Prediction 2122

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation set 1 for MS using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 43.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.93 51.04 86.68 104.21 112.97
2022-10-16 38.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.66 117.50 153.08 170.87
2022-10-23 52.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.68 65.31 173.58 224.25 249.59
2022-10-30 79.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.53 95.80 259.95 335.60 373.43
2022-11-06 81.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.53 103.72 314.14 410.58 458.80
2022-11-13 62.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.04 120.61 414.77 542.91 606.99
2022-11-20 80.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.06 172.08 552.92 719.87 803.34
2022-11-27 133.80 0.00 0.00 21.57 85.35 264.63 739.99 949.17 1053.76
2022-12-04 170.43 0.00 11.37 37.23 103.20 373.93 964.52 1221.43 1349.89
2022-12-11 202.34 17.73 26.67 44.56 101.28 470.95 1159.81 1457.39 1606.18
2022-12-18 264.10 25.10 37.17 61.30 133.98 600.82 1398.43 1733.04 1900.34
2022-12-25 349.84 52.58 67.02 95.90 182.57 761.37 1685.85 2073.07 2266.69
2023-01-01 458.34 54.54 75.06 116.09 239.53 950.26 1969.52 2393.48 2605.46
2023-01-08 557.39 44.84 71.04 123.45 284.62 1139.68 2261.98 2715.84 2942.76
2023-01-15 647.35 21.51 52.37 114.08 302.44 1317.69 2557.93 3061.88 3313.85
2023-01-22 797.69 14.22 53.89 133.24 372.24 1582.05 2909.69 3442.70 3709.20
2023-01-29 1038.57 2.56 56.80 165.26 485.97 1946.64 3382.84 3958.07 4245.68
2023-02-05 1264.11 39.09 100.34 222.83 595.13 2284.68 3819.61 4430.15 4735.42
2023-02-12 1503.08 81.60 159.97 316.71 771.54 2594.86 4237.32 4889.76 5215.97
2023-02-19 1737.48 178.46 265.79 440.46 949.51 2895.70 4636.04 5322.32 5665.46
2023-02-26 1893.73 240.11 334.03 521.88 1069.47 3125.87 4912.28 5616.22 5968.19
2023-03-05 1965.87 271.23 370.20 568.14 1139.29 3229.75 5039.18 5752.80 6109.61
2023-03-12 1896.71 257.16 350.38 536.83 1079.00 3141.66 4924.05 5624.51 5974.74
2023-03-19 2013.97 257.99 362.22 570.69 1158.73 3225.39 4990.82 5687.27 6035.50
2023-03-26 1991.12 250.85 348.93 545.09 1115.55 3194.70 4943.03 5629.26 5972.37
2023-04-02 1883.61 212.29 303.25 485.19 1025.20 3053.40 4760.65 5434.06 5770.76
2023-04-09 1663.72 151.28 235.20 403.05 892.66 2759.01 4380.39 5024.56 5346.65
2023-04-16 1460.02 130.61 200.65 340.71 765.49 2479.44 3981.08 4572.13 4867.65
2023-04-23 1260.05 105.76 166.96 289.35 648.40 2189.00 3607.20 4168.48 4449.12
2023-04-30 1164.49 97.28 156.87 276.06 622.68 2028.28 3331.45 3843.98 4100.25
2023-05-07 993.39 105.50 153.23 248.69 530.80 1741.65 2934.83 3409.08 3646.21
2023-05-14 719.84 89.22 121.04 184.68 374.31 1365.00 2451.59 2888.44 3106.86
2023-05-21 603.18 91.09 116.82 168.28 322.43 1170.93 2128.41 2508.94 2699.20
2023-05-28 508.33 71.87 95.35 142.29 277.76 1005.37 1869.21 2212.89 2384.72
2023-06-04 414.24 69.22 86.92 122.31 221.94 848.34 1583.90 1877.71 2024.62
2023-06-11 345.39 56.41 72.13 103.57 188.16 714.83 1361.48 1618.47 1746.97
2023-06-18 290.80 43.42 57.08 84.40 159.20 614.61 1161.62 1378.95 1487.61
2023-06-25 244.24 4.63 18.63 46.63 122.95 514.92 1000.55 1195.88 1293.54
2023-07-02 207.70 0.00 0.00 27.32 99.22 435.45 850.72 1016.69 1099.67
2023-07-09 181.86 0.00 0.00 14.89 77.23 360.39 730.40 884.27 961.21
2023-07-16 152.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.04 300.55 606.21 732.83 796.14
2023-07-23 131.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.96 263.29 521.28 627.24 680.23
2023-07-30 141.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.82 249.81 467.67 559.43 605.31
2023-08-06 135.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.08 219.11 389.64 460.43 495.83
2023-08-13 94.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.61 161.64 293.53 351.46 380.42
2023-08-20 72.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 119.30 247.00 300.62 327.44
2023-08-27 71.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.57 202.94 252.28 276.94
2023-09-03 78.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.64 95.43 220.09 276.71 305.02
2023-09-10 51.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.33 184.83 238.07 264.69
2023-09-17 34.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.90 130.90 150.38 160.11
2023-09-24 40.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.15 153.76 178.70 191.16
2023-10-01 32.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.80 146.24 170.83 183.13
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