Prediction 2121

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
Download CSV Dashboard
Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation set 1 for SE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 49.59 3.68 6.06 10.81 25.02 97.52 150.68 170.63 180.61
2022-10-16 36.64 1.96 3.73 7.28 17.75 76.01 123.24 141.46 150.57
2022-10-23 32.11 4.08 5.69 8.90 17.85 67.34 109.05 125.06 133.07
2022-10-30 29.12 4.41 5.84 8.69 16.99 57.83 92.30 105.43 112.00
2022-11-06 21.99 1.18 2.39 4.81 11.92 44.24 70.96 80.95 85.95
2022-11-13 19.26 0.14 1.31 3.65 10.02 39.96 62.54 70.87 75.04
2022-11-20 18.66 0.00 0.84 3.14 9.54 38.41 58.08 65.01 68.48
2022-11-27 16.84 0.00 0.00 1.74 7.43 33.73 51.64 58.23 61.52
2022-12-04 13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.59 29.77 45.96 51.89 54.86
2022-12-11 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.51 26.05 38.68 43.18 45.42
2022-12-18 11.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.16 24.78 37.39 41.85 44.08
2022-12-25 10.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.65 24.74 39.58 45.21 48.02
2023-01-01 10.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.54 26.46 42.47 48.40 51.37
2023-01-08 12.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.90 27.68 44.37 50.32 53.30
2023-01-15 13.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.53 28.29 47.18 54.39 57.99
2023-01-22 13.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 28.18 46.95 53.73 57.13
2023-01-29 12.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.66 28.79 48.13 55.21 58.75
2023-02-05 11.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.61 27.01 47.98 55.96 59.95
2023-02-12 14.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.54 30.24 50.79 58.71 62.67
2023-02-19 15.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.42 35.00 57.96 66.50 70.77
2023-02-26 13.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.23 57.71 66.42 70.78
2023-03-05 10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.73 59.01 69.08 74.11
2023-03-12 16.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.75 40.42 67.79 78.40 83.70
2023-03-19 20.25 0.00 0.00 1.80 8.42 44.99 75.43 87.13 92.97
2023-03-26 19.10 0.00 0.27 2.20 8.19 45.58 77.97 90.36 96.56
2023-04-02 16.81 0.04 0.87 2.53 7.31 41.90 74.84 87.42 93.71
2023-04-09 19.69 1.08 2.00 3.85 9.44 43.41 78.48 92.39 99.35
2023-04-16 19.09 2.27 2.99 4.44 9.11 42.53 73.64 85.83 91.93
2023-04-23 16.62 0.38 1.10 2.54 7.31 38.86 68.36 79.73 85.42
2023-04-30 18.14 0.00 0.00 1.67 8.06 39.69 68.41 79.41 84.91
2023-05-07 20.54 0.00 0.40 2.84 10.08 42.33 71.40 82.64 88.25
2023-05-14 20.91 0.00 0.00 1.57 9.00 42.66 70.55 81.13 86.42
2023-05-21 17.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.51 37.37 64.55 74.90 80.08
2023-05-28 19.03 0.00 0.18 2.19 8.12 36.20 60.08 69.44 74.12
2023-06-04 19.08 0.00 0.37 2.37 8.46 38.31 63.93 73.95 78.96
2023-06-11 17.50 0.35 1.06 2.46 7.16 38.04 68.76 80.55 86.44
2023-06-18 16.45 0.45 1.16 2.56 7.04 38.11 73.83 87.96 95.02
2023-06-25 18.46 0.00 0.83 3.07 9.10 39.64 77.45 92.20 99.58
2023-07-02 18.30 0.54 1.63 3.82 10.07 38.52 75.64 89.78 96.85
2023-07-09 15.82 0.00 0.47 2.64 9.37 32.59 66.34 79.81 86.54
2023-07-16 12.23 0.00 0.00 0.74 6.50 26.39 55.87 67.84 73.82
2023-07-23 11.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.85 24.80 51.55 62.80 68.42
2023-07-30 13.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.23 25.25 48.85 58.78 63.74
2023-08-06 14.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.04 25.96 42.47 48.96 52.20
2023-08-13 9.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.97 20.23 34.33 40.23 43.18
2023-08-20 10.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.73 19.39 30.68 35.51 37.92
2023-08-27 15.16 0.00 0.79 2.98 8.57 22.22 29.26 31.80 33.07
2023-09-03 13.76 1.85 2.67 4.31 9.08 20.48 25.99 28.12 29.19
2023-09-10 6.83 0.00 0.00 0.64 2.92 11.38 16.46 18.74 19.87
2023-09-17 9.05 2.44 2.77 3.44 5.75 12.89 17.00 18.58 19.37
2023-09-24 8.71 2.32 2.59 3.13 5.28 12.34 16.29 17.87 18.65
2023-10-01 8.14 1.83 2.09 2.61 4.73 11.47 15.10 16.40 17.06
Chat
chatbot