Prediction 20
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2927408 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2927408 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 42.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 130.27 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 34.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 89.12 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 34.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 106.34 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 21.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 56.16 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 40.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 149.06 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 34.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 184.75 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 11.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 144.46 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 18.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 183.73 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 38.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 113.20 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 37.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 139.70 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 38.38 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 129.18 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 42.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.80 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 35.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 99.80 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 32.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 86.22 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 33.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 111.16 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 30.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 115.61 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 38.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 164.25 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 37.80 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 135.05 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 49.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 137.19 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 47.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 106.69 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 52.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 148.04 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 109.10 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 343.85 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 108.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 385.37 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 83.38 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 352.92 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 70.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 285.78 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 61.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 233.86 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 57.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 233.45 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 53.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 238.24 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 55.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 244.60 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 59.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 251.41 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 68.40 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 259.59 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 69.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 284.68 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 62.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 279.43 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 65.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 289.81 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 61.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 325.33 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 79.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 342.29 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 96.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 344.87 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 67.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 217.88 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 63.00 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 215.92 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 61.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 211.08 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 52.38 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 155.23 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 54.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 138.63 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 54.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 136.35 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 57.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 149.25 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 58.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 137.59 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 60.56 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.55 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 62.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 144.92 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 60.00 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 150.97 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 64.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 223.43 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 89.30 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 268.84 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 63.24 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 264.72 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 60.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 255.89 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 50.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 170.38 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 53.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 201.80 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 74.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 246.10 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 70.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 288.84 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 85.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 309.78 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 184.82 | - | 20.58 | - | - | - | - | 349.06 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 219.02 | - | 45.12 | - | - | - | - | 392.92 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 177.46 | - | 85.12 | - | - | - | - | 269.80 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 199.78 | - | 137.32 | - | - | - | - | 262.24 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 273.81 | - | 211.03 | - | - | - | - | 336.59 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 314.08 | - | 236.38 | - | - | - | - | 391.78 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 272.55 | - | 163.03 | - | - | - | - | 382.07 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 219.43 | - | 62.77 | - | - | - | - | 376.09 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 308.75 | - | 106.22 | - | - | - | - | 511.28 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 290.04 | - | 89.83 | - | - | - | - | 490.25 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 312.08 | - | 139.26 | - | - | - | - | 484.90 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 282.51 | - | 148.58 | - | - | - | - | 416.44 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 279.96 | - | 131.03 | - | - | - | - | 428.89 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 278.55 | - | 85.96 | - | - | - | - | 471.14 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 287.30 | - | 77.10 | - | - | - | - | 497.50 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 301.74 | - | 141.87 | - | - | - | - | 461.61 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 419.21 | - | 213.71 | - | - | - | - | 624.71 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 328.12 | - | 12.73 | - | - | - | - | 643.51 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 304.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 682.68 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 305.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 781.29 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 280.05 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 771.47 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 280.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 807.11 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
