Prediction 1725
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 56.0 | 72.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 60.0 | 76.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 46.0 | 67.0 | 89.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 70.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 71.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 77.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 80.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 51.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 | 68.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 57.0 | 72.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 49.0 | 68.0 | 89.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 29.0 | 58.0 | 81.0 | 106.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 48.0 | 68.0 | 89.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 67.0 | 98.0 | 131.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 55.0 | 78.0 | 102.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 34.0 | 67.0 | 94.0 | 122.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 36.0 | 74.0 | 104.0 | 136.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 95.0 | 125.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 39.0 | 87.0 | 127.0 | 169.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 | 68.0 | 96.0 | 127.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 74.0 | 108.0 | 144.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 | 66.0 | 94.0 | 123.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 | 78.0 | 116.0 | 156.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 37.0 | 81.0 | 118.0 | 157.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 99.0 | 149.0 | 203.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 56.0 | 134.0 | 202.0 | 275.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 68.0 | 159.0 | 238.0 | 322.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 58.0 | 157.0 | 247.0 | 346.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 57.0 | 132.0 | 196.0 | 264.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 52.0 | 114.0 | 166.0 | 221.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 56.0 | 120.0 | 174.0 | 230.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | 112.0 | 145.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 46.0 | 90.0 | 126.0 | 163.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 42.0 | 78.0 | 107.0 | 137.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 96.0 | 126.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 47.0 | 92.0 | 128.0 | 165.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 89.0 | 124.0 | 160.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 73.0 | 99.0 | 126.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 56.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 49.0 | 67.0 | 84.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 31.0 | 60.0 | 83.0 | 106.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 50.0 | 67.0 | 85.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
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