Prediction 2110

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation set 1 for SP using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 254.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 118.12 441.51 912.46 1114.01 1214.78
2022-10-16 210.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.52 379.38 903.38 1128.48 1241.03
2022-10-23 314.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 146.55 488.45 1069.62 1319.56 1444.53
2022-10-30 347.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 190.23 517.97 1121.98 1380.48 1509.73
2022-11-06 279.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 163.96 439.77 1145.45 1456.02 1611.30
2022-11-13 187.34 0.00 0.00 7.30 127.68 435.04 1325.49 1703.75 1892.88
2022-11-20 246.29 83.10 98.84 130.30 204.19 528.39 1665.92 2164.61 2413.95
2022-11-27 400.09 216.26 235.89 275.17 358.59 704.01 2078.39 2683.14 2985.51
2022-12-04 436.17 322.64 327.58 337.45 365.41 866.86 2524.29 3251.75 3615.47
2022-12-11 479.15 333.66 346.74 372.90 429.13 1117.49 3014.69 3846.41 4262.27
2022-12-18 579.58 253.19 276.79 324.00 445.83 1360.46 3471.71 4365.63 4812.59
2022-12-25 818.60 351.35 377.10 428.59 567.13 1835.98 4340.35 5396.86 5925.11
2023-01-01 1040.48 308.32 349.70 432.46 654.49 2348.46 5113.05 6262.69 6837.51
2023-01-08 1303.46 238.92 296.22 410.83 749.35 2899.28 5928.55 7146.42 7755.35
2023-01-15 1572.98 120.49 193.91 340.74 769.77 3442.99 6862.98 8250.69 8944.54
2023-01-22 1847.86 137.21 214.23 368.26 836.32 4053.55 7678.33 9131.29 9857.77
2023-01-29 2301.74 175.49 268.13 453.42 1019.75 4803.42 8658.95 10201.90 10973.38
2023-02-05 2913.51 256.87 369.43 594.53 1300.25 5738.36 9939.88 11620.36 12460.60
2023-02-12 3296.36 99.91 250.55 551.84 1453.10 6502.72 11143.21 12978.34 13895.90
2023-02-19 3353.48 0.00 26.46 344.09 1315.71 6845.42 11825.72 13785.03 14764.69
2023-02-26 3650.62 0.00 69.52 417.97 1495.83 7357.75 12486.45 14496.16 15501.02
2023-03-05 4040.65 25.55 224.35 621.94 1824.69 7846.79 13097.75 15151.32 16178.10
2023-03-12 3716.12 0.00 148.86 497.38 1580.94 7471.11 12712.43 14764.27 15790.19
2023-03-19 3819.42 0.00 166.63 535.06 1645.60 7452.51 12608.83 14630.36 15641.12
2023-03-26 4011.31 26.79 225.63 623.32 1816.67 7629.27 12808.79 14842.48 15859.32
2023-04-02 3931.61 0.00 112.60 517.07 1736.19 7428.72 12515.49 14522.54 15526.06
2023-04-09 3336.17 0.00 44.72 376.88 1396.72 6573.76 11423.54 13352.63 14317.18
2023-04-16 2925.91 0.00 83.72 354.85 1208.50 5913.03 10348.47 12096.93 12971.16
2023-04-23 2554.03 0.00 14.34 294.60 1093.55 5282.57 9541.19 11235.25 12082.29
2023-04-30 1938.49 0.00 0.00 173.66 784.43 4469.36 8305.86 9820.31 10577.53
2023-05-07 1587.54 9.93 89.24 247.88 699.88 3722.71 7276.41 8695.31 9404.76
2023-05-14 1377.58 143.65 213.39 352.86 730.26 3196.02 6496.33 7833.13 8501.53
2023-05-21 981.50 153.67 205.69 309.75 577.63 2474.75 5311.74 6443.46 7009.32
2023-05-28 935.59 199.43 252.82 359.62 620.69 2196.46 4693.88 5689.19 6186.85
2023-06-04 906.65 224.58 276.84 381.38 634.41 1963.77 3997.69 4816.97 5226.61
2023-06-11 786.12 198.62 246.38 341.92 561.90 1641.29 3378.77 4080.91 4431.98
2023-06-18 627.80 130.97 170.98 250.99 444.86 1326.40 2736.20 3307.81 3593.61
2023-06-25 648.67 44.63 95.88 198.37 447.94 1148.49 2318.28 2800.53 3041.65
2023-07-02 599.31 0.00 0.00 85.93 370.61 1006.72 2007.45 2419.05 2624.85
2023-07-09 515.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 228.56 775.80 1626.22 1999.40 2185.99
2023-07-16 546.79 0.00 0.00 26.30 290.92 729.63 1300.24 1559.59 1689.27
2023-07-23 536.23 0.00 0.00 8.50 293.00 699.56 1203.02 1429.42 1542.62
2023-07-30 426.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 170.35 564.47 1007.22 1223.47 1331.59
2023-08-06 316.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.73 393.00 679.92 820.18 890.31
2023-08-13 174.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.62 235.32 385.45 458.11 494.44
2023-08-20 186.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.11 266.67 412.05 482.66 517.96
2023-08-27 235.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.73 315.72 387.01 419.87 436.30
2023-09-03 298.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.91 368.12 467.76 515.43 539.27
2023-09-10 98.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 177.77 280.07 322.53 343.75
2023-09-17 115.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 312.15 499.46 564.52 597.04
2023-09-24 97.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 292.63 480.42 553.32 589.77
2023-10-01 84.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 273.53 458.81 524.06 556.68
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