Prediction 18
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2611606 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 2611606 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 47.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 382.36 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 53.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 393.16 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 88.96 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 500.76 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 102.10 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 505.71 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 46.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 567.89 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 51.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 556.14 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 24.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 513.50 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 44.24 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 553.27 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 73.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 465.99 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 56.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 442.15 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 69.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 450.74 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 61.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 363.30 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 56.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 407.49 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 70.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 436.98 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 55.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 427.17 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 77.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 435.11 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 92.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 459.61 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 101.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 552.45 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 114.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 645.11 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 102.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 724.43 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 107.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 927.21 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 132.87 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 778.98 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 163.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 799.85 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 144.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 859.98 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 130.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 664.51 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 127.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 704.91 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 130.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1034.36 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 232.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1312.73 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 171.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1203.94 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 117.80 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1088.15 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 115.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 757.96 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 132.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 677.38 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 144.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 681.72 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 136.91 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 752.42 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 147.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 731.43 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 239.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 729.46 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 208.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 705.07 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 137.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 556.95 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 135.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 525.65 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 122.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 549.34 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 69.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 388.76 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 57.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 290.16 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 50.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 229.13 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 41.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 231.48 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 35.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 246.52 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 33.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 202.33 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 44.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 306.73 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 33.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 266.33 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 47.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 274.39 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 35.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 250.70 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 27.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 253.27 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 38.80 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 242.48 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 29.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 161.54 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 35.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 391.01 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 22.81 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 372.98 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 35.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 462.11 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 42.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 547.07 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 141.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 513.06 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 73.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 465.08 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 99.38 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 382.46 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 98.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 327.49 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 95.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 288.63 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 67.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 228.31 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 76.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 264.97 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 114.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 271.43 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 122.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 360.55 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 418.13 | - | 93.28 | - | - | - | - | 742.98 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 467.23 | - | 91.17 | - | - | - | - | 843.29 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 286.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 768.86 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 228.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 845.94 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 162.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 707.65 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 138.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 686.34 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 105.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 616.10 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 151.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 616.42 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 113.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 592.12 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 103.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 566.46 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 96.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 598.13 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 69.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 483.65 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 69.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 527.29 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
