Prediction 1730
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation 2 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 79.0 | 92.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 33.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 54.0 | 78.0 | 95.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 39.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 64.0 | 92.0 | 113.0 | 133.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 46.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 110.0 | 135.0 | 159.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 52.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 91.0 | 139.0 | 175.0 | 209.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 70.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 127.0 | 198.0 | 250.0 | 302.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 89.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 40.0 | 171.0 | 276.0 | 355.0 | 433.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 114.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 237.0 | 403.0 | 529.0 | 656.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 122.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 41.0 | 276.0 | 492.0 | 661.0 | 832.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 137.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 50.0 | 298.0 | 520.0 | 691.0 | 864.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 100.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 41.0 | 201.0 | 334.0 | 435.0 | 536.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 87.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 152.0 | 231.0 | 289.0 | 346.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 166.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 67.0 | 337.0 | 565.0 | 739.0 | 913.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 182.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 73.0 | 372.0 | 626.0 | 820.0 | 1013.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 207.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 93.0 | 393.0 | 632.0 | 811.0 | 988.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 229.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 47.0 | 108.0 | 420.0 | 661.0 | 839.0 | 1016.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 242.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 47.0 | 112.0 | 452.0 | 719.0 | 917.0 | 1114.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 256.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 122.0 | 465.0 | 729.0 | 924.0 | 1116.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 258.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 63.0 | 131.0 | 449.0 | 685.0 | 856.0 | 1025.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 248.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | 66.0 | 132.0 | 418.0 | 626.0 | 775.0 | 922.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 249.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 136.0 | 412.0 | 608.0 | 749.0 | 886.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 248.0 | 44.0 | 61.0 | 88.0 | 150.0 | 383.0 | 539.0 | 649.0 | 755.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 256.0 | 38.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 147.0 | 407.0 | 586.0 | 713.0 | 836.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 260.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 149.0 | 418.0 | 603.0 | 736.0 | 864.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 246.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 141.0 | 395.0 | 570.0 | 695.0 | 816.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 255.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 147.0 | 407.0 | 586.0 | 713.0 | 836.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 255.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 87.0 | 151.0 | 398.0 | 565.0 | 683.0 | 798.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 238.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 77.0 | 138.0 | 379.0 | 544.0 | 661.0 | 775.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 236.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 83.0 | 142.0 | 366.0 | 516.0 | 622.0 | 725.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 233.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 81.0 | 139.0 | 363.0 | 513.0 | 619.0 | 722.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 216.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 76.0 | 130.0 | 335.0 | 471.0 | 568.0 | 661.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 206.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 128.0 | 312.0 | 434.0 | 519.0 | 600.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 173.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 101.0 | 276.0 | 395.0 | 480.0 | 563.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 150.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 51.0 | 89.0 | 234.0 | 332.0 | 402.0 | 468.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 127.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 44.0 | 76.0 | 197.0 | 277.0 | 334.0 | 388.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 112.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 65.0 | 178.0 | 255.0 | 309.0 | 362.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 86.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 51.0 | 135.0 | 191.0 | 231.0 | 269.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 75.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 118.0 | 168.0 | 203.0 | 237.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 62.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 99.0 | 143.0 | 174.0 | 203.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 53.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 86.0 | 124.0 | 151.0 | 178.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 45.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 110.0 | 135.0 | 160.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 40.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 65.0 | 95.0 | 116.0 | 137.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 42.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 67.0 | 97.0 | 118.0 | 138.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 36.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 57.0 | 80.0 | 96.0 | 112.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 39.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 103.0 | 121.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 49.0 | 69.0 | 83.0 | 96.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 68.0 | 80.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 77.0 | 91.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 87.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 86.0 | 103.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 59.0 | 68.0 |
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