Prediction 1722
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 111.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 56.0 | 192.0 | 293.0 | 366.0 | 438.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 117.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 204.0 | 310.0 | 387.0 | 463.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 128.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 63.0 | 228.0 | 353.0 | 445.0 | 535.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 131.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 61.0 | 243.0 | 386.0 | 491.0 | 596.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 142.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 59.0 | 284.0 | 471.0 | 613.0 | 754.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 158.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 76.0 | 286.0 | 447.0 | 565.0 | 681.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 180.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 74.0 | 362.0 | 602.0 | 784.0 | 966.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 210.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 80.0 | 441.0 | 754.0 | 994.0 | 1235.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 261.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 95.0 | 567.0 | 990.0 | 1317.0 | 1646.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 276.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 92.0 | 633.0 | 1138.0 | 1533.0 | 1933.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 262.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 89.0 | 595.0 | 1063.0 | 1427.0 | 1797.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 245.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 63.0 | 658.0 | 1289.0 | 1799.0 | 2325.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 442.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 40.0 | 147.0 | 1015.0 | 1827.0 | 2462.0 | 3107.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 506.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 54.0 | 181.0 | 1113.0 | 1954.0 | 2605.0 | 3264.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 572.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 70.0 | 217.0 | 1212.0 | 2081.0 | 2747.0 | 3419.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 616.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 82.0 | 242.0 | 1276.0 | 2163.0 | 2839.0 | 3519.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 668.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 97.0 | 272.0 | 1350.0 | 2257.0 | 2944.0 | 3633.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 702.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | 108.0 | 293.0 | 1399.0 | 2319.0 | 3013.0 | 3708.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 750.0 | 32.0 | 62.0 | 123.0 | 322.0 | 1467.0 | 2404.0 | 3109.0 | 3812.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 822.0 | 41.0 | 77.0 | 148.0 | 367.0 | 1567.0 | 2528.0 | 3247.0 | 3961.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 915.0 | 55.0 | 99.0 | 182.0 | 426.0 | 1695.0 | 2686.0 | 3422.0 | 4151.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1046.0 | 79.0 | 135.0 | 234.0 | 513.0 | 1873.0 | 2905.0 | 3664.0 | 4411.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1202.0 | 112.0 | 181.0 | 300.0 | 619.0 | 2079.0 | 3155.0 | 3940.0 | 4709.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1263.0 | 126.0 | 201.0 | 328.0 | 662.0 | 2159.0 | 3253.0 | 4047.0 | 4824.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1346.0 | 147.0 | 230.0 | 366.0 | 720.0 | 2267.0 | 3383.0 | 4189.0 | 4977.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1488.0 | 185.0 | 281.0 | 435.0 | 822.0 | 2451.0 | 3602.0 | 4430.0 | 5235.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1451.0 | 174.0 | 267.0 | 416.0 | 795.0 | 2402.0 | 3544.0 | 4366.0 | 5167.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1392.0 | 159.0 | 246.0 | 388.0 | 753.0 | 2327.0 | 3454.0 | 4268.0 | 5062.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1406.0 | 162.0 | 251.0 | 395.0 | 763.0 | 2345.0 | 3476.0 | 4291.0 | 5087.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1333.0 | 143.0 | 225.0 | 360.0 | 711.0 | 2251.0 | 3362.0 | 4167.0 | 4953.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1289.0 | 132.0 | 210.0 | 340.0 | 680.0 | 2193.0 | 3293.0 | 4091.0 | 4871.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1166.0 | 104.0 | 170.0 | 284.0 | 594.0 | 2031.0 | 3098.0 | 3876.0 | 4641.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 930.0 | 58.0 | 103.0 | 187.0 | 436.0 | 1715.0 | 2712.0 | 3450.0 | 4181.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 827.0 | 42.0 | 79.0 | 150.0 | 370.0 | 1575.0 | 2538.0 | 3257.0 | 3972.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 705.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | 109.0 | 295.0 | 1403.0 | 2324.0 | 3019.0 | 3714.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 615.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 82.0 | 241.0 | 1274.0 | 2160.0 | 2836.0 | 3515.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 520.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 192.0 | 1121.0 | 1946.0 | 2582.0 | 3223.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 411.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 49.0 | 154.0 | 876.0 | 1510.0 | 1997.0 | 2488.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 363.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 56.0 | 152.0 | 723.0 | 1197.0 | 1555.0 | 1913.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 290.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 54.0 | 131.0 | 547.0 | 877.0 | 1123.0 | 1368.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 248.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 120.0 | 448.0 | 698.0 | 882.0 | 1063.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 210.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 49.0 | 105.0 | 371.0 | 571.0 | 718.0 | 862.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 191.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 90.0 | 351.0 | 553.0 | 702.0 | 850.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 178.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 82.0 | 333.0 | 530.0 | 677.0 | 823.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 159.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 76.0 | 289.0 | 453.0 | 574.0 | 693.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 141.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 70.0 | 251.0 | 387.0 | 487.0 | 586.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 125.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 215.0 | 324.0 | 404.0 | 482.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 116.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 199.0 | 301.0 | 375.0 | 447.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 118.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 203.0 | 306.0 | 381.0 | 455.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 120.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 208.0 | 316.0 | 395.0 | 473.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 113.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 58.0 | 195.0 | 296.0 | 370.0 | 442.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 115.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 196.0 | 293.0 | 364.0 | 433.0 |
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