Prediction 1719
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 203.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 108.0 | 344.0 | 514.0 | 637.0 | 758.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 208.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 104.0 | 365.0 | 561.0 | 703.0 | 844.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 223.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 103.0 | 416.0 | 663.0 | 846.0 | 1028.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 228.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 77.0 | 519.0 | 930.0 | 1251.0 | 1576.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 253.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 81.0 | 597.0 | 1090.0 | 1477.0 | 1873.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 247.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 67.0 | 641.0 | 1233.0 | 1707.0 | 2196.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 237.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 72.0 | 574.0 | 1062.0 | 1449.0 | 1843.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 249.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 62.0 | 679.0 | 1342.0 | 1879.0 | 2435.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 254.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 677.0 | 1322.0 | 1842.0 | 2379.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 262.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 75.0 | 659.0 | 1249.0 | 1719.0 | 2201.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 203.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 62.0 | 492.0 | 913.0 | 1245.0 | 1585.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 147.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 41.0 | 372.0 | 708.0 | 976.0 | 1251.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 233.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 61.0 | 617.0 | 1199.0 | 1668.0 | 2152.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 253.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 70.0 | 646.0 | 1233.0 | 1703.0 | 2186.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 269.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 77.0 | 677.0 | 1280.0 | 1761.0 | 2254.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 300.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 89.0 | 737.0 | 1377.0 | 1884.0 | 2404.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 355.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 31.0 | 116.0 | 823.0 | 1490.0 | 2012.0 | 2543.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 404.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 129.0 | 950.0 | 1733.0 | 2348.0 | 2975.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 439.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 47.0 | 157.0 | 964.0 | 1690.0 | 2252.0 | 2820.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 456.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 52.0 | 168.0 | 984.0 | 1710.0 | 2269.0 | 2833.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 514.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 63.0 | 195.0 | 1086.0 | 1864.0 | 2460.0 | 3060.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 588.0 | 23.0 | 46.0 | 93.0 | 248.0 | 1165.0 | 1922.0 | 2493.0 | 3064.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 628.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 104.0 | 271.0 | 1225.0 | 2003.0 | 2588.0 | 3171.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 661.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 121.0 | 297.0 | 1255.0 | 2020.0 | 2591.0 | 3158.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 644.0 | 33.0 | 62.0 | 118.0 | 290.0 | 1221.0 | 1963.0 | 2516.0 | 3066.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 728.0 | 42.0 | 77.0 | 142.0 | 337.0 | 1355.0 | 2155.0 | 2749.0 | 3338.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 737.0 | 45.0 | 80.0 | 147.0 | 344.0 | 1363.0 | 2159.0 | 2749.0 | 3333.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 796.0 | 65.0 | 108.0 | 185.0 | 397.0 | 1407.0 | 2165.0 | 2721.0 | 3267.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 764.0 | 68.0 | 111.0 | 186.0 | 389.0 | 1331.0 | 2030.0 | 2540.0 | 3040.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 816.0 | 75.0 | 122.0 | 202.0 | 419.0 | 1415.0 | 2151.0 | 2687.0 | 3213.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 827.0 | 98.0 | 151.0 | 236.0 | 452.0 | 1372.0 | 2027.0 | 2498.0 | 2957.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 823.0 | 92.0 | 144.0 | 228.0 | 444.0 | 1378.0 | 2048.0 | 2532.0 | 3005.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 736.0 | 77.0 | 122.0 | 196.0 | 391.0 | 1247.0 | 1867.0 | 2316.0 | 2756.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 704.0 | 65.0 | 106.0 | 176.0 | 363.0 | 1217.0 | 1847.0 | 2306.0 | 2756.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 661.0 | 68.0 | 108.0 | 174.0 | 349.0 | 1125.0 | 1690.0 | 2099.0 | 2499.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 581.0 | 83.0 | 122.0 | 183.0 | 332.0 | 933.0 | 1349.0 | 1646.0 | 1933.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 491.0 | 63.0 | 95.0 | 146.0 | 273.0 | 804.0 | 1177.0 | 1445.0 | 1705.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 503.0 | 58.0 | 90.0 | 142.0 | 273.0 | 837.0 | 1239.0 | 1529.0 | 1811.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 475.0 | 53.0 | 83.0 | 131.0 | 256.0 | 797.0 | 1185.0 | 1465.0 | 1739.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 451.0 | 57.0 | 87.0 | 134.0 | 251.0 | 739.0 | 1083.0 | 1329.0 | 1569.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 410.0 | 58.0 | 85.0 | 129.0 | 234.0 | 661.0 | 956.0 | 1167.0 | 1371.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 351.0 | 54.0 | 78.0 | 115.0 | 204.0 | 555.0 | 795.0 | 966.0 | 1131.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 344.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 117.0 | 204.0 | 538.0 | 764.0 | 924.0 | 1078.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 337.0 | 63.0 | 87.0 | 123.0 | 206.0 | 514.0 | 718.0 | 862.0 | 999.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 295.0 | 50.0 | 71.0 | 103.0 | 176.0 | 458.0 | 648.0 | 782.0 | 911.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 279.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 92.0 | 163.0 | 442.0 | 633.0 | 768.0 | 899.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 258.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 75.0 | 142.0 | 424.0 | 623.0 | 766.0 | 905.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 248.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 69.0 | 134.0 | 416.0 | 619.0 | 765.0 | 907.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 230.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | 121.0 | 392.0 | 590.0 | 733.0 | 873.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 213.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 62.0 | 117.0 | 351.0 | 516.0 | 635.0 | 750.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 218.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 115.0 | 372.0 | 559.0 | 694.0 | 827.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 215.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 114.0 | 365.0 | 547.0 | 679.0 | 807.0 |
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