Prediction 1733
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 57.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 90.0 | 127.0 | 154.0 | 180.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 61.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 92.0 | 127.0 | 151.0 | 174.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 59.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 88.0 | 122.0 | 145.0 | 167.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 65.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 95.0 | 127.0 | 150.0 | 171.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 75.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 110.0 | 151.0 | 179.0 | 206.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 85.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 48.0 | 137.0 | 199.0 | 242.0 | 285.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 98.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 55.0 | 160.0 | 233.0 | 286.0 | 338.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 104.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 171.0 | 251.0 | 308.0 | 364.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 117.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 64.0 | 194.0 | 287.0 | 354.0 | 419.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 121.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 63.0 | 208.0 | 314.0 | 391.0 | 467.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 112.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 58.0 | 193.0 | 292.0 | 364.0 | 435.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 97.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 41.0 | 191.0 | 314.0 | 407.0 | 500.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 188.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 79.0 | 371.0 | 612.0 | 793.0 | 974.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 221.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 92.0 | 440.0 | 729.0 | 947.0 | 1165.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 245.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 96.0 | 509.0 | 863.0 | 1134.0 | 1405.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 258.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 87.0 | 588.0 | 1055.0 | 1419.0 | 1789.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 298.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 109.0 | 648.0 | 1129.0 | 1500.0 | 1875.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 315.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 99.0 | 752.0 | 1382.0 | 1878.0 | 2385.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 332.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 99.0 | 817.0 | 1527.0 | 2089.0 | 2665.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 312.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 85.0 | 808.0 | 1553.0 | 2150.0 | 2764.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 333.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 94.0 | 842.0 | 1598.0 | 2202.0 | 2822.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 308.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 87.0 | 779.0 | 1479.0 | 2037.0 | 2611.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 286.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 88.0 | 687.0 | 1269.0 | 1729.0 | 2198.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 255.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 89.0 | 567.0 | 1002.0 | 1340.0 | 1683.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 214.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 79.0 | 461.0 | 800.0 | 1061.0 | 1325.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 206.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 80.0 | 431.0 | 735.0 | 968.0 | 1202.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 188.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 82.0 | 362.0 | 588.0 | 758.0 | 926.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 171.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 86.0 | 300.0 | 461.0 | 578.0 | 693.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 139.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 71.0 | 244.0 | 372.0 | 466.0 | 558.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 135.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 38.0 | 73.0 | 224.0 | 331.0 | 409.0 | 484.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 123.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 65.0 | 209.0 | 314.0 | 389.0 | 463.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 116.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 63.0 | 194.0 | 288.0 | 355.0 | 421.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 102.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 161.0 | 230.0 | 279.0 | 326.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 97.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 58.0 | 150.0 | 211.0 | 254.0 | 295.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 97.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 57.0 | 153.0 | 219.0 | 265.0 | 310.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 86.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 51.0 | 135.0 | 191.0 | 231.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 80.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 124.0 | 175.0 | 211.0 | 246.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 72.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 111.0 | 157.0 | 189.0 | 220.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 75.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 115.0 | 161.0 | 193.0 | 224.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 78.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 49.0 | 116.0 | 160.0 | 190.0 | 219.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 68.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 43.0 | 102.0 | 141.0 | 168.0 | 194.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 66.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 93.0 | 122.0 | 143.0 | 162.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 58.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 87.0 | 120.0 | 143.0 | 165.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 55.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 85.0 | 118.0 | 142.0 | 165.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 52.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 74.0 | 97.0 | 114.0 | 129.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 49.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 66.0 | 84.0 | 96.0 | 107.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 49.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 66.0 | 84.0 | 96.0 | 107.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 50.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 67.0 | 85.0 | 98.0 | 109.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 57.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 78.0 | 101.0 | 116.0 | 131.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 54.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 74.0 | 95.0 | 110.0 | 124.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 61.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 91.0 | 125.0 | 149.0 | 172.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 65.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 95.0 | 127.0 | 150.0 | 171.0 |
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