Prediction 2118

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation set 1 for AP using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 2.88 0.00 0.00 0.23 1.42 4.53 7.38 8.53 9.10
2022-10-16 2.95 0.00 0.00 0.25 1.45 4.70 7.60 8.77 9.35
2022-10-23 2.64 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.17 4.29 7.22 8.40 9.00
2022-10-30 2.46 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.09 4.24 6.81 7.81 8.31
2022-11-06 2.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10 4.26 6.87 7.93 8.46
2022-11-13 2.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84 4.07 6.78 7.88 8.43
2022-11-20 2.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68 3.76 6.51 7.66 8.23
2022-11-27 2.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.81 3.82 6.99 8.33 9.01
2022-12-04 1.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68 3.64 7.08 8.54 9.27
2022-12-11 2.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98 4.43 8.23 9.81 10.60
2022-12-18 2.49 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.10 4.77 8.60 10.16 10.94
2022-12-25 2.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.89 4.86 9.34 11.16 12.07
2023-01-01 2.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.93 5.29 10.03 11.94 12.90
2023-01-08 3.16 0.00 0.00 0.37 1.44 6.49 11.72 13.77 14.80
2023-01-15 3.48 0.06 0.26 0.66 1.76 7.06 13.03 15.41 16.60
2023-01-22 3.41 0.17 0.34 0.70 1.72 7.36 13.63 16.10 17.34
2023-01-29 3.46 0.02 0.21 0.58 1.63 7.70 14.17 16.72 17.99
2023-02-05 3.70 0.06 0.26 0.66 1.75 7.99 14.83 17.55 18.91
2023-02-12 4.01 0.37 0.54 0.89 1.92 8.72 15.54 18.19 19.52
2023-02-19 4.72 0.61 0.80 1.17 2.35 9.61 16.53 19.26 20.62
2023-02-26 4.75 0.43 0.63 1.04 2.28 9.48 16.55 19.34 20.73
2023-03-05 5.08 0.58 0.80 1.25 2.54 9.82 16.84 19.61 20.99
2023-03-12 5.13 0.59 0.82 1.30 2.67 9.93 16.69 19.32 20.63
2023-03-19 4.91 0.56 0.77 1.19 2.44 9.72 16.63 19.35 20.71
2023-03-26 4.94 0.30 0.55 1.05 2.43 9.58 16.75 19.62 21.05
2023-04-02 4.94 0.44 0.67 1.13 2.45 9.51 16.57 19.42 20.84
2023-04-09 4.40 0.24 0.46 0.89 2.17 8.78 15.70 18.45 19.83
2023-04-16 4.26 0.35 0.55 0.96 2.12 8.51 15.38 18.15 19.54
2023-04-23 4.78 0.28 0.53 1.04 2.43 8.89 15.93 18.78 20.20
2023-04-30 4.81 0.32 0.55 1.02 2.35 8.98 15.80 18.54 19.91
2023-05-07 4.60 0.18 0.41 0.86 2.15 8.69 15.66 18.48 19.88
2023-05-14 4.55 0.10 0.33 0.79 2.13 8.49 15.55 18.43 19.87
2023-05-21 3.99 0.00 0.14 0.56 1.76 7.89 14.65 17.36 18.71
2023-05-28 4.04 0.16 0.36 0.75 1.85 8.21 15.20 17.99 19.39
2023-06-04 4.13 0.21 0.41 0.82 1.95 8.24 15.06 17.79 19.15
2023-06-11 3.80 0.05 0.25 0.67 1.84 7.92 14.61 17.27 18.60
2023-06-18 3.59 0.00 0.03 0.46 1.63 7.55 14.65 17.50 18.93
2023-06-25 3.89 0.12 0.31 0.70 1.86 7.82 15.05 17.97 19.43
2023-07-02 3.66 0.00 0.00 0.42 1.69 7.68 14.95 17.85 19.30
2023-07-09 3.40 0.00 0.00 0.22 1.48 7.30 14.84 17.90 19.43
2023-07-16 3.30 0.00 0.00 0.09 1.45 7.30 14.69 17.70 19.21
2023-07-23 3.50 0.00 0.00 0.23 1.54 7.71 15.34 18.44 19.98
2023-07-30 3.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.45 7.78 15.36 18.46 20.01
2023-08-06 3.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.36 7.79 15.14 18.10 19.58
2023-08-13 3.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05 7.33 14.58 17.51 18.98
2023-08-20 3.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 7.53 14.89 17.91 19.42
2023-08-27 3.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15 8.11 15.24 18.07 19.48
2023-09-03 3.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.39 8.68 15.71 18.54 19.95
2023-09-10 4.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.68 9.24 16.78 19.85 21.39
2023-09-17 4.45 0.16 0.40 0.87 2.27 7.75 12.97 15.10 16.17
2023-09-24 3.82 0.00 0.04 0.55 1.94 7.45 12.63 14.68 15.71
2023-10-01 3.59 0.00 0.00 0.40 1.80 7.26 12.03 13.91 14.85
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