Prediction 2116

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation set 1 for AM using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 28.44 0.00 0.00 2.41 18.50 41.94 52.52 56.08 57.86
2022-10-16 30.53 0.00 0.00 1.38 19.29 45.44 57.00 60.21 61.82
2022-10-23 30.69 0.00 0.00 1.82 18.63 45.09 57.10 60.88 62.77
2022-10-30 32.20 0.00 0.00 3.81 19.99 48.52 56.10 57.73 58.55
2022-11-06 34.39 0.00 0.00 3.61 20.95 47.40 55.76 57.91 58.98
2022-11-13 31.40 0.00 0.00 1.51 16.94 44.38 53.72 56.45 57.81
2022-11-20 31.17 0.00 0.00 2.22 18.36 45.30 55.93 60.03 62.07
2022-11-27 30.21 0.00 0.00 4.06 19.31 44.78 57.19 61.98 64.38
2022-12-04 29.18 0.00 0.00 5.16 19.33 45.19 63.36 70.99 74.80
2022-12-11 34.70 0.00 0.39 6.33 21.34 53.26 77.00 86.85 91.77
2022-12-18 38.23 0.00 1.02 7.47 24.36 57.54 83.36 93.59 98.70
2022-12-25 38.50 0.00 0.00 5.88 24.08 59.54 91.00 103.73 110.10
2023-01-01 37.80 0.00 0.91 7.49 24.14 64.82 100.40 114.52 121.58
2023-01-08 41.84 0.64 3.85 10.26 27.10 72.78 113.49 128.40 135.86
2023-01-15 44.26 0.08 3.63 10.73 28.71 78.88 126.04 143.86 152.77
2023-01-22 47.06 2.19 5.73 12.82 30.57 85.74 139.58 160.36 170.75
2023-01-29 52.07 5.76 9.02 15.55 32.27 96.33 153.05 174.80 185.67
2023-02-05 52.07 9.82 12.54 17.98 32.29 98.43 162.16 187.25 199.79
2023-02-12 55.18 7.73 10.91 17.27 34.45 108.11 176.89 202.86 215.84
2023-02-19 60.72 5.72 9.32 16.52 36.02 115.52 187.32 215.27 229.24
2023-02-26 58.55 3.73 7.38 14.70 34.34 115.99 188.72 216.32 230.12
2023-03-05 58.01 5.70 9.20 16.20 35.13 116.39 193.42 222.71 237.36
2023-03-12 62.64 9.76 13.06 19.66 38.34 121.07 198.61 227.96 242.63
2023-03-19 61.64 9.56 12.86 19.47 37.29 120.34 197.50 226.92 241.63
2023-03-26 63.88 10.25 13.68 20.53 39.05 120.80 200.81 231.59 246.99
2023-04-02 63.07 7.64 11.19 18.28 37.96 119.01 198.71 229.79 245.34
2023-04-09 55.42 5.03 8.32 14.90 33.36 107.27 186.31 217.40 232.95
2023-04-16 52.87 6.96 9.78 15.42 31.27 104.58 180.00 208.84 223.25
2023-04-23 54.91 2.02 5.74 13.18 32.08 104.05 178.87 208.14 222.78
2023-04-30 50.78 0.03 3.61 10.76 29.17 100.18 166.88 192.18 204.82
2023-05-07 51.55 2.40 5.93 13.01 30.93 96.85 164.64 190.93 204.08
2023-05-14 49.53 0.56 4.29 11.76 30.50 91.64 159.81 186.32 199.58
2023-05-21 44.87 2.02 5.09 11.23 26.57 85.52 148.72 172.76 184.78
2023-05-28 45.34 2.62 5.55 11.43 26.73 88.31 153.27 177.64 189.82
2023-06-04 48.95 0.00 2.97 10.20 28.39 90.39 148.15 170.16 181.17
2023-06-11 45.36 0.00 3.21 10.04 27.09 82.90 135.85 156.32 166.56
2023-06-18 45.65 0.54 3.99 10.87 28.19 80.39 129.32 148.02 157.37
2023-06-25 49.12 1.38 5.24 12.97 31.91 78.81 127.81 146.85 156.38
2023-07-02 47.39 0.00 1.60 10.06 30.15 75.79 123.37 141.76 150.96
2023-07-09 48.15 0.00 2.36 10.50 30.22 72.67 118.30 136.27 145.26
2023-07-16 48.27 0.00 3.08 10.62 30.15 74.44 117.57 134.97 143.67
2023-07-23 46.67 0.00 0.00 7.62 28.02 74.89 117.85 134.58 142.94
2023-07-30 47.01 0.00 0.00 6.44 27.56 76.02 115.78 131.56 139.44
2023-08-06 46.29 0.00 0.00 6.39 26.95 74.73 111.47 125.68 132.78
2023-08-13 44.25 0.00 0.00 4.27 25.47 70.09 105.65 119.86 126.96
2023-08-20 44.14 0.00 0.00 4.19 23.11 68.08 106.96 122.69 130.55
2023-08-27 41.66 0.00 0.00 3.49 22.73 65.41 100.32 113.46 120.03
2023-09-03 41.63 0.00 0.00 3.43 22.52 63.60 94.80 106.87 112.90
2023-09-10 43.98 0.00 0.00 2.40 23.29 65.18 99.91 114.17 121.30
2023-09-17 32.95 0.00 0.03 5.45 19.41 54.80 80.36 90.65 95.80
2023-09-24 35.15 0.00 0.58 5.26 18.43 55.45 83.29 94.63 100.29
2023-10-01 34.77 0.00 0.00 4.10 19.72 57.11 80.15 89.26 93.82
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