Prediction 2124

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation set 1 for RN using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 134.29 5.61 14.57 32.48 83.61 191.06 274.35 306.94 323.23
2022-10-16 118.51 0.00 0.00 12.07 69.68 166.71 246.46 278.19 294.06
2022-10-23 106.72 0.00 0.00 6.78 59.76 153.98 240.15 275.56 293.27
2022-10-30 106.02 0.00 0.00 1.30 56.94 141.96 245.52 290.00 312.24
2022-11-06 97.44 0.00 0.00 1.21 57.18 119.06 222.67 268.01 290.67
2022-11-13 85.09 0.00 0.00 6.83 47.80 120.18 257.16 315.74 345.04
2022-11-20 71.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.97 110.46 295.10 376.66 417.44
2022-11-27 71.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.17 119.39 351.51 456.97 509.71
2022-12-04 59.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.86 135.44 433.45 567.35 634.29
2022-12-11 57.38 8.27 10.58 15.21 29.49 162.35 503.13 655.23 731.29
2022-12-18 57.20 6.23 7.40 9.76 20.08 197.55 611.23 791.21 881.20
2022-12-25 73.86 16.65 17.53 19.28 27.19 259.79 768.10 987.42 1097.08
2023-01-01 109.52 13.83 15.66 19.32 36.03 354.56 939.12 1190.02 1315.47
2023-01-08 140.96 3.73 7.24 14.27 43.99 444.29 1113.90 1391.09 1529.69
2023-01-15 179.67 10.08 13.88 21.47 51.91 548.71 1306.44 1619.89 1776.62
2023-01-22 257.07 35.13 41.58 54.47 99.92 708.98 1528.01 1861.00 2027.50
2023-01-29 436.86 52.47 68.11 99.39 196.04 976.49 1867.51 2228.98 2409.71
2023-02-05 610.23 58.16 80.23 124.37 265.86 1235.69 2218.82 2614.20 2811.89
2023-02-12 751.90 5.46 42.85 117.62 335.24 1453.76 2546.61 2987.37 3207.74
2023-02-19 948.17 43.68 89.21 180.26 450.53 1761.50 2959.02 3433.64 3670.95
2023-02-26 1162.03 81.23 136.52 247.11 576.26 2075.13 3315.15 3804.49 4049.16
2023-03-05 1361.34 125.02 191.42 324.20 713.80 2335.66 3619.75 4126.96 4380.57
2023-03-12 1509.06 151.32 224.53 370.96 802.28 2522.33 3829.14 4341.50 4597.67
2023-03-19 1756.10 191.81 280.93 459.15 967.56 2781.35 4110.57 4633.48 4894.94
2023-03-26 1811.21 230.84 316.10 486.62 987.95 2865.29 4210.26 4732.91 4994.24
2023-04-02 1786.02 254.08 333.43 492.12 968.39 2836.46 4172.48 4693.55 4954.09
2023-04-09 1705.60 225.49 304.51 462.53 925.72 2734.44 4047.51 4563.94 4822.15
2023-04-16 1680.55 252.28 326.56 475.13 923.23 2689.00 3943.05 4432.22 4676.81
2023-04-23 1599.01 250.73 320.78 460.88 873.52 2562.08 3769.40 4240.04 4475.35
2023-04-30 1587.60 226.81 299.46 444.75 874.11 2531.61 3683.25 4128.69 4351.42
2023-05-07 1488.53 186.86 254.07 388.49 793.87 2380.85 3490.47 3921.71 4137.33
2023-05-14 1337.70 161.22 221.32 341.52 701.48 2182.22 3232.62 3642.79 3847.88
2023-05-21 1251.96 165.53 224.23 341.61 685.57 2040.72 2997.50 3367.31 3552.22
2023-05-28 1068.72 179.45 225.02 316.17 584.49 1773.55 2632.86 2965.55 3131.90
2023-06-04 906.50 192.75 225.90 292.20 491.23 1532.29 2276.02 2564.51 2708.76
2023-06-11 784.96 192.41 218.73 271.36 429.30 1336.83 2003.22 2259.56 2387.72
2023-06-18 657.43 187.93 205.67 241.14 358.42 1155.12 1744.22 1972.78 2087.06
2023-06-25 525.45 146.49 161.28 190.86 280.42 960.04 1493.44 1699.67 1802.79
2023-07-02 436.53 146.24 156.77 177.83 240.23 817.68 1292.77 1476.13 1567.82
2023-07-09 391.25 179.21 184.45 194.91 231.84 701.08 1130.37 1302.09 1387.94
2023-07-16 337.85 178.95 183.80 193.48 219.53 588.85 944.63 1086.14 1156.89
2023-07-23 314.22 180.50 183.87 190.63 212.92 536.24 851.19 976.44 1039.07
2023-07-30 305.85 152.73 158.95 171.38 205.28 493.50 774.35 889.81 947.53
2023-08-06 275.02 128.71 133.13 141.97 169.90 443.09 659.39 746.22 789.63
2023-08-13 242.84 79.32 84.81 95.79 134.37 380.84 536.84 602.58 635.44
2023-08-20 244.35 47.40 57.84 78.72 136.19 348.79 483.18 537.76 565.04
2023-08-27 212.43 26.80 36.46 55.79 109.60 288.34 389.81 432.11 453.26
2023-09-03 189.41 0.00 8.45 29.83 88.97 241.79 336.48 379.69 401.29
2023-09-10 164.38 0.00 6.44 23.47 73.28 202.59 270.21 302.96 319.33
2023-09-17 91.49 14.56 19.59 29.67 57.90 126.97 167.53 182.96 190.67
2023-09-24 82.23 8.74 13.65 23.47 50.09 115.73 157.55 172.93 180.62
2023-10-01 75.19 7.58 12.12 21.21 44.00 109.05 144.64 156.50 162.42
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