Prediction 2113

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation set 1 for RJ using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 97.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.27 209.43 380.10 447.70 481.50
2022-10-16 120.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.65 246.24 444.75 523.60 563.02
2022-10-23 178.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.64 304.48 510.76 592.86 633.91
2022-10-30 171.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.42 316.72 559.65 656.25 704.56
2022-11-06 141.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.93 287.71 575.49 693.62 752.69
2022-11-13 149.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.57 311.53 656.43 796.51 866.54
2022-11-20 146.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.97 319.18 722.78 893.68 979.13
2022-11-27 171.33 0.00 0.00 24.62 102.47 349.78 833.09 1040.70 1144.50
2022-12-04 181.95 7.11 21.00 48.77 117.41 396.90 967.52 1214.12 1337.42
2022-12-11 199.53 15.77 26.21 47.09 106.44 456.85 1108.88 1388.59 1528.44
2022-12-18 196.26 13.33 21.87 38.93 93.49 483.67 1205.75 1510.71 1663.19
2022-12-25 240.84 40.94 50.97 71.02 128.84 570.18 1388.21 1732.79 1905.08
2023-01-01 275.64 50.04 61.93 85.73 155.83 662.83 1550.70 1924.99 2112.14
2023-01-08 337.29 48.35 62.86 91.86 180.54 803.59 1785.05 2184.05 2383.55
2023-01-15 365.75 24.60 41.82 76.26 176.06 905.08 2014.97 2469.36 2696.55
2023-01-22 436.76 44.85 63.93 102.10 215.08 1062.30 2250.13 2729.57 2969.30
2023-01-29 525.44 41.26 64.06 109.66 244.93 1246.20 2521.70 3033.92 3290.04
2023-02-05 636.62 40.54 65.96 116.81 274.47 1449.17 2851.76 3417.29 3700.05
2023-02-12 682.41 0.00 0.00 65.70 264.49 1592.24 3131.52 3747.16 4054.97
2023-02-19 743.33 0.00 0.00 35.54 257.83 1762.05 3428.60 4091.46 4422.90
2023-02-26 830.66 0.00 0.00 20.76 286.61 1950.69 3673.80 4355.03 4695.64
2023-03-05 983.35 0.00 0.00 55.48 369.36 2195.55 4011.70 4726.98 5084.62
2023-03-12 1120.33 0.00 0.00 75.13 439.61 2405.64 4271.87 5001.47 5366.26
2023-03-19 1308.24 0.00 0.00 117.72 530.40 2652.02 4576.74 5330.56 5707.46
2023-03-26 1468.29 0.00 0.00 124.21 614.28 2877.71 4875.81 5656.24 6046.46
2023-04-02 1560.86 0.00 0.00 96.84 627.30 3011.27 5033.75 5824.51 6219.89
2023-04-09 1441.63 0.00 0.00 16.73 519.77 2869.69 4870.99 5655.67 6048.00
2023-04-16 1426.20 0.00 0.00 18.62 513.08 2859.96 4792.42 5542.68 5917.80
2023-04-23 1403.78 0.00 0.00 15.93 517.10 2805.94 4707.36 5448.71 5819.38
2023-04-30 1330.08 0.00 0.00 30.17 510.04 2686.35 4486.40 5181.10 5528.45
2023-05-07 1234.77 0.00 0.00 71.89 501.31 2459.08 4161.26 4823.59 5154.75
2023-05-14 1152.88 0.00 0.00 108.33 496.19 2294.54 3902.09 4533.35 4848.98
2023-05-21 1030.72 0.00 0.00 91.24 439.62 2071.28 3541.05 4112.81 4398.70
2023-05-28 883.87 0.00 0.00 50.36 359.63 1839.72 3186.31 3708.05 3968.92
2023-06-04 715.06 0.00 0.00 2.92 258.18 1564.34 2720.57 3169.73 3394.32
2023-06-11 620.04 0.00 0.00 26.28 240.53 1350.32 2364.69 2757.69 2954.18
2023-06-18 550.13 0.00 1.94 65.84 246.23 1175.49 2029.04 2359.44 2524.63
2023-06-25 492.61 0.00 13.79 73.92 236.87 1024.66 1791.14 2090.12 2239.61
2023-07-02 404.72 0.00 0.00 38.64 190.18 864.34 1548.76 1816.04 1949.68
2023-07-09 351.82 0.00 0.00 30.97 156.75 722.46 1335.24 1580.03 1702.42
2023-07-16 301.69 0.00 0.00 21.32 148.32 631.34 1156.61 1366.76 1471.84
2023-07-23 284.60 0.00 0.00 9.11 139.84 597.66 1095.61 1291.16 1388.93
2023-07-30 241.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 102.35 526.13 981.11 1164.72 1256.53
2023-08-06 220.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.23 472.39 878.44 1039.91 1120.64
2023-08-13 173.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.16 390.37 747.99 892.72 965.08
2023-08-20 159.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.71 353.37 710.67 855.19 927.44
2023-08-27 138.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.97 302.84 623.25 750.81 814.59
2023-09-03 132.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 279.11 597.77 727.55 792.44
2023-09-10 48.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 191.43 520.05 657.03 725.52
2023-09-17 64.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 160.29 251.67 282.21 297.48
2023-09-24 35.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 129.38 222.74 256.43 273.27
2023-10-01 27.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 112.94 200.48 234.42 251.40
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