Prediction 21
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2111300 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2111300 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 8.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 57.21 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 3.56 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 39.61 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 8.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 54.39 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 31.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 83.77 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 17.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 65.58 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 23.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 122.18 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 13.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 143.39 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 13.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.44 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 6.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 88.26 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 12.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 88.55 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 31.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 71.95 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 40.47 | - | 4.71 | - | - | - | - | 76.23 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 43.70 | - | 2.14 | - | - | - | - | 85.26 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 34.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 78.60 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 39.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 83.31 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 36.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 108.50 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 32.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 93.59 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 45.78 | - | 0.86 | - | - | - | - | 90.70 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 47.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 124.34 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 47.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 136.36 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 46.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 146.93 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 185.87 | - | 80.39 | - | - | - | - | 291.35 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 128.29 | - | 31.68 | - | - | - | - | 224.90 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 170.37 | - | 104.65 | - | - | - | - | 236.09 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 189.73 | - | 112.23 | - | - | - | - | 267.23 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 211.84 | - | 117.35 | - | - | - | - | 306.33 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 203.04 | - | 84.87 | - | - | - | - | 321.21 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 161.33 | - | 36.92 | - | - | - | - | 285.74 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 111.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 261.15 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 128.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 289.47 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 141.77 | - | 2.48 | - | - | - | - | 281.06 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 181.51 | - | 24.95 | - | - | - | - | 338.07 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 166.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 336.72 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 167.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 349.14 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 111.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 301.16 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 125.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 310.09 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 133.24 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 289.04 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 130.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 301.60 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 132.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 292.43 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 93.81 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 266.93 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 86.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 253.96 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 113.46 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 253.38 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 27.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 150.71 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 26.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 129.74 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 38.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 134.95 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 38.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 116.48 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 51.33 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 136.35 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 26.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 96.22 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 38.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 98.13 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 52.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 123.98 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 55.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 152.90 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 25.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 130.85 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 22.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 113.25 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 25.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 118.74 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 25.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 84.08 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 25.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 68.12 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 28.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 103.04 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 45.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 118.75 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 27.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 98.49 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 35.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 102.89 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 33.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 120.02 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 39.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 130.11 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 44.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 125.98 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 51.11 | - | 4.24 | - | - | - | - | 97.98 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 63.67 | - | 3.44 | - | - | - | - | 123.90 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 192.47 | - | 118.59 | - | - | - | - | 266.35 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 259.40 | - | 181.50 | - | - | - | - | 337.30 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 177.09 | - | 82.73 | - | - | - | - | 271.45 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 173.31 | - | 25.61 | - | - | - | - | 321.01 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 50.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 222.03 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 47.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 204.92 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 111.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 253.55 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 184.46 | - | 31.91 | - | - | - | - | 337.01 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 144.02 | - | 9.47 | - | - | - | - | 278.57 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 167.44 | - | 45.88 | - | - | - | - | 289.00 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 49.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 212.63 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 61.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 217.18 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 33.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 186.62 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 26.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 112.43 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
