281.0 | 317.0 | 351.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 149.0 | 61.0 | 72.0 | 86.0 | 113.0 | 192.0 | 236.0 | 266.0 | 294.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 120.0 | 46.0 | 55.0 | 67.0 | 89.0 | 157.0 | 196.0 | 221.0 | 245.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 108.0 | 41.0 | 49.0 | 59.0 | 80.0 | 142.0 | 178.0 | 201.0 | 224.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 94.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 128.0 | 165.0 | 189.0 | 213.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 90.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 131.0 | 176.0 | 208.0 | 238.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 75.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 51.0 | 105.0 | 138.0 | 160.0 | 181.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 74.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | 111.0 | 153.0 | 182.0 | 209.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 65.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 97.0 | 134.0 | 160.0 | 184.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 56.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 90.0 | 130.0 | 159.0 | 187.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 59.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 95.0 | 139.0 | 170.0 | 200.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 59.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 93.0 | 131.0 | 158.0 | 184.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 65.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 109.0 | 163.0 | 201.0 | 239.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 71.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 122.0 | 184.0 | 229.0 | 273.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 70.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 118.0 | 177.0 | 219.0 | 260.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 68.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 112.0 | 163.0 | 200.0 | 236.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 63.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 101.0 | 147.0 | 180.0 | 212.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 59.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 103.0 | 156.0 | 195.0 | 234.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 59.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 96.0 | 141.0 | 174.0 | 205.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 97.0 | 145.0 | 181.0 | 215.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 59.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 97.0 | 142.0 | 175.0 | 206.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 55.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 90.0 | 132.0 | 162.0 | 191.0 |
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