Prediction 2117

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

Validation set 1 for CE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 186.12 111.54 117.52 129.48 161.71 240.21 315.20 344.35 358.92
2022-10-16 168.56 76.02 83.22 97.63 136.82 212.26 264.88 284.16 293.80
2022-10-23 167.93 62.47 70.96 87.94 131.69 201.91 243.39 259.39 267.39
2022-10-30 160.92 54.25 62.68 79.53 125.58 187.44 210.57 218.76 222.86
2022-11-06 154.67 37.14 46.48 65.17 115.47 167.53 171.54 172.46 172.91
2022-11-13 138.40 37.17 45.48 62.09 107.31 145.59 146.67 146.84 146.93
2022-11-20 130.70 30.34 39.64 58.24 106.49 141.18 142.38 142.84 143.07
2022-11-27 100.22 18.12 27.03 44.86 89.97 118.02 122.13 123.18 123.71
2022-12-04 95.26 6.86 15.64 33.20 75.29 104.21 107.52 107.92 108.12
2022-12-11 104.91 22.14 29.71 44.85 84.74 112.44 118.99 121.92 123.38
2022-12-18 108.96 25.05 32.32 46.87 87.46 121.63 127.79 128.93 129.50
2022-12-25 108.99 28.01 35.51 50.49 89.55 116.91 145.72 159.48 166.36
2023-01-01 110.61 22.29 29.66 44.39 83.32 122.27 172.57 196.54 208.52
2023-01-08 99.45 15.05 21.50 34.40 69.64 113.49 184.58 217.24 233.57
2023-01-15 91.48 19.78 26.13 38.82 69.51 113.95 210.62 254.64 276.65
2023-01-22 96.32 39.10 45.57 58.52 88.58 134.32 240.73 286.50 309.38
2023-01-29 103.65 57.73 62.93 73.33 96.69 158.76 280.29 332.23 358.19
2023-02-05 134.04 70.66 75.89 86.34 112.01 193.44 338.66 400.66 431.66
2023-02-12 157.62 73.65 80.95 95.55 130.54 229.95 408.44 485.28 523.70
2023-02-19 172.48 85.29 92.57 107.13 144.81 272.84 485.51 574.30 618.69
2023-02-26 201.14 90.55 98.04 113.01 154.29 335.61 565.32 657.83 704.09
2023-03-05 246.76 88.27 98.79 119.82 176.18 408.84 665.97 769.68 821.54
2023-03-12 297.66 82.82 95.11 119.70 191.67 504.71 801.01 918.29 976.94
2023-03-19 338.77 64.08 77.30 103.72 184.41 596.24 934.64 1067.53 1133.98
2023-03-26 414.00 49.42 68.07 105.37 216.03 730.11 1123.66 1275.16 1350.91
2023-04-02 534.62 63.69 88.17 137.11 282.96 892.58 1317.73 1481.46 1563.32
2023-04-09 608.76 71.16 99.93 157.46 327.86 996.11 1457.95 1636.94 1726.43
2023-04-16 594.46 70.69 95.59 145.39 302.83 1008.34 1472.51 1650.90 1740.09
2023-04-23 646.98 67.29 96.99 156.37 333.79 1076.46 1556.01 1739.01 1830.51
2023-04-30 746.83 94.38 128.57 196.95 402.25 1200.68 1685.95 1869.28 1960.95
2023-05-07 792.07 125.20 159.37 227.71 434.97 1249.27 1753.96 1945.30 2040.97
2023-05-14 777.13 114.44 148.39 216.28 420.07 1244.29 1752.52 1945.92 2042.62
2023-05-21 794.96 118.25 154.52 227.05 441.38 1258.24 1749.02 1933.34 2025.50
2023-05-28 753.00 135.50 166.96 229.87 416.66 1205.65 1679.07 1856.29 1944.90
2023-06-04 702.74 136.61 164.56 220.46 387.28 1131.14 1568.25 1733.21 1815.69
2023-06-11 635.06 141.62 164.85 211.30 352.73 1031.03 1440.89 1594.16 1670.80
2023-06-18 552.30 130.63 149.51 187.26 306.71 914.03 1296.60 1441.46 1513.89
2023-06-25 469.55 105.31 123.02 158.44 262.36 788.13 1144.14 1278.50 1345.68
2023-07-02 411.57 113.25 128.02 157.54 241.93 691.59 1022.10 1147.13 1209.64
2023-07-09 368.81 135.23 146.41 168.75 234.93 603.03 911.65 1031.72 1091.76
2023-07-16 315.52 141.98 150.98 168.98 219.16 515.92 784.67 889.90 942.51
2023-07-23 286.90 145.89 153.02 167.29 209.09 465.39 715.80 813.88 862.93
2023-07-30 272.68 150.18 156.69 169.70 208.25 421.81 656.60 752.25 800.07
2023-08-06 231.62 135.37 140.82 151.73 183.31 349.80 538.95 614.33 652.02
2023-08-13 195.74 122.11 127.15 137.24 164.71 287.76 450.05 516.86 550.26
2023-08-20 197.38 117.78 123.52 135.02 167.23 273.77 422.61 484.09 514.83
2023-08-27 195.80 98.35 105.64 120.21 158.13 265.40 387.24 434.09 457.51
2023-09-03 189.36 85.77 92.04 104.58 143.22 256.12 371.55 417.60 440.63
2023-09-10 169.29 53.10 60.17 74.31 116.28 240.35 360.38 410.29 435.25
2023-09-17 131.07 64.17 67.72 74.84 95.80 171.92 218.54 236.72 245.80
2023-09-24 112.85 55.18 58.56 65.31 84.56 152.43 194.58 211.02 219.23
2023-10-01 111.20 55.63 58.74 64.96 82.13 147.71 182.96 195.48 201.74
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