Prediction 2107

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation set 1 for PB using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 123.80 54.85 59.38 68.44 93.63 185.12 262.49 292.42 307.38
2022-10-16 114.82 40.79 46.00 56.44 84.38 163.66 227.31 252.24 264.71
2022-10-23 104.33 29.91 35.62 47.04 76.61 146.63 202.35 224.50 235.57
2022-10-30 95.27 22.19 27.48 38.05 67.09 133.22 179.29 197.37 206.40
2022-11-06 85.29 6.42 12.26 23.93 55.24 118.19 150.24 161.80 167.58
2022-11-13 80.38 4.63 10.20 21.33 51.57 109.38 138.03 148.77 154.14
2022-11-20 75.05 3.78 8.78 18.78 46.05 98.46 124.43 134.65 139.76
2022-11-27 61.75 0.00 3.19 13.11 38.10 77.61 99.36 109.00 113.81
2022-12-04 60.44 0.00 1.48 11.30 35.82 72.77 92.55 101.75 106.35
2022-12-11 51.97 0.00 0.97 8.76 29.11 67.80 87.64 96.99 101.67
2022-12-18 49.70 0.00 0.00 5.58 24.69 69.32 92.78 103.58 108.97
2022-12-25 48.85 0.00 0.31 7.06 26.02 69.96 101.43 116.24 123.64
2023-01-01 50.41 0.35 3.79 10.67 28.79 76.76 117.51 135.72 144.82
2023-01-08 49.21 0.00 1.37 8.14 26.77 74.55 125.54 147.06 157.82
2023-01-15 44.66 0.00 0.00 6.29 23.91 73.33 135.04 161.39 174.56
2023-01-22 46.67 0.00 2.09 9.63 28.94 84.23 152.10 179.92 193.83
2023-01-29 46.63 1.66 4.80 11.07 27.64 89.46 160.49 189.53 204.05
2023-02-05 56.36 0.00 2.80 9.57 29.03 100.30 181.91 215.41 232.16
2023-02-12 63.21 0.00 0.00 7.17 31.72 112.82 208.70 248.88 268.97
2023-02-19 74.28 4.43 9.26 18.91 44.06 137.53 245.13 288.98 310.91
2023-02-26 91.88 11.50 16.26 25.78 52.94 163.15 274.17 318.60 340.82
2023-03-05 98.33 14.84 19.59 29.09 56.06 174.57 292.91 340.95 364.97
2023-03-12 107.27 11.63 17.25 28.48 60.34 195.47 324.30 376.26 402.25
2023-03-19 122.68 11.03 16.75 28.20 61.86 225.10 369.25 426.48 455.10
2023-03-26 145.84 10.04 17.01 30.96 72.29 264.47 425.57 488.23 519.56
2023-04-02 176.69 17.49 25.65 41.98 90.33 308.34 477.86 543.77 576.73
2023-04-09 201.55 19.44 28.92 47.89 104.74 341.92 526.39 598.99 635.29
2023-04-16 210.85 23.02 32.11 50.31 107.23 366.21 552.90 625.85 662.32
2023-04-23 223.89 17.73 27.99 48.51 110.45 386.51 580.66 655.42 692.79
2023-04-30 233.77 17.20 28.30 50.48 117.21 401.72 594.52 668.20 705.05
2023-05-07 237.75 30.63 40.81 61.16 124.14 400.19 596.21 671.58 709.26
2023-05-14 230.92 28.74 39.26 60.31 121.95 388.74 578.50 651.48 687.97
2023-05-21 222.62 27.19 37.55 58.28 118.27 374.82 557.87 627.58 662.43
2023-05-28 209.32 35.57 43.76 60.13 109.24 358.08 530.58 596.22 629.04
2023-06-04 197.15 35.07 42.34 56.88 100.68 344.98 511.32 575.48 607.56
2023-06-11 186.78 42.46 48.72 61.23 99.49 327.13 490.81 553.20 584.39
2023-06-18 179.71 50.18 56.15 68.09 104.61 309.06 469.09 530.85 561.73
2023-06-25 163.34 38.79 45.62 59.27 96.69 280.07 433.11 491.50 520.70
2023-07-02 152.62 38.80 45.22 58.06 93.41 260.19 406.77 462.26 490.00
2023-07-09 152.84 46.20 52.27 64.42 99.40 247.25 387.18 441.93 469.30
2023-07-16 145.53 49.42 55.17 66.66 99.42 227.94 351.34 400.22 424.66
2023-07-23 143.48 46.60 52.84 65.33 99.88 223.30 338.97 385.00 408.02
2023-07-30 147.01 47.54 53.83 66.42 101.38 216.41 325.67 370.18 392.43
2023-08-06 139.94 47.06 52.90 64.59 97.30 201.53 286.31 319.84 336.60
2023-08-13 131.05 47.25 52.77 63.81 95.20 181.87 256.55 287.76 303.36
2023-08-20 127.42 48.08 53.62 64.70 95.48 168.00 231.98 259.08 272.63
2023-08-27 119.45 40.97 46.81 58.49 88.95 152.95 201.05 220.07 229.58
2023-09-03 115.87 34.66 40.13 51.07 83.00 144.71 186.53 203.50 211.99
2023-09-10 112.68 28.35 33.86 44.88 76.59 139.51 176.85 192.82 200.80
2023-09-17 75.05 34.33 37.08 42.59 56.85 97.64 120.77 128.95 133.04
2023-09-24 67.35 29.19 31.87 37.24 50.83 86.62 105.29 111.37 114.41
2023-10-01 61.84 28.95 31.17 35.62 46.95 78.73 97.72 105.02 108.67
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