Prediction 2120

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation set 1 for BA using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 126.78 0.00 0.00 12.30 78.14 146.06 204.76 230.18 242.89
2022-10-16 117.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.60 137.28 208.12 239.22 254.77
2022-10-23 143.93 0.00 0.00 6.11 77.66 166.13 244.93 279.28 296.45
2022-10-30 154.99 0.00 0.00 19.59 92.35 175.66 284.70 333.99 358.63
2022-11-06 148.50 0.00 12.45 38.24 106.29 162.27 288.00 346.57 375.86
2022-11-13 119.99 4.55 13.66 31.87 82.57 141.90 311.54 387.12 424.91
2022-11-20 116.73 0.00 4.81 24.98 79.85 151.97 375.02 475.67 526.00
2022-11-27 129.88 1.65 12.88 35.34 91.79 176.26 454.21 581.19 644.67
2022-12-04 129.56 24.96 33.86 51.66 97.01 205.02 552.07 708.45 786.65
2022-12-11 123.88 55.56 60.05 69.02 95.28 220.87 616.39 792.93 881.20
2022-12-18 132.93 65.06 69.20 77.48 101.61 265.72 734.14 938.14 1040.15
2022-12-25 158.91 81.69 85.57 93.33 115.30 335.20 891.13 1130.89 1250.78
2023-01-01 194.77 88.18 92.80 102.06 131.26 424.01 1047.06 1314.28 1447.89
2023-01-08 227.42 78.20 83.95 95.43 135.15 519.63 1216.78 1505.74 1650.22
2023-01-15 274.58 73.90 82.06 98.40 148.76 634.29 1420.60 1745.30 1907.64
2023-01-22 344.97 87.27 97.38 117.60 182.76 778.40 1631.82 1979.70 2153.65
2023-01-29 459.00 87.10 103.01 134.84 233.27 972.07 1898.27 2273.66 2461.35
2023-02-05 621.74 98.27 120.98 166.42 308.82 1216.15 2228.71 2635.95 2839.57
2023-02-12 774.64 84.25 118.89 188.18 393.26 1451.12 2569.26 3017.39 3241.45
2023-02-19 878.52 75.30 116.01 197.42 442.42 1640.81 2853.03 3334.37 3575.03
2023-02-26 976.64 69.73 116.39 209.70 489.32 1811.66 3072.03 3570.21 3819.30
2023-03-05 1043.21 58.61 111.42 217.03 527.85 1916.43 3205.56 3714.19 3968.50
2023-03-12 1049.81 57.73 109.17 212.03 520.51 1935.94 3225.95 3732.26 3985.41
2023-03-19 1183.03 99.20 157.53 274.21 614.74 2066.64 3357.02 3865.09 4119.13
2023-03-26 1254.79 136.53 195.71 314.06 664.68 2150.71 3452.17 3962.33 4217.41
2023-04-02 1248.53 127.20 185.13 300.99 648.82 2137.79 3417.62 3920.28 4171.61
2023-04-09 1174.21 113.86 168.67 278.30 605.61 2034.95 3279.77 3770.32 4015.59
2023-04-16 1154.46 136.49 187.85 290.58 605.80 1984.66 3163.88 3626.06 3857.15
2023-04-23 1114.36 139.02 190.28 292.82 595.37 1905.40 3048.86 3498.48 3723.28
2023-04-30 1181.53 137.45 195.23 310.77 650.11 1964.23 3059.33 3486.28 3699.75
2023-05-07 1157.79 123.03 179.13 291.32 624.78 1903.62 2958.08 3370.97 3577.41
2023-05-14 1026.32 101.34 150.20 247.90 540.48 1727.49 2723.73 3116.95 3313.56
2023-05-21 965.92 107.30 155.08 250.66 530.05 1607.78 2509.97 2863.19 3039.80
2023-05-28 755.63 89.41 124.81 195.60 402.78 1314.49 2121.15 2436.35 2593.96
2023-06-04 612.26 88.16 115.04 168.80 324.09 1092.84 1783.47 2054.66 2190.25
2023-06-11 511.73 88.22 109.92 153.33 278.76 924.11 1524.71 1758.49 1875.38
2023-06-18 432.35 101.98 118.05 150.19 246.57 794.53 1314.71 1517.78 1619.31
2023-06-25 352.39 94.30 106.92 132.15 205.44 652.29 1104.14 1282.35 1371.46
2023-07-02 289.95 78.72 89.77 111.86 171.68 547.75 943.27 1098.60 1176.27
2023-07-09 244.66 77.80 85.30 100.30 144.38 449.44 806.14 950.93 1023.33
2023-07-16 220.29 68.22 77.61 96.39 144.33 390.33 686.11 805.76 865.58
2023-07-23 199.95 44.61 54.13 73.16 124.53 352.35 613.23 717.61 769.80
2023-07-30 184.33 17.61 28.76 51.07 110.12 316.75 550.38 646.87 695.12
2023-08-06 154.78 11.39 20.51 38.75 88.93 262.33 457.56 536.74 576.33
2023-08-13 125.47 0.00 0.00 8.55 67.29 211.00 365.64 430.06 462.27
2023-08-20 111.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.30 175.63 318.28 376.81 406.07
2023-08-27 105.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.91 152.99 268.14 315.53 339.23
2023-09-03 99.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.46 135.85 252.99 303.26 328.40
2023-09-10 68.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.97 94.41 200.52 247.36 270.78
2023-09-17 64.27 0.00 0.00 8.89 33.78 99.03 136.99 151.75 159.14
2023-09-24 59.79 0.00 1.10 9.82 33.68 90.03 127.71 142.24 149.51
2023-10-01 56.68 0.00 0.08 7.40 28.62 79.90 103.22 111.16 115.12
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