Prediction 1745
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 88.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 139.0 | 200.0 | 243.0 | 284.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 79.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 47.0 | 122.0 | 172.0 | 207.0 | 241.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 70.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 104.0 | 143.0 | 170.0 | 196.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 72.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | 106.0 | 145.0 | 172.0 | 198.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 72.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 102.0 | 135.0 | 157.0 | 178.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 73.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | 109.0 | 149.0 | 177.0 | 204.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 69.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 112.0 | 163.0 | 200.0 | 235.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 73.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 35.0 | 131.0 | 203.0 | 256.0 | 308.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 88.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 36.0 | 176.0 | 291.0 | 379.0 | 466.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 79.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 158.0 | 262.0 | 341.0 | 420.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 73.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 153.0 | 260.0 | 343.0 | 425.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 122.0 | 210.0 | 278.0 | 346.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 82.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 165.0 | 275.0 | 358.0 | 442.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 92.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 180.0 | 296.0 | 383.0 | 470.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 105.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 41.0 | 219.0 | 371.0 | 488.0 | 605.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 129.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 52.0 | 263.0 | 442.0 | 578.0 | 714.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 153.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 72.0 | 282.0 | 446.0 | 568.0 | 688.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 168.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 78.0 | 311.0 | 493.0 | 629.0 | 763.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 203.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 82.0 | 412.0 | 690.0 | 901.0 | 1113.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 226.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 36.0 | 95.0 | 448.0 | 738.0 | 958.0 | 1177.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 283.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 47.0 | 122.0 | 551.0 | 899.0 | 1161.0 | 1422.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 308.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 49.0 | 130.0 | 609.0 | 1003.0 | 1301.0 | 1598.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 340.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 65.0 | 156.0 | 636.0 | 1014.0 | 1295.0 | 1573.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 341.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 66.0 | 158.0 | 634.0 | 1008.0 | 1286.0 | 1561.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 336.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 64.0 | 153.0 | 632.0 | 1010.0 | 1291.0 | 1570.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 376.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 83.0 | 184.0 | 674.0 | 1046.0 | 1319.0 | 1589.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 403.0 | 37.0 | 61.0 | 101.0 | 208.0 | 695.0 | 1054.0 | 1316.0 | 1572.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 414.0 | 51.0 | 78.0 | 121.0 | 229.0 | 681.0 | 1001.0 | 1230.0 | 1453.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 416.0 | 62.0 | 90.0 | 134.0 | 240.0 | 662.0 | 951.0 | 1156.0 | 1356.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 452.0 | 54.0 | 83.0 | 129.0 | 247.0 | 749.0 | 1105.0 | 1361.0 | 1611.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 478.0 | 61.0 | 92.0 | 142.0 | 266.0 | 783.0 | 1148.0 | 1409.0 | 1663.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 500.0 | 70.0 | 103.0 | 156.0 | 285.0 | 807.0 | 1169.0 | 1428.0 | 1679.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 439.0 | 72.0 | 102.0 | 149.0 | 260.0 | 688.0 | 979.0 | 1184.0 | 1383.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 435.0 | 72.0 | 103.0 | 149.0 | 258.0 | 679.0 | 964.0 | 1165.0 | 1359.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 396.0 | 64.0 | 92.0 | 134.0 | 234.0 | 620.0 | 882.0 | 1068.0 | 1247.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 350.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 125.0 | 212.0 | 539.0 | 758.0 | 912.0 | 1060.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 313.0 | 57.0 | 79.0 | 113.0 | 190.0 | 481.0 | 675.0 | 811.0 | 942.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 315.0 | 50.0 | 72.0 | 106.0 | 185.0 | 495.0 | 705.0 | 854.0 | 998.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 303.0 | 49.0 | 70.0 | 103.0 | 179.0 | 474.0 | 674.0 | 816.0 | 953.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 283.0 | 45.0 | 65.0 | 95.0 | 167.0 | 445.0 | 634.0 | 769.0 | 898.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 264.0 | 44.0 | 62.0 | 91.0 | 157.0 | 412.0 | 583.0 | 704.0 | 821.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 232.0 | 44.0 | 61.0 | 86.0 | 143.0 | 351.0 | 488.0 | 585.0 | 677.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 211.0 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 72.0 | 125.0 | 330.0 | 468.0 | 565.0 | 659.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 192.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 111.0 | 304.0 | 437.0 | 531.0 | 622.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 184.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 107.0 | 291.0 | 417.0 | 507.0 | 593.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 150.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 90.0 | 232.0 | 327.0 | 394.0 | 459.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 147.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 83.0 | 237.0 | 344.0 | 420.0 | 495.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 129.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 71.0 | 213.0 | 314.0 | 387.0 | 457.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 114.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 63.0 | 189.0 | 278.0 | 342.0 | 405.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 109.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 61.0 | 178.0 | 260.0 | 319.0 | 377.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 92.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 49.0 | 154.0 | 229.0 | 283.0 | 335.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 90.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 50.0 | 147.0 | 216.0 | 265.0 | 313.0 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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