Prediction 2106
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation set 1 for MG using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 453.64 | 1994.59 | 2610.71 | 2918.77 |
| 2022-10-16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 493.84 | 2343.12 | 3107.14 | 3489.14 |
| 2022-10-23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 961.59 | 3139.89 | 4020.48 | 4460.77 |
| 2022-10-30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1259.73 | 3981.09 | 5096.79 | 5654.63 |
| 2022-11-06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1373.02 | 4506.55 | 5789.71 | 6431.29 |
| 2022-11-13 | 146.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2236.22 | 6054.05 | 7585.20 | 8350.77 |
| 2022-11-20 | 426.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2905.58 | 7446.72 | 9286.91 | 10207.01 |
| 2022-11-27 | 893.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.63 | 3685.28 | 8893.03 | 11015.02 | 12076.01 |
| 2022-12-04 | 1388.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 348.61 | 4819.59 | 10870.82 | 13347.26 | 14585.49 |
| 2022-12-11 | 2239.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 621.50 | 6212.09 | 12823.34 | 15531.63 | 16885.78 |
| 2022-12-18 | 2965.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.35 | 915.29 | 7435.98 | 14588.44 | 17453.44 | 18885.95 |
| 2022-12-25 | 3640.83 | 0.00 | 107.50 | 388.29 | 1332.15 | 8608.96 | 16586.37 | 19795.69 | 21400.36 |
| 2023-01-01 | 4340.22 | 0.00 | 82.85 | 467.73 | 1690.15 | 9800.98 | 18272.44 | 21674.89 | 23376.11 |
| 2023-01-08 | 5281.78 | 0.00 | 227.39 | 705.94 | 2229.69 | 11343.60 | 20468.84 | 24052.18 | 25843.85 |
| 2023-01-15 | 6224.80 | 87.85 | 362.92 | 913.04 | 2647.71 | 12736.07 | 22571.02 | 26484.53 | 28441.28 |
| 2023-01-22 | 6820.26 | 178.95 | 463.41 | 1032.32 | 2850.50 | 14012.83 | 24195.20 | 28189.27 | 30186.30 |
| 2023-01-29 | 8412.17 | 146.44 | 522.35 | 1274.18 | 3606.42 | 16285.46 | 27025.62 | 31254.83 | 33369.44 |
| 2023-02-05 | 9958.52 | 417.32 | 838.14 | 1679.78 | 4349.62 | 18519.76 | 29848.64 | 34305.33 | 36533.67 |
| 2023-02-12 | 11191.79 | 614.96 | 1130.32 | 2161.05 | 5262.42 | 20081.83 | 31967.25 | 36639.14 | 38975.09 |
| 2023-02-19 | 12612.42 | 1157.07 | 1731.05 | 2879.01 | 6324.35 | 21845.39 | 34355.39 | 39233.22 | 41672.13 |
| 2023-02-26 | 13370.40 | 1362.65 | 1973.10 | 3194.02 | 6866.97 | 23108.48 | 35852.56 | 40824.98 | 43311.20 |
| 2023-03-05 | 13782.31 | 1421.85 | 2057.04 | 3327.42 | 7144.78 | 23820.89 | 36796.95 | 41877.26 | 44417.41 |
| 2023-03-12 | 13591.97 | 1269.24 | 1894.38 | 3144.66 | 6910.20 | 23582.03 | 36352.88 | 41331.38 | 43820.62 |
| 2023-03-19 | 14414.03 | 1303.17 | 1991.42 | 3367.92 | 7408.66 | 24183.30 | 36895.22 | 41865.47 | 44350.60 |
| 2023-03-26 | 14096.65 | 1034.85 | 1693.24 | 3010.01 | 6979.45 | 23809.62 | 36380.38 | 41278.06 | 43726.89 |
| 2023-04-02 | 13053.74 | 524.84 | 1128.99 | 2337.29 | 6054.47 | 22491.81 | 34797.31 | 39604.99 | 42008.83 |
| 2023-04-09 | 11331.69 | 81.19 | 619.78 | 1696.95 | 4974.53 | 20297.92 | 32114.22 | 36775.81 | 39106.61 |
| 2023-04-16 | 10089.87 | 69.86 | 525.04 | 1435.40 | 4300.62 | 18651.42 | 29694.98 | 34002.24 | 36155.87 |
| 2023-04-23 | 8388.64 | 0.00 | 161.77 | 938.87 | 3307.41 | 16432.37 | 26984.97 | 31118.33 | 33185.01 |
| 2023-04-30 | 7960.83 | 0.00 | 254.10 | 1024.05 | 3350.79 | 15558.11 | 25394.24 | 29221.63 | 31135.33 |
| 2023-05-07 | 7026.59 | 147.97 | 459.56 | 1082.73 | 3021.05 | 13738.45 | 22790.16 | 26342.59 | 28118.80 |
| 2023-05-14 | 5229.37 | 139.06 | 354.56 | 785.55 | 2109.16 | 11201.71 | 19558.42 | 22875.73 | 24534.38 |
| 2023-05-21 | 4202.61 | 47.92 | 205.02 | 519.22 | 1538.42 | 9488.81 | 16902.18 | 19809.46 | 21263.10 |
| 2023-05-28 | 3675.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 284.55 | 1276.61 | 8397.15 | 15047.85 | 17660.98 | 18967.54 |
| 2023-06-04 | 3024.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 165.71 | 887.30 | 7250.56 | 12887.28 | 15100.49 | 16207.09 |
| 2023-06-11 | 2558.81 | 0.00 | 2.17 | 181.56 | 740.31 | 6225.68 | 11144.76 | 13060.20 | 14017.93 |
| 2023-06-18 | 2093.29 | 43.40 | 98.11 | 207.52 | 590.39 | 5289.08 | 9347.15 | 10929.80 | 11721.13 |
| 2023-06-25 | 1673.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.25 | 339.32 | 4413.07 | 8034.86 | 9457.77 | 10169.23 |
| 2023-07-02 | 1369.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 164.79 | 3662.95 | 6699.68 | 7895.33 | 8493.15 |
| 2023-07-09 | 1213.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.21 | 2963.94 | 5456.05 | 6480.88 | 6993.29 |
| 2023-07-16 | 849.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2249.57 | 4185.26 | 4984.62 | 5384.30 |
| 2023-07-23 | 820.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2048.61 | 3684.15 | 4358.14 | 4695.13 |
| 2023-07-30 | 840.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1849.65 | 3189.44 | 3754.72 | 4037.36 |
| 2023-08-06 | 706.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1503.61 | 2533.63 | 2972.55 | 3192.01 |
| 2023-08-13 | 465.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1148.16 | 1887.71 | 2220.83 | 2387.38 |
| 2023-08-20 | 408.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 968.25 | 1685.39 | 1987.82 | 2139.04 |
| 2023-08-27 | 308.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 687.38 | 1256.85 | 1522.39 | 1655.17 |
| 2023-09-03 | 212.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 588.61 | 1292.16 | 1621.94 | 1786.83 |
| 2023-09-10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.93 | 876.77 | 1214.33 | 1383.11 |
| 2023-09-17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 312.70 | 689.18 | 830.23 | 900.76 |
| 2023-09-24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 321.48 | 708.10 | 852.32 | 924.43 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 273.69 | 618.04 | 742.68 | 805.00 |
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