Prediction 2108

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

Validation set 1 for PR using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 17.02 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 192.16 398.72 476.86 515.94
2022-10-16 27.71 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 179.51 380.18 455.17 492.67
2022-10-23 32.34 0.0 0.0 0.00 2.93 163.98 353.55 425.88 462.04
2022-10-30 39.71 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 170.62 334.90 395.44 425.71
2022-11-06 49.40 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 166.43 334.43 398.51 430.55
2022-11-13 39.41 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 168.97 346.94 413.27 446.44
2022-11-20 41.78 0.0 0.0 0.00 1.18 186.72 406.65 496.06 540.76
2022-11-27 69.61 0.0 0.0 0.00 28.60 212.18 456.03 557.25 607.86
2022-12-04 73.56 0.0 0.0 0.00 43.40 246.10 536.48 659.94 721.67
2022-12-11 90.25 0.0 0.0 7.12 42.95 275.60 603.23 743.79 814.08
2022-12-18 92.19 0.0 0.0 0.00 31.54 298.68 650.81 794.23 865.94
2022-12-25 136.20 0.0 0.0 0.00 57.39 392.91 826.84 1004.75 1093.71
2023-01-01 190.51 0.0 0.0 8.58 82.20 520.95 1015.71 1213.84 1312.90
2023-01-08 249.54 0.0 0.0 7.00 110.56 643.37 1189.24 1398.60 1503.27
2023-01-15 306.92 0.0 0.0 0.00 106.75 761.38 1400.10 1650.57 1775.80
2023-01-22 356.12 0.0 0.0 0.00 109.23 897.03 1584.03 1850.36 1983.53
2023-01-29 430.60 0.0 0.0 0.00 125.39 1050.41 1795.52 2084.14 2228.45
2023-02-05 507.40 0.0 0.0 0.00 138.85 1195.39 2032.56 2360.54 2524.52
2023-02-12 595.08 0.0 0.0 0.00 167.25 1400.40 2382.40 2761.31 2950.76
2023-02-19 712.49 0.0 0.0 0.00 206.07 1617.06 2696.61 3112.23 3320.03
2023-02-26 800.92 0.0 0.0 0.00 266.12 1766.03 2880.18 3305.84 3518.68
2023-03-05 828.00 0.0 0.0 31.01 312.38 1792.38 2934.10 3371.64 3590.41
2023-03-12 611.18 0.0 0.0 0.00 154.24 1549.27 2699.37 3144.02 3366.34
2023-03-19 517.63 0.0 0.0 0.00 80.90 1410.71 2516.07 2941.74 3154.58
2023-03-26 554.88 0.0 0.0 0.00 139.60 1427.98 2535.54 2963.63 3177.67
2023-04-02 612.81 0.0 0.0 0.00 216.41 1418.67 2478.43 2892.66 3099.78
2023-04-09 463.84 0.0 0.0 0.00 137.18 1160.15 2142.87 2531.47 2725.77
2023-04-16 418.42 0.0 0.0 0.00 122.79 1057.09 1931.88 2273.73 2444.65
2023-04-23 428.15 0.0 0.0 0.00 153.43 1014.38 1849.40 2181.79 2347.98
2023-04-30 336.24 0.0 0.0 0.00 100.14 869.26 1569.09 1843.22 1980.28
2023-05-07 289.66 0.0 0.0 0.00 92.38 733.79 1371.84 1624.69 1751.12
2023-05-14 260.48 0.0 0.0 0.00 97.65 634.89 1223.26 1460.90 1579.72
2023-05-21 189.94 0.0 0.0 0.00 73.68 490.85 967.91 1155.64 1249.51
2023-05-28 187.03 0.0 0.0 0.00 95.66 433.44 826.62 979.22 1055.51
2023-06-04 190.57 0.0 0.0 0.00 102.65 399.61 686.95 800.13 856.71
2023-06-11 175.39 0.0 0.0 0.00 90.30 336.74 572.21 667.11 714.57
2023-06-18 141.64 0.0 0.0 0.00 68.24 265.60 424.35 488.73 520.91
2023-06-25 143.18 0.0 0.0 0.00 66.97 211.34 309.54 349.96 370.17
2023-07-02 120.63 0.0 0.0 0.00 38.46 168.22 242.05 273.29 288.91
2023-07-09 100.63 0.0 0.0 0.00 3.43 122.11 176.51 203.13 216.44
2023-07-16 115.55 0.0 0.0 0.00 18.59 141.81 147.64 149.63 150.62
2023-07-23 109.94 0.0 0.0 0.00 18.72 141.08 145.91 147.42 148.18
2023-07-30 94.64 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 133.60 138.63 140.30 141.13
2023-08-06 66.08 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 87.70 104.44 108.47 110.48
2023-08-13 14.25 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 41.61 58.12 61.11 62.61
2023-08-20 34.87 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 60.39 73.40 76.05 77.38
2023-08-27 40.47 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 70.76 86.10 89.90 91.80
2023-09-03 34.21 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 66.17 76.47 77.52 78.04
2023-09-10 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.26 33.77 39.02
2023-09-17 22.24 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 97.70 172.63 199.43 212.83
2023-09-24 18.99 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 86.62 155.05 178.18 189.75
2023-10-01 21.17 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 82.36 148.00 172.05 184.08
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