Prediction 2119

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation set 1 for DF using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 76.98 0.00 0.00 8.97 42.27 137.63 239.57 280.80 301.41
2022-10-16 71.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.52 129.33 236.14 280.30 302.38
2022-10-23 79.62 0.00 0.00 5.45 44.30 139.85 256.45 304.63 328.73
2022-10-30 88.31 0.00 2.02 15.99 51.42 149.69 275.68 327.58 353.53
2022-11-06 81.69 0.00 2.25 15.64 50.23 143.56 280.39 337.22 365.63
2022-11-13 71.43 11.08 15.03 22.93 43.93 146.01 306.76 372.51 405.38
2022-11-20 81.32 21.39 25.60 34.01 56.43 167.97 366.23 449.40 490.98
2022-11-27 106.40 34.98 40.31 50.98 77.06 207.75 436.72 532.57 580.50
2022-12-04 118.89 38.63 44.53 56.33 84.78 248.04 517.83 630.89 687.42
2022-12-11 141.20 49.96 54.09 62.36 87.11 294.11 596.83 724.25 787.97
2022-12-18 151.74 38.73 43.76 53.81 84.90 328.01 661.40 797.92 866.19
2022-12-25 172.04 46.25 51.46 61.87 94.85 375.70 754.70 910.21 987.96
2023-01-01 201.08 42.41 49.88 64.83 109.09 434.14 845.11 1012.06 1095.53
2023-01-08 236.13 35.62 45.66 65.72 126.12 497.94 934.86 1107.95 1194.50
2023-01-15 255.78 18.68 29.74 51.88 119.76 545.66 1023.13 1214.15 1309.65
2023-01-22 280.87 17.50 28.91 51.72 122.40 605.64 1098.19 1293.12 1390.58
2023-01-29 325.71 17.02 30.17 56.47 137.40 681.19 1189.72 1390.65 1491.11
2023-02-05 399.90 26.67 41.88 72.30 170.10 789.53 1327.14 1539.57 1645.78
2023-02-12 449.20 0.00 19.11 61.43 188.67 881.74 1475.68 1709.32 1826.14
2023-02-19 478.27 0.00 0.00 45.41 188.17 953.06 1591.61 1840.34 1964.70
2023-02-26 510.14 0.00 0.00 48.88 204.99 1011.01 1664.91 1919.29 2046.48
2023-03-05 546.53 0.00 18.75 72.36 236.28 1055.67 1715.88 1972.93 2101.46
2023-03-12 523.06 0.00 11.37 62.85 220.89 1026.48 1688.67 1947.30 2076.61
2023-03-19 568.55 0.00 14.01 72.84 247.88 1057.83 1714.49 1970.99 2099.24
2023-03-26 596.69 0.00 18.40 80.29 266.00 1093.99 1758.02 2016.50 2145.73
2023-04-02 602.51 0.00 9.49 73.19 265.22 1094.09 1751.38 2008.07 2136.41
2023-04-09 572.21 0.00 4.03 65.61 250.62 1040.09 1675.35 1925.53 2050.62
2023-04-16 523.63 0.00 12.62 65.78 229.59 965.37 1550.02 1778.16 1892.23
2023-04-23 448.47 0.00 9.44 56.18 194.92 855.03 1415.30 1636.11 1746.51
2023-04-30 408.22 0.00 17.57 60.69 188.08 784.82 1292.72 1491.31 1590.60
2023-05-07 371.91 19.56 38.10 75.18 184.48 697.73 1166.30 1351.15 1443.57
2023-05-14 313.06 36.92 51.49 80.64 164.89 601.64 1036.46 1210.07 1296.88
2023-05-21 264.60 39.33 51.68 76.38 147.58 513.97 895.26 1045.62 1120.80
2023-05-28 244.49 40.98 52.87 76.64 142.29 463.17 797.13 927.75 993.06
2023-06-04 209.17 32.83 43.11 63.66 120.48 400.18 678.67 788.48 843.39
2023-06-11 176.68 30.12 39.00 56.75 103.51 335.57 580.29 676.73 724.95
2023-06-18 151.26 35.54 42.47 56.31 95.45 282.23 482.26 561.47 601.08
2023-06-25 138.11 21.99 30.19 46.59 89.05 236.02 391.46 452.67 483.28
2023-07-02 115.26 1.97 10.63 27.97 70.88 192.31 319.62 370.00 395.19
2023-07-09 97.79 0.58 6.57 18.56 51.34 156.36 267.24 313.95 337.31
2023-07-16 104.25 4.07 11.25 25.60 61.29 148.37 221.44 252.38 267.85
2023-07-23 110.42 3.27 10.91 26.18 65.82 149.45 212.40 239.71 253.36
2023-07-30 99.73 0.00 0.00 13.25 54.14 135.40 192.85 218.92 231.96
2023-08-06 78.48 0.00 0.00 0.46 36.42 110.66 150.53 168.20 177.03
2023-08-13 71.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.88 93.65 121.30 134.84 141.61
2023-08-20 87.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.53 101.77 129.06 142.47 149.17
2023-08-27 79.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.34 85.58 105.22 114.61 119.31
2023-09-03 69.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.72 72.93 94.76 105.16 110.37
2023-09-10 53.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.15 58.46 80.92 90.60 95.45
2023-09-17 46.89 0.00 0.00 3.35 22.78 76.55 100.54 109.07 113.33
2023-09-24 46.13 0.00 0.00 3.63 21.43 73.11 101.18 111.80 117.11
2023-10-01 44.54 0.00 0.00 4.15 19.47 73.41 102.88 113.38 118.63
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