Prediction 2112

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation set 1 for MT using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 97.37 45.33 48.40 54.54 72.57 133.86 201.65 229.52 243.46
2022-10-16 93.64 42.10 45.20 51.41 68.85 131.45 209.71 242.54 258.95
2022-10-23 99.50 51.48 54.25 59.79 75.21 141.11 229.16 266.08 284.54
2022-10-30 99.25 55.73 58.17 63.07 76.53 143.06 245.11 287.99 309.43
2022-11-06 93.94 54.06 56.35 60.93 73.42 141.96 259.10 308.86 333.74
2022-11-13 96.99 65.11 65.80 67.17 73.41 157.23 295.86 353.71 382.63
2022-11-20 108.11 73.06 73.89 75.54 82.74 183.72 348.67 417.78 452.34
2022-11-27 117.84 69.14 71.17 75.23 87.21 204.40 397.56 478.93 519.61
2022-12-04 132.65 71.99 74.36 79.10 93.79 240.01 460.80 553.43 599.74
2022-12-11 153.51 77.70 79.87 84.19 100.34 279.16 525.93 629.72 681.62
2022-12-18 172.23 74.11 77.38 83.91 106.50 318.29 589.82 701.13 756.79
2022-12-25 187.42 74.91 78.52 85.74 112.13 354.80 665.00 792.18 855.78
2023-01-01 212.92 73.40 79.14 90.63 127.15 403.08 740.09 877.01 945.46
2023-01-08 236.11 73.63 80.79 95.11 140.71 445.98 808.36 953.23 1025.67
2023-01-15 246.12 68.98 76.47 91.45 139.45 474.17 867.21 1024.98 1103.86
2023-01-22 254.05 62.33 70.01 85.39 135.47 504.54 918.73 1084.14 1166.84
2023-01-29 295.03 59.50 69.79 90.36 154.52 568.08 1001.69 1173.99 1260.14
2023-02-05 322.22 54.52 65.96 88.83 161.31 613.11 1063.76 1242.85 1332.39
2023-02-12 325.36 40.06 52.70 77.99 156.05 637.07 1112.48 1300.66 1394.76
2023-02-19 318.58 25.59 38.05 62.98 141.53 642.88 1134.98 1328.90 1425.87
2023-02-26 331.24 29.63 42.75 68.99 151.70 660.42 1156.79 1352.68 1450.63
2023-03-05 343.17 46.17 59.46 86.04 169.64 666.62 1153.64 1345.93 1442.07
2023-03-12 300.02 47.83 58.23 79.04 145.99 608.29 1079.90 1266.41 1359.67
2023-03-19 282.38 56.09 64.74 82.04 138.60 568.81 1022.40 1201.82 1291.53
2023-03-26 288.74 65.78 74.95 93.28 151.15 562.23 1006.79 1183.67 1272.11
2023-04-02 278.01 63.74 72.67 90.54 147.37 534.80 957.60 1125.97 1210.15
2023-04-09 251.40 65.70 73.45 88.95 138.17 484.09 881.71 1041.10 1120.80
2023-04-16 231.19 72.92 79.20 91.77 132.92 440.82 804.49 950.47 1023.46
2023-04-23 207.47 71.06 77.30 89.78 127.20 397.40 738.59 875.73 944.30
2023-04-30 179.11 72.37 77.21 86.88 115.72 350.49 660.72 785.04 847.20
2023-05-07 170.15 78.56 82.69 90.96 115.74 321.16 607.65 723.63 781.61
2023-05-14 160.69 78.70 82.71 90.74 113.92 293.41 558.68 666.76 720.80
2023-05-21 147.07 74.09 78.04 85.93 108.40 262.70 495.99 590.18 637.28
2023-05-28 140.47 70.92 75.19 83.75 106.66 238.92 444.56 527.39 568.80
2023-06-04 137.30 68.66 73.04 81.82 104.90 225.57 403.61 475.93 512.09
2023-06-11 131.47 66.63 70.80 79.13 100.66 210.22 368.14 431.44 463.09
2023-06-18 125.15 61.10 65.49 74.28 97.86 195.52 335.82 392.57 420.94
2023-06-25 120.60 55.48 60.09 69.31 94.13 174.75 291.05 338.29 361.91
2023-07-02 112.68 50.20 54.90 64.30 88.70 159.63 262.18 303.89 324.74
2023-07-09 103.71 45.99 50.01 58.06 79.72 139.09 231.64 270.81 290.39
2023-07-16 101.78 39.38 44.34 54.26 79.45 130.79 208.51 241.94 258.65
2023-07-23 96.15 33.71 38.63 48.48 73.84 122.53 190.24 219.18 233.65
2023-07-30 94.89 30.35 35.37 45.41 70.77 121.59 181.27 206.98 219.84
2023-08-06 81.39 23.57 27.96 36.73 59.14 103.67 154.90 176.85 187.82
2023-08-13 73.20 16.47 21.04 30.18 53.85 89.93 135.45 155.92 166.16
2023-08-20 72.70 9.89 15.00 25.21 51.44 85.20 128.32 147.68 157.37
2023-08-27 73.56 11.48 16.71 27.16 53.50 83.44 121.44 138.48 147.00
2023-09-03 69.17 10.88 16.10 26.55 52.61 80.18 122.97 141.89 151.35
2023-09-10 53.60 0.00 4.68 14.89 40.29 63.05 109.65 131.10 141.83
2023-09-17 60.95 20.18 23.06 28.82 43.63 78.43 94.82 101.02 104.12
2023-09-24 58.19 24.08 25.96 29.71 39.55 74.57 89.28 94.61 97.28
2023-10-01 55.44 24.23 25.96 29.41 38.78 70.01 85.02 90.49 93.23
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