Prediction 2123

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation set 1 for PE using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 189.08 111.12 115.99 125.74 152.87 266.49 359.22 394.55 412.22
2022-10-16 184.89 103.37 108.55 118.90 148.03 257.43 348.21 382.38 399.46
2022-10-23 186.87 98.94 104.89 116.77 147.95 255.73 344.84 378.66 395.58
2022-10-30 178.59 94.53 99.72 110.10 139.93 247.85 332.07 363.65 379.44
2022-11-06 170.72 83.05 89.03 100.98 133.60 235.43 317.83 348.87 364.39
2022-11-13 169.54 87.11 92.29 102.66 132.37 231.34 310.01 339.95 354.93
2022-11-20 166.25 86.16 91.41 101.91 131.29 222.96 298.94 329.04 344.10
2022-11-27 152.87 73.82 79.44 90.69 120.39 201.96 278.26 309.68 325.38
2022-12-04 146.71 75.58 80.86 91.43 118.64 191.75 266.97 299.00 315.02
2022-12-11 145.90 79.07 83.73 93.04 118.00 193.20 272.45 305.33 321.78
2022-12-18 147.00 82.57 86.99 95.82 119.71 196.59 277.86 311.79 328.76
2022-12-25 141.34 79.78 84.14 92.87 115.44 190.76 281.49 320.03 339.30
2023-01-01 145.63 85.31 89.42 97.64 120.24 202.41 301.26 343.00 363.87
2023-01-08 148.26 82.80 86.80 94.79 117.15 213.82 323.80 367.97 390.06
2023-01-15 145.74 79.71 84.31 93.50 116.21 223.23 350.94 402.34 428.04
2023-01-22 153.84 86.83 91.23 100.02 123.43 247.40 386.57 441.44 468.88
2023-01-29 157.89 84.91 89.21 97.80 121.71 264.01 415.62 475.80 505.88
2023-02-05 173.87 86.43 91.41 101.38 128.09 288.02 457.54 525.20 559.03
2023-02-12 189.29 86.17 91.95 103.52 135.29 317.33 505.54 580.07 617.34
2023-02-19 205.43 84.52 90.91 103.68 140.54 356.77 564.00 645.43 686.14
2023-02-26 221.88 79.35 86.40 100.51 142.29 394.38 614.05 698.74 741.09
2023-03-05 236.24 72.35 80.82 97.77 146.25 422.51 651.49 739.09 782.89
2023-03-12 250.38 71.50 80.91 99.71 154.26 450.28 693.87 786.73 833.17
2023-03-19 264.09 70.33 79.45 97.69 152.51 479.44 736.70 834.70 883.69
2023-03-26 294.24 69.16 80.70 103.80 170.49 525.39 808.06 916.03 970.01
2023-04-02 323.00 73.75 86.59 112.26 187.26 562.43 853.24 965.01 1020.90
2023-04-09 352.60 76.81 91.24 120.10 205.31 596.48 895.00 1009.53 1066.80
2023-04-16 360.19 74.39 88.85 117.79 205.34 614.95 913.73 1028.05 1085.21
2023-04-23 377.57 59.49 76.90 111.71 211.93 633.65 934.70 1050.17 1107.90
2023-04-30 393.29 63.98 81.96 117.93 223.16 650.47 940.79 1050.96 1106.04
2023-05-07 412.43 83.15 100.80 136.11 240.25 657.90 941.57 1049.73 1103.81
2023-05-14 413.17 80.99 99.21 135.65 241.98 649.46 923.87 1029.47 1082.27
2023-05-21 412.02 90.22 108.17 144.05 247.57 636.66 889.21 985.25 1033.27
2023-05-28 401.54 103.33 119.52 151.90 245.59 611.42 841.37 927.85 971.10
2023-06-04 377.51 98.68 114.09 144.89 232.61 567.70 768.86 845.04 883.13
2023-06-11 335.55 90.75 104.26 131.27 209.02 501.71 675.89 741.59 774.44
2023-06-18 308.53 93.67 105.52 129.21 198.84 457.03 609.79 667.83 696.85
2023-06-25 285.81 90.04 101.50 124.42 187.90 411.69 543.48 592.90 617.61
2023-07-02 259.72 91.10 101.13 121.17 175.92 368.44 485.38 529.54 551.62
2023-07-09 243.22 97.01 105.58 122.72 171.14 334.01 439.11 479.68 499.96
2023-07-16 219.99 94.34 102.65 119.27 163.75 298.60 382.82 416.14 432.79
2023-07-23 209.64 90.90 98.89 114.86 158.49 280.55 356.45 385.80 400.48
2023-07-30 201.22 87.69 95.36 110.70 152.60 261.52 326.76 353.45 366.79
2023-08-06 188.49 75.79 83.48 98.85 141.44 239.47 287.95 306.92 316.40
2023-08-13 173.49 64.62 72.56 88.43 131.42 218.09 259.25 275.59 283.76
2023-08-20 169.16 64.34 71.73 86.50 126.98 207.68 244.04 258.64 265.94
2023-08-27 165.87 63.98 71.33 86.03 126.21 203.78 230.71 240.03 244.69
2023-09-03 156.59 53.59 60.89 75.49 116.64 195.77 224.23 234.37 239.45
2023-09-10 150.02 36.22 44.57 61.25 106.44 190.91 227.61 242.71 250.26
2023-09-17 141.94 78.19 82.40 90.82 111.90 169.01 203.41 217.30 224.24
2023-09-24 130.40 70.15 74.22 82.36 103.99 158.52 192.39 205.89 212.63
2023-10-01 120.80 67.78 71.03 77.54 95.94 149.52 179.20 190.74 196.51
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