Prediction 1756
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation 3 (NegBinom Baseline model)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 275.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 93.0 | 162.0 | 432.0 | 615.0 | 745.0 | 870.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 298.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 101.0 | 176.0 | 467.0 | 664.0 | 804.0 | 939.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 307.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 102.0 | 179.0 | 484.0 | 692.0 | 840.0 | 982.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 336.0 | 53.0 | 77.0 | 113.0 | 198.0 | 530.0 | 755.0 | 916.0 | 1070.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 390.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 113.0 | 214.0 | 645.0 | 951.0 | 1171.0 | 1385.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 425.0 | 55.0 | 83.0 | 127.0 | 237.0 | 693.0 | 1013.0 | 1243.0 | 1465.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 511.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 131.0 | 266.0 | 876.0 | 1323.0 | 1648.0 | 1966.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 599.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 150.0 | 309.0 | 1036.0 | 1572.0 | 1962.0 | 2345.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 712.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 161.0 | 352.0 | 1269.0 | 1963.0 | 2472.0 | 2974.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 812.0 | 52.0 | 92.0 | 166.0 | 383.0 | 1491.0 | 2352.0 | 2989.0 | 3619.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 813.0 | 58.0 | 101.0 | 177.0 | 394.0 | 1467.0 | 2288.0 | 2892.0 | 3488.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 834.0 | 47.0 | 86.0 | 160.0 | 383.0 | 1560.0 | 2489.0 | 3179.0 | 3864.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 1420.0 | 166.0 | 256.0 | 401.0 | 773.0 | 2362.0 | 3497.0 | 4314.0 | 5111.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 1819.0 | 287.0 | 413.0 | 606.0 | 1066.0 | 2870.0 | 4099.0 | 4972.0 | 5815.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2292.0 | 460.0 | 627.0 | 872.0 | 1427.0 | 3456.0 | 4785.0 | 5715.0 | 6608.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 2821.0 | 682.0 | 893.0 | 1193.0 | 1844.0 | 4097.0 | 5525.0 | 6514.0 | 7456.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 3641.0 | 1074.0 | 1348.0 | 1724.0 | 2510.0 | 5073.0 | 6639.0 | 7709.0 | 8720.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 4343.0 | 1442.0 | 1767.0 | 2203.0 | 3093.0 | 5894.0 | 7567.0 | 8699.0 | 9764.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 5207.0 | 1928.0 | 2310.0 | 2815.0 | 3823.0 | 6892.0 | 8683.0 | 9886.0 | 11011.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 5841.0 | 2304.0 | 2726.0 | 3277.0 | 4366.0 | 7618.0 | 9491.0 | 10742.0 | 11908.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6765.0 | 2874.0 | 3350.0 | 3966.0 | 5165.0 | 8666.0 | 10651.0 | 11967.0 | 13190.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 7478.0 | 3329.0 | 3846.0 | 4509.0 | 5789.0 | 9470.0 | 11536.0 | 12900.0 | 14164.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 8475.0 | 3985.0 | 4555.0 | 5281.0 | 6666.0 | 10586.0 | 12758.0 | 14186.0 | 15504.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 8921.0 | 4285.0 | 4877.0 | 5630.0 | 7061.0 | 11083.0 | 13301.0 | 14756.0 | 16097.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 9215.0 | 4484.0 | 5092.0 | 5861.0 | 7322.0 | 11410.0 | 13657.0 | 15130.0 | 16486.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 10008.0 | 5029.0 | 5676.0 | 6491.0 | 8028.0 | 12289.0 | 14614.0 | 16132.0 | 17528.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 10009.0 | 5030.0 | 5676.0 | 6492.0 | 8029.0 | 12290.0 | 14615.0 | 16134.0 | 17530.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 9953.0 | 4991.0 | 5635.0 | 6447.0 | 7979.0 | 12229.0 | 14548.0 | 16063.0 | 17457.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 8982.0 | 4326.0 | 4922.0 | 5678.0 | 7115.0 | 11151.0 | 13375.0 | 14834.0 | 16179.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 8086.0 | 3727.0 | 4276.0 | 4978.0 | 6323.0 | 10152.0 | 12283.0 | 13686.0 | 14984.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 6734.0 | 2854.0 | 3329.0 | 3943.0 | 5138.0 | 8631.0 | 10612.0 | 11926.0 | 13147.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 5485.0 | 2091.0 | 2491.0 | 3016.0 | 4060.0 | 7211.0 | 9039.0 | 10263.0 | 11406.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 3873.0 | 1192.0 | 1484.0 | 1880.0 | 2701.0 | 5346.0 | 6948.0 | 8039.0 | 9068.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 2921.0 | 727.0 | 947.0 | 1255.0 | 1924.0 | 4217.0 | 5664.0 | 6663.0 | 7614.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2152.0 | 406.0 | 561.0 | 791.0 | 1319.0 | 3284.0 | 4584.0 | 5498.0 | 6376.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1753.0 | 265.0 | 385.0 | 571.0 | 1016.0 | 2786.0 | 4000.0 | 4864.0 | 5700.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1376.0 | 154.0 | 240.0 | 380.0 | 742.0 | 2306.0 | 3429.0 | 4240.0 | 5032.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 905.0 | 53.0 | 97.0 | 178.0 | 420.0 | 1681.0 | 2669.0 | 3404.0 | 4131.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 650.0 | 26.0 | 52.0 | 105.0 | 276.0 | 1278.0 | 2102.0 | 2723.0 | 3342.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 556.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 108.0 | 257.0 | 1036.0 | 1647.0 | 2102.0 | 2552.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 451.0 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 91.0 | 211.0 | 833.0 | 1317.0 | 1676.0 | 2031.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 387.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 78.0 | 182.0 | 713.0 | 1127.0 | 1433.0 | 1736.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 347.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 80.0 | 173.0 | 613.0 | 943.0 | 1185.0 | 1422.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 304.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 82.0 | 162.0 | 513.0 | 767.0 | 951.0 | 1130.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 265.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 140.0 | 451.0 | 676.0 | 839.0 | 999.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 245.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 134.0 | 407.0 | 600.0 | 740.0 | 876.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 228.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 127.0 | 371.0 | 541.0 | 663.0 | 782.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 224.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 125.0 | 368.0 | 538.0 | 661.0 | 780.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 251.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 142.0 | 407.0 | 591.0 | 723.0 | 851.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 262.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 86.0 | 153.0 | 415.0 | 594.0 | 721.0 | 845.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 250.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 144.0 | 400.0 | 576.0 | 701.0 | 822.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 263.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 80.0 | 148.0 | 426.0 | 619.0 | 757.0 | 892.0 |
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