Prediction 19
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2704302 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2704302 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 57.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 188.36 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 66.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 149.46 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 54.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 113.60 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 28.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 111.71 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 25.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 101.13 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 109.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 226.35 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 123.53 | - | 29.10 | - | - | - | - | 217.96 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 89.88 | - | 7.81 | - | - | - | - | 171.95 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 102.01 | - | 59.90 | - | - | - | - | 144.12 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 84.38 | - | 45.25 | - | - | - | - | 123.51 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 81.73 | - | 37.18 | - | - | - | - | 126.28 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 79.70 | - | 8.22 | - | - | - | - | 151.18 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 74.33 | - | 0.64 | - | - | - | - | 148.02 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 95.78 | - | 16.94 | - | - | - | - | 174.62 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 71.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 157.41 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 96.07 | - | 23.20 | - | - | - | - | 168.94 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 99.65 | - | 53.88 | - | - | - | - | 145.42 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 150.56 | - | 92.60 | - | - | - | - | 208.52 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 358.85 | - | 277.80 | - | - | - | - | 439.90 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 411.00 | - | 306.54 | - | - | - | - | 515.46 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 491.58 | - | 334.30 | - | - | - | - | 648.86 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 551.20 | - | 349.46 | - | - | - | - | 752.94 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 570.74 | - | 238.26 | - | - | - | - | 903.22 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 506.69 | - | 95.17 | - | - | - | - | 918.21 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 439.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 910.14 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 433.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1020.78 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 416.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1145.01 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 387.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1127.09 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 360.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1099.85 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 387.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1127.03 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 347.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1086.91 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 339.30 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1078.60 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 350.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1089.32 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 325.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1065.14 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 322.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1015.03 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 317.11 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 966.93 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 350.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 933.77 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 297.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 801.82 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 301.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 776.92 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 221.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 609.35 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 116.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 395.15 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 97.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 321.42 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 98.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 279.33 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 59.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 221.33 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 57.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 196.72 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 43.67 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 161.54 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 39.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 137.88 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 33.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 114.29 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 33.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 105.43 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 46.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 141.18 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 26.46 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 127.90 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 28.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 110.89 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 27.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 123.58 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 28.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 130.92 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 23.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 113.17 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 27.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 124.60 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 18.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 119.95 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 25.91 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.88 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 36.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.69 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 30.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 98.64 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 17.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 103.52 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 25.96 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 83.35 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 15.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 72.77 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 13.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 54.85 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 19.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 64.49 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 18.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 57.63 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 21.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 65.50 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 51.40 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 113.93 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 56.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 124.16 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 60.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 153.28 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 30.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 116.22 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 92.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 189.30 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 123.51 | - | 4.92 | - | - | - | - | 242.10 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 134.16 | - | 32.44 | - | - | - | - | 235.88 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 181.13 | - | 64.22 | - | - | - | - | 298.04 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 122.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 274.87 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 108.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 264.33 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 78.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 233.05 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 85.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 211.64 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
