Prediction 2114

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

Validation set 1 for PI using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 56.02 30.44 32.08 35.36 44.29 86.58 125.47 140.62 148.19
2022-10-16 54.37 29.28 31.08 34.70 43.68 80.78 115.42 128.81 135.50
2022-10-23 51.13 25.46 27.41 31.32 41.00 75.18 108.64 121.75 128.31
2022-10-30 47.18 22.19 24.02 27.68 36.99 69.52 99.46 110.97 116.73
2022-11-06 44.45 17.83 19.80 23.75 34.00 64.49 91.60 101.86 106.98
2022-11-13 41.06 19.73 21.25 24.31 32.35 62.11 90.17 100.84 106.17
2022-11-20 43.34 24.59 25.96 28.70 35.71 63.10 94.61 107.30 113.64
2022-11-27 45.89 27.75 29.30 32.39 39.48 64.44 97.68 111.38 118.23
2022-12-04 45.70 25.46 27.30 30.97 39.00 66.63 104.81 120.76 128.73
2022-12-11 43.93 21.42 23.04 26.28 33.91 69.25 112.03 130.09 139.12
2022-12-18 42.35 19.30 20.50 22.88 29.78 68.73 112.73 130.80 139.84
2022-12-25 46.80 21.71 23.09 25.85 33.63 75.89 124.39 144.74 154.92
2023-01-01 49.24 20.33 21.87 24.96 33.70 81.53 132.50 153.70 164.29
2023-01-08 53.16 19.84 21.56 25.01 35.03 89.20 142.89 164.11 174.73
2023-01-15 55.98 20.41 22.19 25.74 36.08 95.75 154.94 178.86 190.81
2023-01-22 56.18 20.59 22.42 26.09 36.17 100.86 160.88 184.49 196.29
2023-01-29 53.03 18.79 20.42 23.67 32.75 101.84 162.80 186.71 198.67
2023-02-05 57.66 16.08 17.81 21.28 31.77 109.41 177.93 205.08 218.65
2023-02-12 64.90 12.22 14.93 20.35 35.34 123.05 203.82 235.96 252.03
2023-02-19 72.64 13.01 16.04 22.12 39.29 141.04 229.47 264.10 281.41
2023-02-26 85.18 15.30 18.80 25.78 46.14 160.83 250.76 285.41 302.74
2023-03-05 93.37 15.79 19.57 27.12 49.44 173.79 269.25 306.24 324.74
2023-03-12 88.68 9.51 13.42 21.24 44.50 174.77 276.92 316.53 336.34
2023-03-19 86.56 5.12 8.78 16.12 38.31 174.29 278.34 318.14 338.04
2023-03-26 88.63 3.24 7.34 15.54 39.88 177.87 286.90 328.72 349.63
2023-04-02 97.14 7.89 12.23 20.89 46.80 185.71 295.79 338.21 359.42
2023-04-09 102.06 10.14 14.64 23.64 50.83 188.01 299.52 343.23 365.09
2023-04-16 101.89 11.05 15.46 24.27 51.05 189.41 296.24 337.80 358.58
2023-04-23 103.04 7.69 12.65 22.58 51.46 191.58 302.08 345.08 366.59
2023-04-30 95.32 4.70 9.32 18.57 45.75 183.05 287.30 327.63 347.79
2023-05-07 93.18 9.36 13.60 22.08 47.37 176.27 280.19 320.63 340.85
2023-05-14 96.54 12.63 17.13 26.12 51.85 175.91 277.59 317.26 337.10
2023-05-21 95.44 13.24 17.78 26.86 52.88 171.22 266.14 302.53 320.72
2023-05-28 94.93 17.51 21.47 29.39 52.33 168.41 256.78 290.37 307.17
2023-06-04 93.68 20.37 24.10 31.56 53.17 160.72 235.01 263.48 277.71
2023-06-11 90.17 22.76 26.30 33.38 53.31 145.67 209.29 233.87 246.15
2023-06-18 80.28 20.73 23.81 29.97 48.64 126.07 176.03 195.50 205.24
2023-06-25 75.33 17.16 20.60 27.50 46.30 113.13 152.78 167.78 175.28
2023-07-02 69.42 16.19 19.45 25.96 43.36 101.09 133.35 145.36 151.36
2023-07-09 62.62 17.43 20.23 25.81 41.07 85.71 112.70 123.45 128.83
2023-07-16 57.43 18.81 21.29 26.24 39.56 75.82 93.27 100.39 103.95
2023-07-23 59.31 17.95 20.92 26.86 42.49 76.69 94.09 101.16 104.69
2023-07-30 62.18 18.48 21.64 27.97 44.80 76.39 90.25 96.39 99.46
2023-08-06 57.38 12.66 16.00 22.67 40.52 67.47 71.40 73.11 73.96
2023-08-13 53.84 9.45 12.85 19.66 37.77 59.59 61.14 61.68 61.95
2023-08-20 52.49 5.03 8.73 16.14 35.68 55.69 57.85 58.48 58.79
2023-08-27 40.30 0.34 3.90 11.03 29.19 47.01 48.13 48.30 48.38
2023-09-03 36.24 0.89 3.97 10.11 26.76 41.13 42.88 43.42 43.68
2023-09-10 34.82 0.04 3.24 9.63 24.73 39.67 42.34 43.42 43.96
2023-09-17 24.99 3.08 4.49 7.30 15.25 37.45 49.06 53.33 55.46
2023-09-24 22.43 5.22 6.11 7.88 14.00 32.46 42.24 45.87 47.69
2023-10-01 22.25 4.85 5.80 7.68 13.81 30.76 38.81 41.51 42.85
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