Prediction 1754
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 55.0 | 88.0 | 124.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | 136.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 62.0 | 99.0 | 140.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 93.0 | 127.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 81.0 | 127.0 | 178.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | 115.0 | 158.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 51.0 | 132.0 | 205.0 | 283.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 69.0 | 185.0 | 292.0 | 408.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 83.0 | 245.0 | 399.0 | 569.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 307.0 | 524.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 96.0 | 282.0 | 458.0 | 653.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 67.0 | 164.0 | 248.0 | 339.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 88.0 | 194.0 | 284.0 | 379.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 100.0 | 223.0 | 327.0 | 437.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 134.0 | 318.0 | 480.0 | 652.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 178.0 | 430.0 | 651.0 | 888.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 239.0 | 650.0 | 1027.0 | 1439.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 350.0 | 896.0 | 1385.0 | 1915.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 370.0 | 928.0 | 1423.0 | 1957.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 392.0 | 961.0 | 1463.0 | 2002.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 412.0 | 991.0 | 1499.0 | 2042.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 141.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 496.0 | 1117.0 | 1647.0 | 2207.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 412.0 | 992.0 | 1500.0 | 2044.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 136.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 486.0 | 1102.0 | 1630.0 | 2189.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 163.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | 541.0 | 1183.0 | 1724.0 | 2293.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 188.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 589.0 | 1250.0 | 1802.0 | 2380.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 210.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 44.0 | 630.0 | 1308.0 | 1869.0 | 2454.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 224.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 49.0 | 655.0 | 1343.0 | 1909.0 | 2499.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 236.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 54.0 | 678.0 | 1375.0 | 1946.0 | 2540.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 199.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 609.0 | 1279.0 | 1836.0 | 2418.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 145.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 504.0 | 1129.0 | 1661.0 | 2223.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 450.0 | 1049.0 | 1567.0 | 2119.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 445.0 | 1041.0 | 1558.0 | 2109.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 366.0 | 921.0 | 1415.0 | 1948.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 256.0 | 743.0 | 1201.0 | 1706.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 273.0 | 770.0 | 1234.0 | 1744.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 269.0 | 764.0 | 1227.0 | 1736.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 188.0 | 622.0 | 1051.0 | 1535.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 153.0 | 501.0 | 844.0 | 1229.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | 340.0 | 590.0 | 874.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 224.0 | 393.0 | 586.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 56.0 | 156.0 | 248.0 | 350.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 52.0 | 140.0 | 221.0 | 310.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 171.0 | 250.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 103.0 | 169.0 | 243.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 81.0 | 140.0 | 208.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 77.0 | 123.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 69.0 | 121.0 | 181.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 78.0 | 123.0 | 172.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 75.0 | 126.0 | 183.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 63.0 | 107.0 | 157.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 106.0 |
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