Prediction 1723
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 107.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 155.0 | 208.0 | 245.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 109.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 75.0 | 150.0 | 195.0 | 226.0 | 255.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 100.0 | 34.0 | 41.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 134.0 | 171.0 | 196.0 | 220.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 92.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 65.0 | 125.0 | 161.0 | 186.0 | 209.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 97.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 137.0 | 181.0 | 211.0 | 240.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 100.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 135.0 | 173.0 | 198.0 | 222.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 100.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 136.0 | 174.0 | 200.0 | 224.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 100.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 144.0 | 192.0 | 225.0 | 257.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 99.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 141.0 | 186.0 | 218.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 99.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 63.0 | 145.0 | 198.0 | 235.0 | 269.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 84.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 140.0 | 208.0 | 256.0 | 303.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 80.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 43.0 | 134.0 | 200.0 | 247.0 | 292.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 126.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 213.0 | 319.0 | 396.0 | 471.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 144.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 75.0 | 248.0 | 375.0 | 468.0 | 558.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 165.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 77.0 | 306.0 | 485.0 | 618.0 | 750.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 191.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 77.0 | 389.0 | 653.0 | 853.0 | 1054.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 240.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 85.0 | 530.0 | 934.0 | 1246.0 | 1562.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 264.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 80.0 | 642.0 | 1192.0 | 1628.0 | 2073.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 326.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 94.0 | 817.0 | 1543.0 | 2121.0 | 2714.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 361.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 110.0 | 875.0 | 1622.0 | 2213.0 | 2817.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 411.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 131.0 | 967.0 | 1764.0 | 2390.0 | 3028.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 451.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 45.0 | 156.0 | 1011.0 | 1794.0 | 2403.0 | 3020.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 484.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 55.0 | 178.0 | 1044.0 | 1813.0 | 2405.0 | 3003.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 477.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 192.0 | 972.0 | 1633.0 | 2135.0 | 2639.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 450.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 186.0 | 905.0 | 1506.0 | 1962.0 | 2418.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 559.0 | 27.0 | 52.0 | 99.0 | 248.0 | 1068.0 | 1725.0 | 2217.0 | 2706.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 618.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 126.0 | 291.0 | 1136.0 | 1793.0 | 2279.0 | 2760.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 625.0 | 43.0 | 75.0 | 133.0 | 300.0 | 1136.0 | 1778.0 | 2252.0 | 2720.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 628.0 | 45.0 | 78.0 | 137.0 | 305.0 | 1132.0 | 1764.0 | 2230.0 | 2689.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 650.0 | 54.0 | 90.0 | 153.0 | 326.0 | 1145.0 | 1759.0 | 2209.0 | 2651.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 630.0 | 62.0 | 99.0 | 162.0 | 329.0 | 1078.0 | 1626.0 | 2024.0 | 2414.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 638.0 | 53.0 | 88.0 | 150.0 | 320.0 | 1123.0 | 1724.0 | 2164.0 | 2596.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 572.0 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 124.0 | 277.0 | 1033.0 | 1612.0 | 2039.0 | 2459.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 554.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 123.0 | 271.0 | 991.0 | 1538.0 | 1941.0 | 2337.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 517.0 | 35.0 | 62.0 | 110.0 | 248.0 | 938.0 | 1468.0 | 1859.0 | 2245.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 467.0 | 40.0 | 67.0 | 112.0 | 237.0 | 817.0 | 1248.0 | 1564.0 | 1874.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 433.0 | 41.0 | 67.0 | 110.0 | 225.0 | 745.0 | 1126.0 | 1404.0 | 1675.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 409.0 | 49.0 | 75.0 | 117.0 | 224.0 | 678.0 | 1000.0 | 1232.0 | 1457.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 400.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 110.0 | 215.0 | 670.0 | 996.0 | 1232.0 | 1462.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 380.0 | 40.0 | 63.0 | 102.0 | 202.0 | 642.0 | 961.0 | 1191.0 | 1416.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 346.0 | 37.0 | 59.0 | 94.0 | 185.0 | 582.0 | 867.0 | 1074.0 | 1276.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 305.0 | 30.0 | 49.0 | 79.0 | 160.0 | 519.0 | 781.0 | 971.0 | 1157.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 289.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 77.0 | 153.0 | 491.0 | 737.0 | 914.0 | 1088.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 291.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 77.0 | 154.0 | 494.0 | 741.0 | 920.0 | 1095.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 246.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 75.0 | 139.0 | 400.0 | 583.0 | 713.0 | 840.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 204.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 61.0 | 114.0 | 333.0 | 486.0 | 596.0 | 703.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 166.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 89.0 | 279.0 | 415.0 | 514.0 | 610.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 164.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 251.0 | 351.0 | 421.0 | 488.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 149.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 91.0 | 227.0 | 317.0 | 380.0 | 440.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 132.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 82.0 | 199.0 | 275.0 | 328.0 | 380.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 113.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 165.0 | 224.0 | 264.0 | 303.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 115.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 164.0 | 217.0 | 254.0 | 289.0 |
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