Prediction 1727
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 71.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 69.0 | 104.0 | 141.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 80.0 | 126.0 | 176.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 78.0 | 117.0 | 159.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 93.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 63.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 75.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 83.0 | 105.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 52.0 | 98.0 | 133.0 | 170.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 76.0 | 165.0 | 238.0 | 316.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 123.0 | 262.0 | 378.0 | 500.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 154.0 | 337.0 | 492.0 | 655.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 197.0 | 447.0 | 661.0 | 888.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 345.0 | 889.0 | 1377.0 | 1905.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 421.0 | 1006.0 | 1516.0 | 2061.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 337.0 | 876.0 | 1361.0 | 1888.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 401.0 | 975.0 | 1479.0 | 2020.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 452.0 | 1052.0 | 1570.0 | 2122.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 138.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 491.0 | 1109.0 | 1638.0 | 2197.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 155.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 525.0 | 1159.0 | 1696.0 | 2262.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 166.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 547.0 | 1191.0 | 1733.0 | 2303.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 178.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 570.0 | 1223.0 | 1771.0 | 2345.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 149.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 513.0 | 1142.0 | 1676.0 | 2240.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 422.0 | 1007.0 | 1518.0 | 2063.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 377.0 | 938.0 | 1436.0 | 1971.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 381.0 | 944.0 | 1443.0 | 1980.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 315.0 | 840.0 | 1318.0 | 1839.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 214.0 | 669.0 | 1111.0 | 1603.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 232.0 | 701.0 | 1149.0 | 1647.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 230.0 | 698.0 | 1146.0 | 1643.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 81.0 | 238.0 | 385.0 | 548.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 56.0 | 157.0 | 250.0 | 352.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 111.0 | 181.0 | 259.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 69.0 | 113.0 | 162.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 109.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 84.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 61.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 59.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 |
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