Prediction 2115

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation set 1 for TO using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 53.67 7.38 10.58 16.98 34.35 85.79 125.96 141.50 149.26
2022-10-16 53.60 4.52 7.65 13.91 31.15 87.49 132.92 150.99 160.03
2022-10-23 58.78 2.83 6.41 13.59 33.35 97.30 149.38 169.94 180.22
2022-10-30 70.09 8.18 11.81 19.06 39.56 112.03 170.57 193.89 205.55
2022-11-06 76.90 7.49 11.67 20.02 43.66 122.98 186.37 211.59 224.20
2022-11-13 82.35 10.70 14.77 22.91 46.52 133.37 204.43 232.52 246.56
2022-11-20 90.29 14.46 18.65 27.03 51.72 146.57 229.26 262.44 279.03
2022-11-27 95.09 12.69 17.23 26.32 52.70 158.11 252.18 290.13 309.11
2022-12-04 100.24 8.06 13.07 23.09 52.28 173.91 279.35 321.71 342.89
2022-12-11 109.22 7.18 12.28 22.49 53.24 194.37 311.06 358.08 381.59
2022-12-18 118.33 7.60 12.97 23.69 56.39 213.17 340.20 390.37 415.46
2022-12-25 131.75 15.05 20.65 31.85 66.73 233.40 371.94 426.95 454.45
2023-01-01 150.59 20.09 26.85 40.39 81.05 257.56 403.22 460.90 489.74
2023-01-08 169.62 26.50 34.04 49.11 94.39 282.52 435.29 494.73 524.45
2023-01-15 181.25 29.07 37.08 53.10 101.25 298.55 460.70 524.51 556.41
2023-01-22 187.24 28.27 36.62 53.33 103.54 310.97 476.47 540.91 573.12
2023-01-29 185.96 21.03 29.51 46.46 97.60 317.73 487.34 553.07 585.94
2023-02-05 194.62 19.47 28.28 45.88 99.36 330.56 503.81 571.06 604.69
2023-02-12 207.03 28.00 37.29 55.86 111.11 343.73 522.65 592.39 627.26
2023-02-19 208.04 33.46 42.67 61.09 115.69 344.28 525.07 595.01 629.97
2023-02-26 209.25 36.08 45.22 63.52 118.29 347.92 528.96 598.99 634.01
2023-03-05 205.15 33.24 42.23 60.20 114.45 344.88 525.85 595.90 630.93
2023-03-12 188.59 26.00 34.53 51.59 102.67 325.10 501.00 569.12 603.18
2023-03-19 187.09 29.93 37.85 53.68 101.27 316.55 487.86 554.16 587.31
2023-03-26 183.89 30.94 38.77 54.44 101.21 309.47 476.63 541.35 573.71
2023-04-02 172.93 29.33 36.46 50.71 94.00 294.37 457.75 521.24 552.99
2023-04-09 168.52 29.78 36.79 50.80 93.03 284.57 441.40 502.68 533.32
2023-04-16 164.30 33.51 39.98 52.91 92.79 274.98 421.33 478.31 506.80
2023-04-23 154.43 29.96 36.48 49.51 88.26 257.43 397.29 451.75 478.97
2023-04-30 136.58 24.87 30.85 42.80 77.76 232.21 362.00 412.63 437.95
2023-05-07 122.47 23.22 28.29 38.44 69.23 208.82 329.30 376.47 400.06
2023-05-14 109.63 18.78 23.57 33.15 61.56 189.69 303.88 348.90 371.40
2023-05-21 97.83 15.77 20.06 28.64 54.39 172.07 275.10 315.26 335.34
2023-05-28 88.55 13.94 17.71 25.24 47.63 157.23 251.39 287.72 305.89
2023-06-04 75.21 11.35 14.44 20.64 39.07 137.20 219.99 252.20 268.31
2023-06-11 66.69 12.69 15.41 20.85 36.79 119.01 193.01 221.72 236.07
2023-06-18 58.87 12.52 15.03 20.05 35.12 103.11 166.58 191.32 203.69
2023-06-25 53.03 10.34 12.82 17.79 31.79 89.04 140.99 161.05 171.09
2023-07-02 49.25 9.70 12.06 16.79 30.08 79.44 123.80 140.97 149.55
2023-07-09 44.30 9.43 11.50 15.64 27.76 67.10 105.32 120.77 128.50
2023-07-16 37.09 2.53 4.81 9.36 22.22 56.15 88.03 101.07 107.58
2023-07-23 34.12 0.00 0.00 3.92 18.11 52.21 79.11 89.89 95.28
2023-07-30 36.17 0.00 0.00 4.47 20.04 51.22 74.11 83.70 88.50
2023-08-06 30.31 0.00 0.00 2.65 17.60 39.86 54.75 61.10 64.28
2023-08-13 24.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.72 30.32 40.12 44.63 46.89
2023-08-20 21.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.26 25.88 36.29 41.14 43.56
2023-08-27 15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.82 19.28 27.40 31.29 33.24
2023-09-03 16.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.26 19.90 29.01 33.04 35.05
2023-09-10 14.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.45 17.97 27.81 32.27 34.50
2023-09-17 9.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.07 16.78 21.30 22.86 23.65
2023-09-24 8.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.73 15.06 18.04 18.85 19.25
2023-10-01 8.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.46 12.46 15.16 16.16 16.66
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