Prediction 1740
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 89.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 86.0 | 102.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 71.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 67.0 | 78.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 47.0 | 71.0 | 89.0 | 106.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | 82.0 | 95.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 52.0 | 77.0 | 94.0 | 112.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 97.0 | 121.0 | 145.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 53.0 | 82.0 | 104.0 | 125.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 47.0 | 79.0 | 102.0 | 126.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 51.0 | 80.0 | 102.0 | 123.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 59.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 99.0 | 148.0 | 184.0 | 219.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 91.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 47.0 | 157.0 | 237.0 | 295.0 | 351.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 106.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 52.0 | 190.0 | 294.0 | 370.0 | 445.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 109.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 48.0 | 210.0 | 340.0 | 438.0 | 536.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 127.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 59.0 | 236.0 | 375.0 | 478.0 | 580.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 160.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 68.0 | 313.0 | 513.0 | 664.0 | 814.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 202.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 90.0 | 385.0 | 621.0 | 798.0 | 973.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 210.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 95.0 | 397.0 | 638.0 | 818.0 | 996.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 245.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 103.0 | 488.0 | 807.0 | 1048.0 | 1289.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 245.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 105.0 | 481.0 | 789.0 | 1020.0 | 1252.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 240.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 108.0 | 453.0 | 727.0 | 932.0 | 1134.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 226.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 97.0 | 440.0 | 720.0 | 931.0 | 1141.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 208.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 87.0 | 412.0 | 681.0 | 883.0 | 1086.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 216.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 97.0 | 409.0 | 656.0 | 841.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 210.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 97.0 | 391.0 | 621.0 | 793.0 | 963.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 230.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 45.0 | 106.0 | 430.0 | 683.0 | 872.0 | 1059.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 208.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 51.0 | 106.0 | 362.0 | 552.0 | 690.0 | 826.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 183.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 54.0 | 102.0 | 301.0 | 441.0 | 542.0 | 640.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 161.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 97.0 | 250.0 | 352.0 | 424.0 | 494.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 154.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 90.0 | 243.0 | 347.0 | 421.0 | 492.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 130.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 76.0 | 206.0 | 294.0 | 357.0 | 418.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 113.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 65.0 | 181.0 | 260.0 | 317.0 | 372.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 101.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 58.0 | 162.0 | 233.0 | 284.0 | 333.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 93.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 55.0 | 146.0 | 207.0 | 251.0 | 293.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 80.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 128.0 | 185.0 | 226.0 | 265.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 69.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 114.0 | 166.0 | 204.0 | 241.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 66.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 110.0 | 162.0 | 199.0 | 236.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 61.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 104.0 | 158.0 | 197.0 | 235.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 58.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 98.0 | 146.0 | 181.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 51.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 91.0 | 141.0 | 178.0 | 214.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 57.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 107.0 | 171.0 | 218.0 | 266.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 61.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 116.0 | 188.0 | 241.0 | 294.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 61.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 114.0 | 182.0 | 232.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 52.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 103.0 | 169.0 | 219.0 | 269.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 80.0 | 126.0 | 161.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 44.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 78.0 | 120.0 | 150.0 | 180.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 41.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 68.0 | 100.0 | 123.0 | 145.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 38.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 109.0 | 128.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 88.0 | 106.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 | 112.0 |
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