Prediction 1726
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 60.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 62.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 38.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 56.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 | 65.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 37.0 | 64.0 | 84.0 | 105.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 50.0 | 90.0 | 121.0 | 153.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 86.0 | 163.0 | 224.0 | 287.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 172.0 | 361.0 | 518.0 | 683.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 305.0 | 694.0 | 1028.0 | 1381.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 111.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 432.0 | 1021.0 | 1535.0 | 2082.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 136.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 487.0 | 1103.0 | 1630.0 | 2189.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 503.0 | 1126.0 | 1658.0 | 2220.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 161.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 537.0 | 1176.0 | 1716.0 | 2284.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 158.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 531.0 | 1167.0 | 1705.0 | 2273.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 171.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 31.0 | 557.0 | 1205.0 | 1750.0 | 2322.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 142.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 499.0 | 1122.0 | 1652.0 | 2214.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 148.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 512.0 | 1140.0 | 1673.0 | 2237.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 478.0 | 1090.0 | 1616.0 | 2173.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 403.0 | 978.0 | 1484.0 | 2025.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 305.0 | 824.0 | 1300.0 | 1818.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 290.0 | 800.0 | 1270.0 | 1785.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 243.0 | 689.0 | 1105.0 | 1563.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 131.0 | 384.0 | 622.0 | 885.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 119.0 | 323.0 | 510.0 | 715.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 163.0 | 281.0 | 414.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | 134.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 78.0 | 106.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 81.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 64.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 |
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